Unnatural-Sea — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$461

Unrealized P&L

-$9

Hit rate

67.6%

Resolved

412

Trades

718

lifetime

Volume

$19.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

$58

4 positions

First seen

2026-02-04

last 09-17 07:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 114 days

Categories

Other

74% 44% -$386

Politics

16% 68% +$321

Sports

8% 39% -$335

Crypto

1% 38% -$60

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+166	$25	17¢	$28	+$3	08-07 13:54
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	-345	-$11	7¢	$-24	-$14	05-29 16:57
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	-462	-$4	1¢	$-5	-$1	07-19 19:05
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	-385	-$4	0¢	$-1	+$3	06-14 19:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will green left win the second most seats in the danish folketing in the 2026 danish general election	8	$458	309	309	+0	Yes	+$30	03-24 20:38
will sren torpegaard win melodi grand prix 2026	3	$419	220	220	+0	Yes	+$19	02-17 23:50
Will "Miraculous World: Paris, Tales of Shadybug and Claw Noir" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	2	$414	218	218	+0	No	+$14	05-04 09:18
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	3	$347	219	219	+0	No	+$64	04-25 05:52
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	3	$333	275	275	+0	No	+$133	04-25 05:52
highest temperature in london on march 27 2026 12c	7	$330	314	314	+0	Yes	+$1	03-27 12:25
highest temperature in london on march 27 2026 11c	5	$323	236	236	+0	No	+$18	03-27 10:56
Will Venstre be part of the next Government of Denmark?	3	$319	120	283	-163	No	-$44	05-08 13:17
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Anhelina Kalinina	3	$303	470	244	+226	Anhelina Kalinina	+$63	05-20 18:24
highest temperature in london on april 14 2026 16c	3	$275	248	237	+10	No	+$205	04-14 14:21
will the social democrats win 35 39 seats in the danish folketing in the 2026 danish general election	5	$249	213	213	+0	Yes	+$54	03-24 21:17
will liberal alliance win the third most seats in the danish folketing in the 2026 danish general election	4	$239	183	183	+0	No	+$31	03-24 20:39
Will Green Left be part of the next Government of Denmark?	4	$232	164	300	-136	Yes	-$104	05-23 17:01
Will Kyrgyz Republic vs. Kenya end in a draw?	2	$228	1,397	1,397	+0	Yes	-$194	05-31 07:04
will the social democrats popular vote margin of victory in the 2026 denmark parliamentary election be between 10 and 15	3	$216	170	170	+0	Yes	+$56	03-24 21:26
will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	4	$211	148	148	+0	No	+$61	03-11 11:55
will there be 1820 inches of snow in nyc this weekend	2	$200	246	246	+0	Yes	+$160	02-24 03:49
highest temperature in london on march 27 2026 10c	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	+$0	03-27 10:56
pakistan strikes kabul by february 28	3	$190	1,461	0	+1,461	Yes	-$190	02-26 22:51
will ilhan omar applaud during trumps state of the union	3	$185	326	128	+199	Yes	+$35	02-25 09:37
will ateens win melodifestivalen 2026	2	$184	100	100	+0	No	+$8	02-17 17:19
will italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	4	$177	128	128	+0	No	+$17	02-17 12:43
Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-03-22?	2	$170	217	217	+0	No	-$30	05-20 18:33
highest temperature in moscow on april 10 2026 4c	4	$167	128	125	+2	Yes	+$7	04-10 17:01
highest temperature in paris on march 26 2026 8c	4	$163	11,406	0	+11,406	No	-$163	03-26 13:39
will 1 quarterback be drafted in the first round of the 2026 pro football draft	2	$156	224	0	+224	No	+$68	04-17 20:43
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Arthur Fery vs Pedro Martinez	2	$154	94	94	+0	Pedro Martinez	+$34	05-20 18:04
highest temperature in paris on march 26 2026 10c	2	$154	104	104	+0	No	+$54	03-26 15:25
Will the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be 150 points or greater?	2	$151	260	0	+260	Yes	+$109	05-16 22:59
will denmark record a gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics 886	2	$148	78	78	+0	No	+$8	02-20 21:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-17 07:28:24	Spread: Bears (-2.5)	Bears	BUY	26	61¢	$16	0x94f388…
08-07 13:54:55	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	166	15¢	$25	0x40306d…
08-05 00:52:54	wta tauson bartunk 2026 08 04	Nikola Bartunkova	BUY	42	47¢	$20	0x8a0b82…
07-19 21:05:19	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x50f4d0…
07-19 21:05:01	Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?	Yes	SELL	19	69¢	$13	0xb85a8a…
07-19 21:03:48	Argentina to win the second half?	Yes	SELL	12	5¢	$1	0x31d2b1…
07-19 20:02:03	Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x9c9b23…
07-19 19:06:57	Argentina to win the second half?	Yes	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0x6c35ff…
07-19 19:05:57	Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	462	1¢	$4	0x283578…
07-15 20:00:11	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	England	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0xce0ba7…
07-15 19:59:23	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team total away 0pt5	Under	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0xb9d020…
07-06 21:31:38	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	21	43¢	$9	0x1df844…
07-06 21:26:38	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	No	BUY	18	49¢	$9	0x047894…
06-27 01:32:01	fifwc nzl bel 2026 06 26 spread away 2pt5	New Zealand	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x0bd23a…
06-27 01:31:38	fifwc ury esp 2026 06 26 spread away 1pt5	Spain	BUY	13	31¢	$4	0x45fb52…
06-27 01:31:16	fifwc cvi ksa 2026 06 26 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0x60681b…
06-26 11:40:52	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	No	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x103113…
06-26 11:37:25	Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	50	19¢	$10	0x1672dd…
06-26 11:36:59	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 goals erling haaland gte1	No	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xc604f1…
06-26 01:09:26	fifwc par aus 2026 06 25 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xd80fef…
06-26 01:09:07	fifwc par aus 2026 06 25 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xac7a97…
06-26 01:07:20	fifwc tur usa 2026 06 25 spread away 1pt5	United States	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xbd0994…
06-26 01:03:04	fifwc jpn swe 2026 06 25 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x27f48c…
06-25 23:41:13	fifwc jpn swe 2026 06 25 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x0e8882…
06-25 23:37:43	Japan vs. Sweden: Neither team to score first?	Yes	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0xd8009c…
06-25 23:36:19	fifwc jpn swe 2026 06 25 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0x99df24…
06-25 19:42:08	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 spread away 1pt5	Germany	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x2a7e81…
06-24 19:51:20	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x2414ea…
06-24 02:02:59	fifwc col cdr 2026 06 23 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0x51acca…
06-19 21:52:05	fifwc sco mar 2026 06 19 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0x30d660…
06-18 21:10:49	fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 spread home 1pt5	United States	BUY	18	34¢	$6	0x8c2bdb…
06-18 21:09:43	fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 spread home 1pt5	Qatar	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0x047f43…
06-18 21:05:14	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x3edfe8…
06-18 19:08:14	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	14	64¢	$9	0xdcf9b3…
06-18 15:56:40	Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0x3ad738…
06-18 04:15:32	fifwc uzb col 2026 06 17 spread away 1pt5	Colombia	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x82d673…
06-18 03:15:55	fifwc uzb col 2026 06 17 spread away 1pt5	Colombia	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x38ba25…
06-14 23:06:57	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xcaef96…
06-14 22:47:24	fifwc civ ecu 2026 06 14 spread away 1pt5	Ecuador	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x7558e7…
06-14 22:46:45	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xae65c0…
06-14 22:46:27	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x7b086f…
06-14 19:43:46	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	No	BUY	30	53¢	$16	0x46a00e…
06-14 19:42:51	Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	SELL	385	1¢	$4	0xfc5028…
06-14 19:42:45	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 total 0pt5	Under	SELL	42	4¢	$2	0xa3aab7…
06-14 19:42:18	Will Chicago Bears win the 2026 NFC North?	Yes	SELL	68	16¢	$11	0xcec84e…
06-12 20:17:30	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0x6805d4…
06-11 05:17:43	will england reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134511	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xacc107…
06-08 07:48:06	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 total 0pt5	Under	BUY	42	7¢	$3	0x8957c7…
06-08 07:46:07	fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 spread home 1pt5	Norway	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x427a48…
06-02 21:47:13	Spread: Denmark (-1.5)	Denmark	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x2407db…
06-02 19:11:37	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Jakub Mensik	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x8ed69b…
06-02 13:28:26	Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev	Rafael Jodar	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xd251b1…
06-02 10:55:42	Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta Kostyuk	Marta Kostyuk	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x10e1f8…
06-01 19:58:51	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x0decf9…
06-01 19:47:16	Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0x68c2eb…
06-01 11:52:54	Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Anna Kalinskaya	Anna Kalinskaya	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x2110c6…
05-31 18:42:44	Spread: Japan (-1.5)	Iceland	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0x7491b2…
05-31 07:11:43	Spread: Japan (-1.5)	Iceland	BUY	51	37¢	$19	0x9b96a4…
05-31 07:04:27	Will Kyrgyz Republic win on 2026-06-03?	Yes	SELL	253	1¢	$2	0xdfa0c3…
05-31 07:04:12	Will Kyrgyz Republic vs. Kenya end in a draw?	No	SELL	1,397	1¢	$17	0x1d6364…
05-31 07:03:30	Will Kyrgyz Republic vs. Kenya end in a draw?	No	BUY	1,397	15¢	$211	0xc2ab14…
05-31 06:57:24	Will Kyrgyz Republic win on 2026-06-03?	Yes	BUY	253	8¢	$20	0x302d54…
05-31 06:57:20	Will Kenya win on 2026-06-03?	Yes	BUY	357	6¢	$20	0xae6502…
05-31 06:56:07	Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	No	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0x64c9de…
05-31 01:56:05	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x279ae2…
05-29 17:40:59	Spread: Iraq (-1.5)	Iraq	SELL	160	18¢	$29	0x0fe608…
05-29 16:57:12	Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	SELL	345	3¢	$11	0xfbce41…
05-29 16:34:03	Spread: Iraq (-1.5)	Iraq	BUY	89	53¢	$47	0xd165bd…
05-29 16:32:11	New COVID variant of concern before 2027?	No	SELL	21	83¢	$17	0xf3c443…
05-29 16:31:46	Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?	No	SELL	28	87¢	$25	0xdb8e2d…
05-29 16:30:49	Will Iraq win on 2026-05-29?	Yes	BUY	161	87¢	$140	0x5d0a66…
05-29 16:30:31	Will Minnesota Vikings win the 2026 NFC North?	No	SELL	64	75¢	$48	0x075486…
05-29 16:30:26	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	9¢	$45	0x4c33de…
05-29 16:30:24	Will Oklahoma City Thunder advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	96	57¢	$55	0x99c6f5…
05-29 09:26:07	Spread: IR Iran (-1.5)	IR Iran	BUY	90	33¢	$30	0x722a87…
05-29 09:25:41	Spread: Iraq (-1.5)	Iraq	BUY	71	42¢	$30	0xf147e6…
05-27 21:55:14	World Championships: Norway vs. Latvia	Latvia	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xd970d4…
05-26 13:52:52	Will the Social Democrats be part of the next Government of Denmark?	No	SELL	125	3¢	$4	0x07d485…
05-26 13:52:31	World Championships: Norway vs. Denmark	Norway	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0xa9a0a0…
05-23 17:45:38	World Championships: Norway vs. Denmark	Norway	BUY	46	65¢	$30	0x3817a7…
05-23 17:01:09	Will Green Left be part of the next Government of Denmark?	No	SELL	164	27¢	$44	0x95debe…
05-23 11:45:18	Will Oklahoma City Thunder advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	96	79¢	$75	0xdafce3…
05-23 11:04:51	Will "Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	25	97¢	$24	0xdbe989…
05-21 12:38:39	Will Green Left be part of the next Government of Denmark?	No	BUY	48	62¢	$30	0x7fb7ef…
05-21 12:38:12	Will Green Left be part of the next Government of Denmark?	No	BUY	116	61¢	$70	0x8bf962…
05-20 19:50:09	World Championships: USA vs. Germany	Germany	BUY	116	52¢	$60	0x669ea2…
05-20 19:46:16	World Championships: USA vs. Germany	Germany	BUY	79	51¢	$41	0xf643f9…
05-20 18:42:36	Hamburg European Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Frances Tiafoe	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0xec8b7a…
05-20 18:33:40	Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-03-22?	Yes	SELL	217	32¢	$70	0xa7651d…
05-20 18:29:18	Will the Social Democrats be part of the next Government of Denmark?	No	SELL	42	20¢	$8	0x9be49b…
05-20 18:24:06	GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Anhelina Kalinina	Yulia Starodubtseva	BUY	226	9¢	$20	0x37cabb…
05-20 18:04:25	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Arthur Fery vs Pedro Martinez	Pedro Martinez	SELL	94	100¢	$94	0x117369…
05-20 18:02:51	Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-03-22?	Yes	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0x781ea5…
05-20 18:01:49	Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Rebecca Sramkova vs Francisca Jorge	Francisca Jorge	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xb7e805…
05-20 17:17:40	Hamburg European Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alex de Minaur	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	SELL	91	40¢	$36	0x3519a4…
05-20 17:08:44	GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Anhelina Kalinina	Anhelina Kalinina	SELL	244	75¢	$183	0xcd0946…
05-20 17:03:26	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Tristan Schoolkate vs Darwin Blanch	Tristan Schoolkate	BUY	83	36¢	$30	0xcc0d84…
05-20 17:02:25	GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Emiliana Arango vs Anna Bondar	Emiliana Arango	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xfae946…
05-20 16:57:17	Hamburg European Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alex de Minaur	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	BUY	91	22¢	$20	0xd302be…
05-20 16:43:27	Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	87	77¢	$67	0xf91c71…