Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$58

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.0%

Resolved

262

Trades

525

lifetime

Volume

$3.44K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 09-12 20:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 83 days

Categories

Other

62% 34% +$87

Crypto

34% 54% -$76

Pop-Culture

2% 12% -$47

Sports

1% 20% -$20

Politics

1% 25% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 11:45 UTC	10	$134	140	140	+0	Up	+$6	02-08 11:47
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 560 579	2	$128	123	123	+0	Yes	+$118	01-09 18:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 13:15 UTC	2	$97	100	100	+0	Up	+$3	02-08 13:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 12:00 UTC	6	$95	100	100	+0	Down	+$5	02-08 12:05
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 12:30 UTC	5	$95	100	100	+0	Down	+$5	02-08 12:33
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 17:30 UTC	20	$86	111	91	+20	Up	+$7	04-21 17:39
Will Google reach $335 in April?	2	$74	68	68	+0	Yes	+$62	04-15 18:14
1. FC Union Berlin vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 3.5	2	$59	61	61	+0	Over	-$1	05-02 15:10
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 20:15 UTC	19	$58	86	55	+31	Up	+$8	04-21 20:27
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by january 4	2	$54	45	45	+0	No	+$34	01-02 17:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 11:30 UTC	3	$53	50	60	-10	Up	-$3	02-08 11:31
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 22:00 UTC	5	$52	110	10	+100	Up	-$45	02-08 22:03
cfb ore txtech 2026 01 01	3	$52	35	35	+0	Oregon	+$18	01-01 20:49
coin quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 12 2026 0pt61	4	$52	40	40	+0	No	+$14	02-11 18:55
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	7	$50	10,900	2,000	+8,900	No	-$34	01-03 08:29
tmus quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 11 2026 2pt07	3	$49	50	50	+0	No	+$23	02-10 19:46
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 27?	2	$41	50	0	+50	No	-$41	04-27 14:17
will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be less than 400m by january 31	2	$38	29	29	+0	Yes	+$8	01-09 18:43
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 17:45 UTC	9	$36	122	29	+92	Down	-$11	04-21 17:55
net quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 11 2026 0pt27	5	$35	103	103	+0	Yes	-$1	02-10 19:46
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on May 13?	1	$34	35	0	+35	No	+$1	05-13 16:29
wdfc quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 09 2026 1pt43	1	$32	100	0	+100	Yes	-$32	03-29 21:15
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 27?	1	$32	50	0	+50	Down	+$18	04-27 12:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 21:45 UTC	5	$31	73	53	+20	Down	+$6	02-08 21:58
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 11:15 UTC	5	$28	30	30	+0	Up	+$2	02-08 11:27
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 13:15 UTC	4	$28	59	0	+59	Up	-$28	02-08 13:15
czr quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 17 2026 neg0pt18	3	$27	100	0	+100	No	-$27	02-16 10:15
way quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 17 2026 0pt4	2	$26	50	0	+50	No	-$26	02-16 15:44
abnb up or down on april 20 2026	1	$25	78	0	+78	Up	+$53	04-20 08:06
dal quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 08 2026 0pt63	1	$25	100	0	+100	Yes	-$25	03-29 21:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-12 20:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x88eca1…
09-12 20:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe28596…
09-12 11:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x3d91e1…
09-12 11:51:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x01b439…
09-12 11:46:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xc8a20c…
09-12 11:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x5bfbb4…
09-12 11:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xc26f2a…
09-12 11:33:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xdcdd66…
09-11 17:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xbb7da4…
09-11 17:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x1be19d…
09-11 16:59:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xc68962…
09-11 16:57:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0xa83b05…
09-11 16:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x8a14cb…
09-11 16:53:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	SELL	4	39¢	$2	0x3a23a3…
09-11 16:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xe726cd…
09-11 16:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	SELL	6	55¢	$3	0x2a0709…
09-11 16:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x525648…
09-11 16:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x3ecdc3…
09-11 16:48:22	Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	33¢	$4	0x893e62…
09-11 16:48:15	Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	SELL	22	20¢	$4	0xc0d93a…
09-11 16:21:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xdc69e8…
09-11 16:21:40	Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	34¢	$0	0x7d63ff…
09-11 16:21:25	Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	34¢	$0	0x7f424c…
09-11 16:14:42	Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	33¢	$0	0xf3ff2f…
09-11 16:14:25	Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	SELL	2	20¢	$0	0xb2fcd3…
09-09 06:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xa7c1d4…
09-09 06:35:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x376aa5…
09-09 06:32:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0x5094ad…
09-09 06:30:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x23b407…
09-08 09:41:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xfcafe8…
09-08 09:08:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-08 09:05 UTC	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x5fcc82…
09-08 09:04:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-08 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x708d52…
09-08 08:56:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-08 08:55 UTC	Up	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0xac9f85…
09-08 08:54:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xdea5af…
09-08 08:54:10	Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xe83cf0…
09-08 08:53:39	Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	29	0¢	$0	0xcfa00d…
09-07 07:15:30	Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	BUY	25	34¢	$8	0x0e973a…
09-07 05:27:39	Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xcd0249…
08-13 13:21:55	Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xeacbe2…
07-19 19:42:12	Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xe7649f…
07-18 18:12:18	Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	22	59¢	$13	0x6a6006…
07-18 18:10:12	Exact Score: France 1 - 2 England?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x99d04a…
07-08 10:05:05	Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	22	22¢	$5	0x277ef7…
07-08 10:02:25	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x2ed90e…
07-08 10:02:14	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	27	19¢	$5	0x0eb7b5…
07-08 09:56:10	Morocco to score first vs. France?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x5818ae…
07-01 21:24:44	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	No	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0x5d93f2…
07-01 21:22:55	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team total away 2pt5	Over	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x6478c9…
07-01 21:21:50	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team total home 0pt5	Under	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xe45b2d…
07-01 21:17:35	Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x59023c…
07-01 21:17:26	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xa119e2…
07-01 21:17:04	Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xb09cc3…
07-01 21:16:58	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xfda4c9…
06-29 17:52:04	Exact Score: Germany 2 - 0 Paraguay?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x7d7364…
06-25 19:56:46	Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 3 Germany?	Yes	BUY	46	6¢	$3	0x3691b7…
06-25 19:56:31	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 goals deniz undav gte1	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x39db65…
06-21 20:34:31	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x993534…
06-20 16:16:05	Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 1 Sweden?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x92a382…
06-19 15:50:13	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xb06c5f…
06-19 15:47:22	Exact Score: United States 3 - 2 Australia?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0xd2bbe3…
06-18 20:34:47	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	13	4¢	$0	0x16d345…
06-18 20:10:17	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x73e93a…
06-18 19:46:46	Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x18854c…
06-17 13:07:44	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	351	6¢	$20	0x90e8f1…
05-14 07:52:43	DAX (DAX) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x052ecc…
05-13 17:21:54	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $270 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xeeaf87…
05-13 17:09:58	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $300 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	47	42¢	$20	0x35aa1e…
05-13 17:01:18	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $300 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x22f437…
05-13 16:31:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xcdb99a…
05-13 16:31:00	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xc607ba…
05-13 16:30:34	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xdeb697…
05-13 16:30:27	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xb9055b…
05-13 16:29:39	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xa8e077…
05-13 16:29:31	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x3a6096…
05-13 16:29:20	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on May 13?	No	BUY	35	97¢	$34	0x3b5057…
05-02 15:10:54	1. FC Union Berlin vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	61	47¢	$29	0x6eeb2e…
05-02 15:10:32	1. FC Union Berlin vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0x1b974e…
05-02 14:54:28	1. FC Union Berlin vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x0d3d78…
04-27 14:17:44	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x4bb855…
04-27 12:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 27?	Down	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0xe504c7…
04-27 12:22:12	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x965889…
04-27 12:19:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 27?	No	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x273009…
04-27 12:13:52	DAX (DAX) Up or Down on April 27?	Up	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x9e64b5…
04-27 11:36:52	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on April 27?	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x6f1a79…
04-26 13:31:46	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xe55ac2…
04-25 07:10:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 25?	Yes	SELL	7	7¢	$1	0xcb0e5d…
04-25 06:55:28	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 25?	Yes	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0x7be8da…
04-24 22:15:02	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 22°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x7eb913…
04-24 20:58:10	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x8499ed…
04-24 20:56:42	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xf6c1b0…
04-24 20:56:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x4ae673…
04-24 20:55:38	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x1f6c70…
04-24 20:55:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 25?	Yes	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xbc6c5b…
04-24 20:47:04	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x532bc4…
04-24 20:46:50	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on April 25?	Yes	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0xbcb335…
04-24 20:25:10	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x8bca93…
04-24 11:52:42	Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on April 24?	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x9e43a4…
04-24 11:36:48	highest temperature in munich on april 24 2026 19c	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x1d223a…
04-24 11:16:28	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x9578bd…
04-24 10:32:20	Meta (META) Up or Down on April 24?	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb6d948…