Perfect-Reality — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$136

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

43.5%

Resolved

185

Trades

330

lifetime

Volume

$1.11K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-17

last 10-04 13:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Crypto

43% 37% -$73

Other

26% 29% -$32

Sports

16% 25% -$5

Politics

15% 20% -$27

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 28?	4	$98	93	93	+0	No	+$0	05-27 23:40
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 28?	5	$89	222	222	+0	No	-$19	05-27 21:54
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$80	229	229	+0	No	-$1	05-27 14:43
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$67	3,333	3,333	+0	No	+$7	05-18 09:16
Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	2	$62	4,581	4,581	+0	No	-$28	05-17 18:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$54	553	553	+0	No	+$2	05-18 14:43
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$46	133	133	+0	Yes	$0	05-27 14:43
Nothing Ever Happens: May	2	$41	131	131	+0	Nothing	+$1	05-18 23:10
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	2	$38	447	447	+0	No	+$4	05-18 12:54
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	2	$29	71	71	+0	No	-$1	05-19 04:52
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	2	$26	517	517	+0	Yes	-$5	05-18 23:10
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$26	25	25	+0	No	-$4	05-26 18:11
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	2	$21	11	11	+0	Yes	+$1	05-24 03:04
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	2	$20	152	152	+0	open	—	05-19 08:30
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$20	53	53	+0	open	—	05-19 17:55
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?	2	$19	100	100	+0	open	—	05-19 06:12
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	2	$18	19	19	+0	Yes	-$2	05-19 03:25
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?	1	$15	620	0	+620	No	-$15	06-21 05:35
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	2	$12	287	287	+0	No	+$1	05-19 15:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	11	$11	27	0	+27	Down	-$3	05-20 06:04
Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives by June 30?	2	$10	284	284	+0	No	-$6	05-19 23:43
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?	1	$10	294	0	+294	No	-$10	06-21 05:36
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	2	$8	1,667	1,667	+0	No	-$2	06-23 13:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	5	$7	20	0	+20	Up	-$1	05-20 04:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	3	$6	9	0	+9	Up	+$1	05-20 05:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 28?	2	$5	135	135	+0	No	-$3	05-27 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	1	$5	83	0	+83	Up	-$5	05-19 04:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	5	$5	9	0	+9	Down	+$1	05-20 05:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	4	$4	9	0	+9	Up	+$1	05-20 04:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	05-19 06:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-04 13:50:56	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?	No	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x96b31b…
10-01 08:36:38	Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	54	2¢	$1	0x642a4c…
10-01 08:35:09	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 7	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x081f14…
10-01 08:32:57	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xf5f36d…
10-01 08:27:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 08:25 UTC	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xdbb326…
10-01 08:19:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd936ad…
10-01 08:12:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 08:10 UTC	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xe3b4e8…
10-01 08:07:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 08:05 UTC	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x4f050e…
06-24 21:54:05	Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	17	9¢	$1	0x35ce8b…
06-23 13:16:59	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 spread away 1pt5	Uzbekistan	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7934b4…
06-23 13:14:41	Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x36d879…
06-23 13:03:10	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,667	0¢	$3	0x743efe…
06-21 05:37:31	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,667	0¢	$5	0x72f30d…
06-21 05:36:22	Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	294	3¢	$10	0x58eef0…
06-21 05:35:26	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	620	2¢	$15	0x244535…
05-27 23:40:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 28?	Yes	SELL	45	54¢	$24	0xe1b98d…
05-27 21:54:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 28?	Yes	SELL	97	7¢	$7	0x4bfcd0…
05-27 21:44:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 28?	Yes	SELL	135	1¢	$1	0xc12423…
05-27 14:53:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	135	3¢	$4	0xf4a0ce…
05-27 14:52:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	45	53¢	$24	0x1e9868…
05-27 14:52:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	97	25¢	$24	0xd4b150…
05-27 14:51:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 28?	Yes	SELL	48	52¢	$25	0x552e6f…
05-27 14:51:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 28?	Yes	SELL	124	23¢	$29	0x0a269d…
05-27 14:49:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	104	24¢	$25	0x44e8bb…
05-27 14:48:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0xf9bdf1…
05-27 14:46:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xe5673f…
05-27 14:43:51	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	133	17¢	$23	0x821c8a…
05-27 14:43:46	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	149	17¢	$26	0x45cbba…
05-27 07:16:19	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	80	17¢	$14	0x88bf10…
05-26 18:13:56	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	61	18¢	$11	0x9bc426…
05-26 18:11:49	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	25	45¢	$11	0x70d184…
05-24 03:07:21	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	47	17¢	$8	0xaa20da…
05-24 03:06:53	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x0c056d…
05-24 03:04:35	Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$11	0xace6cc…
05-23 14:30:42	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x3b5aaa…
05-23 14:29:38	Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x944c24…
05-23 14:28:24	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	86	17¢	$15	0x0c1386…
05-23 14:27:39	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	112	18¢	$20	0x513027…
05-23 14:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xfac997…
05-23 13:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x0d04ef…
05-23 13:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x4f6a69…
05-23 13:44:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x5c90b4…
05-22 17:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x0b29e9…
05-22 16:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x90345e…
05-22 16:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xb530b3…
05-22 13:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xe986b4…
05-22 08:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x60a78d…
05-21 04:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xed40c5…
05-21 04:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x9a6459…
05-21 04:28:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x5a3240…
05-21 04:22:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xcc60c9…
05-21 04:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x030d10…
05-21 04:16:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x5539a1…
05-21 04:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x2421ea…
05-21 04:07:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x9da431…
05-21 04:07:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xc6e191…
05-21 04:01:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x0ee20f…
05-21 03:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x3a7bc3…
05-21 03:52:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xdcd29e…
05-21 03:47:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x5446a8…
05-21 03:45:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x69a237…
05-21 03:42:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x984d54…
05-21 03:36:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x90c23b…
05-21 03:35:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xa482ef…
05-21 03:31:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x5b43d6…
05-21 03:27:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x5d58ab…
05-21 03:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xe6caa5…
05-21 03:20:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x36c0d7…
05-21 03:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x24b92b…
05-21 03:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xce041c…
05-21 03:13:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xfdcbf6…
05-21 03:08:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x4246ee…
05-21 03:05:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x710021…
05-21 03:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xa6827a…
05-21 02:56:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xfbe400…
05-21 02:55:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x33b46b…
05-21 02:54:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xd21b7c…
05-21 02:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x3bd98d…
05-21 02:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xcdf89b…
05-21 02:46:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x97582f…
05-21 02:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xc76a34…
05-21 02:41:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x0114f9…
05-21 02:40:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xf2e86d…
05-21 02:33:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xb51a60…
05-21 02:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x38c331…
05-21 02:29:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa3454e…
05-21 02:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x9281dc…
05-21 02:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xbf32a9…
05-21 02:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xf745ae…
05-21 02:16:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x6fa8cf…
05-21 02:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xd4d9ab…
05-21 02:12:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x0f87c2…
05-21 02:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x74f6ef…
05-21 02:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x584737…
05-21 01:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x6f3ac2…
05-21 01:52:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x741357…
05-21 01:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x0ea459…
05-21 01:42:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xe3d94a…
05-21 01:37:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xc6609b…
05-21 01:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xf1d531…