Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$406

Unrealized P&L

+$7

Hit rate

62.8%

Resolved

Trades

217

lifetime

Volume

$5.37K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

$92

1 position

First seen

2026-10-12

last 10-28 00:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Other

59% 48% -$303

Sports

13% 100% +$42

Pop-Culture

11% 0% -$63

Politics

10% 33% -$79

Crypto

6% 56% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes		+330	$85	28¢	$92	+$7	10-23 16:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Seahawks vs. Broncos	3	$722	386	386	+0	Broncos	+$42	10-16 03:33
Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 31?	11	$555	500	500	+0	Yes	-$55	10-23 15:21
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	2	$301	344	0	+344	No	+$43	10-13 04:58
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	1	$300	318	0	+318	No	+$18	10-15 07:31
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	2	$205	105	105	+0	Yes	+$5	10-12 16:58
Will "Sacrifice" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	2	$200	231	0	+231	No	-$200	10-16 14:51
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	2	$197	100	100	+0	No	+$1	10-13 04:57
Will "Love Is Blind: Boston" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	2	$184	95	95	+0	Yes	+$4	10-20 10:10
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	2	$180	118	118	+0	No	-$20	10-12 14:51
Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?	3	$180	193	193	+0	No	-$161	10-25 13:40
Will "Doing Life" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	2	$170	186	0	+186	Yes	+$16	10-16 13:12
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	2	$158	174	174	+0	Yes	+$76	10-13 02:06
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?	3	$153	199	0	+199	Yes	+$46	10-20 23:36
Will "Love Is Blind: Boston" be the top US Netflix show this week?	12	$152	276	276	+0	No	-$132	10-25 13:40
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	3	$148	118	118	+0	No	-$60	10-13 01:11
Will "East of Eden: Limited Series" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	2	$142	149	0	+149	Yes	+$7	10-17 10:56
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	15	$119	774	0	+774	open	—	10-28 00:17
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	2	$111	71	71	+0	No	+$11	10-21 05:40
Will "Below: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week?	4	$110	75	75	+0	Yes	+$39	10-27 10:10
Will "Doing Life" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	5	$101	260	30	+230	Yes	+$131	10-18 03:15
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	2	$97	92	92	+0	open	—	10-18 03:14
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	5	$85	330	0	+330	open	—	10-23 16:28
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	1	$79	89	0	+89	No	+$10	10-12 14:53
Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	6	$57	95	95	+0	Yes	-$39	10-25 13:19
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 31?	4	$56	57	57	+0	No	-$8	10-24 03:43
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	2	$54	31	31	+0	open	—	10-17 15:05
Will "Animals" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	4	$52	85	85	+0	No	-$45	10-25 13:24
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	4	$46	130	130	+0	open	—	10-25 19:06
Will "Gladiator II" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	10	$43	202	0	+202	No	-$43	10-27 14:49
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?	2	$43	26	26	+0	open	—	10-18 00:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 00:17:36	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xbb6364…
10-28 00:13:38	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	14¢	$27	0x956143…
10-27 16:03:17	Will "Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x233c8a…
10-27 14:49:32	Will "Gladiator II" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xd93ea3…
10-27 14:47:56	Will "Animals" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x713709…
10-27 14:47:38	Will "Gladiator II" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xb6b892…
10-27 10:20:15	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	378	17¢	$64	0xfdfab8…
10-27 10:18:57	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x92cf4e…
10-27 10:18:57	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x6064d3…
10-27 10:13:56	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x140eae…
10-27 10:13:23	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x51c1ae…
10-27 10:11:38	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xdeef44…
10-27 10:11:18	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xda5314…
10-27 10:10:48	Will "Below: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week?	Yes	SELL	75	99¢	$74	0xc86482…
10-27 10:07:38	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x6973e1…
10-27 10:07:23	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0xa644b9…
10-27 10:07:05	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x23d263…
10-27 10:06:47	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0xc17d21…
10-27 10:06:41	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x87d10b…
10-27 10:06:21	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xfe0073…
10-27 01:31:11	Will "Animals" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xf1e59d…
10-26 19:48:02	Will "Animals" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	19	3¢	$1	0x47a83e…
10-26 19:48:02	Will "Animals" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x212617…
10-26 19:28:29	Will "Animals" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x752780…
10-26 19:15:11	Will "Sacrifice" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	18	8¢	$1	0xa4bfd5…
10-26 19:00:11	Will "Sacrifice" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x03b431…
10-26 18:53:17	Will "Doing Life" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	34	5¢	$2	0x03b678…
10-26 18:53:03	Will "Doing Life" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	34	5¢	$2	0x1cb313…
10-26 18:49:57	Will "Animals" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x9bebc1…
10-26 18:48:38	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	38	60¢	$23	0xcf93da…
10-25 19:12:06	Will "Sacrifice" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x085263…
10-25 19:10:47	Will "Love Is Blind: Boston" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0xd1b248…
10-25 19:09:44	Will "Evil Dead Burn" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	14	15¢	$2	0x98ee16…
10-25 19:09:15	Will "Evil Dead Burn" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	34	15¢	$5	0x334755…
10-25 19:08:23	Will "Evil Dead Burn" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	34	13¢	$5	0xeea44e…
10-25 19:08:11	Will "Primate" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	34	8¢	$3	0xb6e68f…
10-25 19:08:02	Will "Primate" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	34	8¢	$3	0x70df5c…
10-25 19:07:35	Will "Gladiator II" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x2cb62f…
10-25 19:06:48	Will "Evil Dead Burn" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	34	14¢	$5	0xf426e6…
10-25 19:06:18	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	SELL	130	17¢	$22	0xa63661…
10-25 17:06:41	Will "Primate" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	28	8¢	$2	0x8c047a…
10-25 17:06:05	Will "Primate" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	34	8¢	$3	0x53255f…
10-25 17:05:42	Will "Primate" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	34	8¢	$3	0xd490db…
10-25 17:05:38	Will "Primate" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	34	8¢	$3	0x301109…
10-25 17:05:30	Will "Evil Dead Burn" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	34	7¢	$2	0xf8a67c…
10-25 17:05:21	Will "Primate" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	34	8¢	$3	0x8cfca9…
10-25 17:04:45	Will "Evil Dead Burn" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	31	7¢	$2	0xc07179…
10-25 17:04:33	Will "Primate" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xdbf495…
10-25 17:03:44	Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	53	37¢	$20	0xe20da7…
10-25 13:47:09	Will "Evil Dead Burn" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xaf5803…
10-25 13:46:42	Will "Primate" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	34	8¢	$3	0xb3eada…
10-25 13:46:36	Will "Primate" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	34	8¢	$3	0x43cf18…
10-25 13:46:24	Will "Evil Dead Burn" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	34	15¢	$5	0x7a67df…
10-25 13:46:09	Will "Evil Dead Burn" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	34	15¢	$5	0xe88c70…
10-25 13:46:03	Will "Primate" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	34	8¢	$3	0xb93cbf…
10-25 13:40:24	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	SELL	193	5¢	$10	0x86f41d…
10-25 13:40:14	Will "Love Is Blind: Boston" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	SELL	276	4¢	$10	0x47079d…
10-25 13:25:38	Will "Gladiator II" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x89689f…
10-25 13:24:53	Will "Animals" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	SELL	85	4¢	$4	0x8680d1…
10-25 13:20:12	Will "Love Is Blind: Boston" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x0a4a94…
10-25 13:19:54	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	Yes	SELL	90	10¢	$9	0xb872b9…
10-25 11:01:36	Will "Love Is Blind: Boston" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	38	14¢	$5	0x6beb3a…
10-25 10:11:51	Will "Love Is Blind: Boston" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	15	11¢	$2	0x174884…
10-25 10:11:27	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	28¢	$7	0xe612d7…
10-25 07:51:48	Will "Love Is Blind: Boston" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x4bb03c…
10-25 00:54:53	Will "Animals" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xb2a315…
10-25 00:40:35	Will "Gladiator II" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	SELL	35	5¢	$2	0xac737b…
10-24 09:50:09	Will "Love Is Blind: Boston" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0xa55945…
10-24 09:48:29	Will "Gladiator II" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x695b92…
10-24 09:48:02	Will "FROM: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x8a792c…
10-24 09:31:32	Will "Animals" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	60	66¢	$40	0x67b332…
10-24 08:05:18	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	30	74¢	$22	0x302323…
10-24 08:00:59	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x3bae0e…
10-24 07:59:15	Will "Below: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	15	87¢	$13	0xb22696…
10-24 07:51:06	Will "Animals" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x2d0c13…
10-24 07:43:30	Will "Love Is Blind: Boston" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0x98daa2…
10-24 07:38:59	Will "Gladiator II" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xf9cdc3…
10-24 07:37:59	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0x050466…
10-24 07:36:08	Will "Gladiator II" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x4e839f…
10-24 07:32:42	Will "Love Is Blind: Boston" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	38	78¢	$30	0x108b4a…
10-24 03:56:59	Will "Animals" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x4cbb48…
10-24 03:43:14	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 31?	Yes	SELL	30	12¢	$3	0x3e545f…
10-24 02:57:09	Will "Gladiator II" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x49dde9…
10-24 02:08:15	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x780225…
10-24 01:42:45	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	25¢	$6	0x959638…
10-24 01:41:33	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	40	19¢	$8	0x83070a…
10-24 01:39:03	Will "Below: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x66ab41…
10-24 01:37:29	Will "Gladiator II" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x9b4fb0…
10-24 01:33:38	Will "Below: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	40	33¢	$13	0xb01aaf…
10-24 01:30:24	Will "Gladiator II" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	29	30¢	$9	0x4094bd…
10-23 18:12:41	Will "Love Is Blind: Boston" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x280565…
10-23 17:26:53	Will "Gladiator II" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x3d6b35…
10-23 17:09:20	Will "Gladiator II" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x068c05…
10-23 16:33:47	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 31?	Yes	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0xe6c562…
10-23 16:28:30	Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xa43013…
10-23 16:16:32	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 31?	No	SELL	27	78¢	$21	0x3cfd49…
10-23 15:52:54	Will "Love Is Blind: Boston" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0xd36cbc…
10-23 15:49:21	Will "Love Is Blind: Boston" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xcd60ea…
10-23 15:42:05	Will "Gladiator II" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x3aa3f0…
10-23 15:21:32	Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 31?	Yes	SELL	500	50¢	$250	0x126e05…