Quick-Witted-Fallingout — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.0%

Resolved

286

Trades

372

lifetime

Volume

$537

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-03

last 05-14 22:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 50% $-14

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 184 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	6	$21	21	21	+0	Down	$-1	05-06 16:19
btc updown 15m 1770156900	1	$17	20	0	+20	open	—	02-03 22:26
btc updown 15m 1770155100	3	$16	21	9	+12	open	—	02-03 21:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	3	$13	12	7	+5	Down	+$1	05-06 15:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	3	$11	10	7	+3	Up	+$1	05-06 15:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	11	$9	15	0	+15	Down	+$7	05-06 21:02
btc updown 15m 1770156000	1	$8	14	0	+14	open	—	02-03 22:04
btc updown 15m 1770117300	3	$7	53	3	+50	open	—	02-03 11:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 16?	2	$6	10	0	+10	open	—	05-14 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	1	$5	500	0	+500	Down	$-5	05-05 22:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	3	$5	10	0	+10	Up	+$5	05-06 18:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	7	$5	10	0	+10	Up	$-5	05-06 20:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	2	$4	9	0	+9	Down	+$4	05-06 15:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	1	$4	8	0	+8	Down	+$4	05-07 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	1	$4	9	0	+9	Down	+$4	05-07 16:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	2	$4	8	0	+8	Up	$-4	05-08 08:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	1	$4	9	0	+9	Up	$-4	05-07 16:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	2	$4	9	0	+9	Up	$-4	05-08 05:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	1	$4	7	0	+7	Up	$-4	05-07 16:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	2	$4	7	0	+7	Up	+$4	05-07 16:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	1	$4	4	0	+4	Down	+$0	05-06 13:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	2	$4	7	0	+7	Up	$-4	05-08 07:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	2	$4	30	30	+0	Down	$-2	05-06 17:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	2	$4	6	0	+6	Down	$-4	05-06 18:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	2	$4	7	0	+7	Up	$-4	05-08 01:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	1	$4	3,500	0	+3,500	Down	$-4	05-06 14:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	2	$3	6	0	+6	Down	$-3	05-08 06:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	2	$3	6	0	+6	Down	$-1	05-06 18:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	2	$3	6	0	+6	Down	+$3	05-08 04:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	2	$3	6	0	+6	Down	+$3	05-08 08:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 22:14:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xbc880c…
05-14 21:56:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x948200…
05-09 20:16:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	13¢	$2	0x7aeef0…
05-08 09:52:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x38f999…
05-08 09:52:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x35e313…
05-08 09:46:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x2d519c…
05-08 09:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5a4713…
05-08 09:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xb002cc…
05-08 09:37:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xe1b2d8…
05-08 09:37:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x9480fa…
05-08 09:32:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x57d4cd…
05-08 09:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x7b87a7…
05-08 09:03:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xaa57cd…
05-08 09:03:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x0a937d…
05-08 08:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xe83c83…
05-08 08:45:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x21936d…
05-08 08:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x827dcf…
05-08 08:40:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x4fede2…
05-08 08:36:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x0b389d…
05-08 08:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6db090…
05-08 08:31:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x42cabe…
05-08 08:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0xffec96…
05-08 08:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x7ec497…
05-08 08:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x8fae97…
05-08 08:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x27256d…
05-08 08:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xde00b5…
05-08 08:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x9f3da7…
05-08 08:15:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x2c2b3e…
05-08 08:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb375a9…
05-08 08:06:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x19c5a1…
05-08 08:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x225b47…
05-08 08:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x03f78e…
05-08 08:00:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x24cbe4…
05-08 07:56:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x8bc7eb…
05-08 07:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0xcaa23c…
05-08 07:50:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0xfc178c…
05-08 07:46:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xfe2b38…
05-08 07:45:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5277c7…
05-08 07:40:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0xb9b349…
05-08 07:36:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0dc73f…
05-08 07:35:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x80a8ca…
05-08 07:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x383a35…
05-08 07:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x49a51f…
05-08 07:30:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xdf52a5…
05-08 07:25:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x49822a…
05-08 07:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa8245d…
05-08 07:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb8e51e…
05-08 07:15:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x0fe838…
05-08 07:10:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x0d31b3…
05-08 07:05:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xdeb21d…
05-08 07:02:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xfc910f…
05-08 07:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	48¢	$2	0x04f6f5…
05-08 07:00:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xad61b0…
05-08 06:55:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x39a8dd…
05-08 06:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x474763…
05-08 06:45:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x386afe…
05-08 06:45:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6bb5da…
05-08 06:40:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd9a168…
05-08 06:35:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x773044…
05-08 06:30:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x4a1e9f…
05-08 06:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2095f2…
05-08 06:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x71aaae…
05-08 06:25:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc04e3d…
05-08 06:20:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x8888b8…
05-08 06:15:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xd12636…
05-08 06:15:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x8bf6f7…
05-08 06:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x86f65d…
05-08 06:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x963d84…
05-08 06:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x098942…
05-08 06:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x77f257…
05-08 06:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x14e755…
05-08 05:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa7c2f5…
05-08 05:52:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x497ef2…
05-08 05:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xb022c8…
05-08 05:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xa1f322…
05-08 05:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc3baa8…
05-08 05:40:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa073a5…
05-08 05:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4b2291…
05-08 05:30:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xdf40ec…
05-08 05:30:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xfd2850…
05-08 05:25:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x96115c…
05-08 05:21:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x747edc…
05-08 05:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xfee744…
05-08 05:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x716b3a…
05-08 05:15:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc219f7…
05-08 05:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd38fe6…
05-08 05:06:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf2e569…
05-08 05:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3961da…
05-08 05:01:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6e5a69…
05-08 05:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x2b76a7…
05-08 05:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x145487…
05-08 04:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc9f224…
05-08 04:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x31c7a7…
05-08 04:51:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf6e120…
05-08 04:45:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1f1ae8…
05-08 04:45:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x70bd41…
05-08 04:40:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd15783…
05-08 04:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6783a9…
05-08 04:31:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xff9287…
05-08 04:30:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x66e4c7…