Bland-Quart-Prelude — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

19 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$20

$20 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-10 23:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

86% 100% +$1

Politics

14% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (6)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes		+7	$2	26¢	$2	$-0	05-10 23:10
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No		-1	$-1	96¢	$-1	$-0	05-10 21:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	4	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	05-10 23:08
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	2	$2	7	0	+7	open	—	05-10 23:10
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	1	$1	0	2	-2	open	—	05-10 23:02
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	1	$1	0	2	-2	open	—	05-10 23:17
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-10 23:21
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-10 22:11
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-10 09:42
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-10 23:12
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	+$0	05-06 18:52
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-10 22:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-10 17:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$1	05-06 18:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	+$0	05-04 22:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-10 23:17
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	1	$1	0	1	-1	open	—	05-10 21:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 23:21:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x76c10a…
05-10 23:17:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x62fab5…
05-10 23:17:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0xbd4d51…
05-10 23:12:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x52bd0a…
05-10 23:10:42	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xfc5d57…
05-10 23:08:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x1abb4a…
05-10 23:07:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x54f773…
05-10 23:06:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0xd9adae…
05-10 23:06:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x0d199f…
05-10 23:02:20	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	79¢	$1	0x59159f…
05-10 22:36:40	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xccf747…
05-10 22:32:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x45b1a4…
05-10 22:11:04	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xf55f13…
05-10 21:51:24	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x8e7587…
05-10 17:50:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xf998cc…
05-10 09:42:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x1e538d…
05-06 18:52:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xd54489…
05-06 18:48:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x45ad82…
05-04 22:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x1fa697…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	13	$7.54K	38	05-10 23:22
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	11	$567	75	05-10 23:21
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	11	$527	38	05-10 23:20
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	6	$941	42	05-10 23:23
Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc	4	$1.48K	51	05-10 23:13
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	4	$1.06K	43	05-10 23:18