Secret-Hospitalization — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$652

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

85.0%

Resolved

Trades

164

lifetime

Volume

$36.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$220

Open exposure

$11

1 position

First seen

2026-01-31

last 09-01 13:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Sports

46% 92% +$626

Crypto

40% 97% +$11

Other

14% 100% +$11

Tech

0% 100% +$4

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No		+11	$11	99¢	$11	+$0	08-12 08:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	2	$5.4K	2,708	2,680	+28	No	-$3	02-09 02:22
nba gsw lal 2026 02 07	10	$3.7K	2,013	1,800	+213	Lakers	+$104	02-08 04:07
nba cha hou 2026 02 05	7	$3.4K	1,798	1,620	+178	Hornets	+$2	02-06 03:20
nba phi phx 2026 02 07	5	$3.3K	1,820	1,500	+320	76ers	+$10	02-08 04:51
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 100 119	2	$3.1K	1,620	1,520	+100	No	+$0	02-06 08:13
will xrp reach 1pt7 february 2 8	1	$2.5K	2,491	0	+2,491	No	+$5	02-09 02:22
bitcoin above 78k on february 7	3	$1.9K	1,869	0	+1,869	No	+$2	02-07 10:54
nba lac sac 2026 02 06	10	$1.6K	1,690	0	+1,690	Clippers	+$57	02-07 05:30
will the price of xrp be between 1pt80 1pt90 on february 6	1	$1.5K	1,500	0	+1,500	No	+$2	02-06 08:16
nba nop min 2026 02 06	5	$978	600	400	+200	Pelicans	+$22	02-07 04:55
ethereum above 2600 on february 6	1	$800	801	0	+801	No	+$1	02-06 08:11
nba phi lal 2026 02 05	13	$773	800	0	+800	Lakers	+$27	02-06 05:29
nba sas dal 2026 02 05	10	$752	900	0	+900	Spurs	+$148	02-06 03:50
ethereum above 2400 on february 8	1	$638	639	0	+639	No	+$1	02-08 14:00
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 20 39	1	$638	638	0	+638	No	+$1	02-08 08:11
xrp above 1pt7 on february 8	1	$583	584	0	+584	No	+$1	02-08 11:35
nba ind mil 2026 02 06	3	$495	500	0	+500	Bucks	+$5	02-07 03:17
nba den chi 2026 02 07	1	$390	400	0	+400	Nuggets	+$10	02-08 03:16
xrp above 1pt8 on february 7	2	$310	310	0	+310	No	+$0	02-07 09:58
nba uta atl 2026 02 05	1	$184	200	0	+200	Hawks	+$16	02-06 02:54
xrp above 2 on february 7	1	$173	173	0	+173	No	+$0	02-07 08:25
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	1	$140	140	0	+140	No	+$0	05-07 11:56
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	1	$135	136	0	+136	No	+$1	04-06 07:10
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	2	$130	132	0	+132	No	+$2	03-26 06:52
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	1	$129	130	0	+130	No	+$1	06-05 16:42
nba cle sac 2026 02 07	4	$128	200	0	+200	Cavaliers	+$72	02-08 05:20
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	1	$125	125	0	+125	No	+$0	07-08 13:58
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	1	$110	110	0	+110	No	+$0	08-12 08:53
will the price of solana be between 100 110 on february 8	1	$104	104	0	+104	No	+$0	02-08 11:36
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 0 19	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	03-04 09:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-01 13:37:54	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x587c95…
08-12 08:54:00	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8e2308…
08-12 08:53:51	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x556ae8…
08-12 08:53:33	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x012a92…
08-12 08:53:21	Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xb6279c…
07-09 09:13:52	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	78	98¢	$77	0xea37d5…
07-09 08:03:55	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$21	0xa9336a…
07-08 13:58:26	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0xa86957…
07-08 13:57:38	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	15	81¢	$12	0x7ec10a…
07-08 13:57:26	Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8e609e…
07-08 13:55:04	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	France	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x888771…
07-08 13:54:07	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x3d6a48…
07-08 13:53:58	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xc6f73c…
06-05 16:42:16	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	130	99¢	$129	0xdde388…
06-05 15:21:24	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x32650b…
06-05 13:44:52	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x42acc1…
06-05 13:44:39	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xb9aab5…
06-05 13:44:12	will xrp reach 3 in june 2026	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x021bb9…
06-05 13:43:57	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Spurs	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xc0418f…
05-07 12:00:46	Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x72bd7a…
05-07 12:00:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xef4f91…
05-07 12:00:04	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x4ad5f6…
05-07 11:57:46	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x0ca395…
05-07 11:56:52	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x9726a8…
05-07 11:56:34	Will Solana dip to $10 in May?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xa9b438…
05-07 11:56:29	Will Solana reach $170 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9e77d9…
05-07 11:56:17	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	34	88¢	$30	0x520d62…
04-06 07:10:09	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	136	100¢	$135	0xfb3b51…
04-06 07:09:57	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 580plus	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x5abdbe…
04-06 07:09:39	nba cle mem 2026 04 06	Cavaliers	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x493fee…
04-06 07:09:33	nba por den 2026 04 06	Nuggets	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x66c799…
03-26 06:52:33	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 580plus	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x887701…
03-26 06:52:17	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 580plus	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xea59c8…
03-26 06:52:03	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xace35a…
03-26 06:51:41	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xace794…
03-04 09:12:21	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 560 579	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x9be4cf…
03-04 09:12:07	will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x8a47d0…
03-04 09:11:59	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x95c841…
03-04 09:11:21	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 0 19	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0cb886…
02-22 12:23:58	will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0x17f826…
02-22 12:23:50	will solana reach 200 in february 2026	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x280801…
02-22 12:23:42	will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x97c3f0…
02-22 12:23:30	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	107	98¢	$105	0xcf2882…
02-22 12:23:28	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x1cbcca…
02-09 07:33:31	solana above 100 on february 9	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x65ba4b…
02-09 02:57:53	nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	Seahawks	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0xd7a5ed…
02-09 02:35:21	will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$47	0x4860d8…
02-09 02:35:19	will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	Yes	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0x7e9c7d…
02-09 02:30:29	nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	Seahawks	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x02ef3c…
02-09 02:25:09	nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	Seahawks	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x62d7c9…
02-09 02:24:37	nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	Seahawks	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xe61b87…
02-09 02:24:05	will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	Yes	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x1ec004…
02-09 02:22:49	will xrp reach 1pt7 february 2 8	No	BUY	2,491	100¢	$2,486	0x7e29f1…
02-09 02:22:27	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	SELL	2,680	100¢	$2,669	0xadd0df…
02-09 01:36:13	will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on february 9	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x632c85…
02-09 01:35:47	bitcoin above 80k on february 9	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xd748ef…
02-09 01:35:21	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	BUY	2,708	100¢	$2,700	0x68c6f7…
02-08 14:00:57	ethereum above 2400 on february 8	No	BUY	639	100¢	$638	0xf1c403…
02-08 11:36:31	will the price of solana be between 100 110 on february 8	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x4b24b3…
02-08 11:35:51	xrp above 1pt7 on february 8	No	BUY	584	100¢	$583	0xe7877a…
02-08 08:11:23	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 20 39	No	BUY	638	100¢	$638	0x699f9f…
02-08 08:10:55	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 20 39	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9c418e…
02-08 05:20:45	nba cle sac 2026 02 07	Cavaliers	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xc27ae2…
02-08 05:20:45	nba cle sac 2026 02 07	Cavaliers	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x5112ef…
02-08 05:20:43	nba cle sac 2026 02 07	Cavaliers	BUY	80	70¢	$56	0x39697a…
02-08 04:59:57	nba cle sac 2026 02 07	Cavaliers	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0x82f002…
02-08 04:51:27	nba phi phx 2026 02 07	76ers	SELL	1,500	100¢	$1,498	0x9af4da…
02-08 04:39:27	nba phi phx 2026 02 07	76ers	BUY	1,518	100¢	$1,513	0x3cb24b…
02-08 04:39:01	nba phi phx 2026 02 07	76ers	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xae95f8…
02-08 04:22:15	nba phi phx 2026 02 07	76ers	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x56449b…
02-08 04:11:21	nba phi phx 2026 02 07	76ers	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x8decb3…
02-08 04:07:51	nba gsw lal 2026 02 07	Lakers	SELL	1,800	100¢	$1,798	0x77d328…
02-08 03:55:53	nba gsw lal 2026 02 07	Lakers	BUY	1,260	100¢	$1,255	0x917d49…
02-08 03:50:21	nba gsw lal 2026 02 07	Lakers	BUY	300	96¢	$288	0x414384…
02-08 03:48:31	nba gsw lal 2026 02 07	Lakers	BUY	153	97¢	$148	0x21d46d…
02-08 03:30:01	nba gsw lal 2026 02 07	Lakers	BUY	195	80¢	$156	0x74e58f…
02-08 03:30:01	nba gsw lal 2026 02 07	Lakers	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x112355…
02-08 03:16:01	nba den chi 2026 02 07	Nuggets	BUY	400	97¢	$390	0xfa7c8f…
02-08 02:33:19	nba uta orl 2026 02 07	Magic	BUY	57	94¢	$54	0xe3e011…
02-08 02:33:17	nba uta orl 2026 02 07	Magic	BUY	43	94¢	$40	0xb7ce04…
02-08 02:26:25	nba cha atl 2026 02 07	Hornets	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0xad5e43…
02-08 02:10:09	nba cha atl 2026 02 07	Hornets	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0x004bd1…
02-08 02:05:33	nba cha atl 2026 02 07	Hornets	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x17cac1…
02-08 01:47:37	nba gsw lal 2026 02 07	Lakers	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x8657db…
02-08 01:47:37	nba gsw lal 2026 02 07	Lakers	BUY	85	56¢	$47	0x26af78…
02-08 01:43:15	nba gsw lal 2026 02 07	Lakers	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x4e8852…
02-08 01:42:59	nba gsw lal 2026 02 07	Lakers	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x1d2779…
02-07 10:55:53	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on february 7	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xff35c4…
02-07 10:54:35	bitcoin above 78k on february 7	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x0d587c…
02-07 10:00:31	bitcoin above 78k on february 7	No	BUY	1,082	100¢	$1,081	0xea94c0…
02-07 09:58:29	xrp above 1pt8 on february 7	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa45c1d…
02-07 09:58:19	xrp above 1pt9 on february 7	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x583c50…
02-07 08:25:49	xrp above 2 on february 7	No	BUY	173	100¢	$173	0x0e5909…
02-07 08:25:41	xrp above 1pt8 on february 7	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0xb99775…
02-07 08:25:23	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 0 19	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xdc746d…
02-07 06:34:57	bitcoin above 78k on february 7	No	BUY	781	100¢	$780	0x2f0b17…
02-07 06:34:39	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 60 79	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc7a4ca…
02-07 05:30:47	nba lac sac 2026 02 06	Clippers	BUY	235	99¢	$232	0xd1bc1c…
02-07 05:28:43	nba lac sac 2026 02 06	Clippers	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0x778203…
02-07 05:28:37	nba lac sac 2026 02 06	Clippers	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x5d4d53…