(anonymous) 0xa06eb9…96d147 Create alert
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Realized P&L
+$262
Unrealized P&L
+$66
Hit rate
65.2%
Resolved
420
Trades
739
lifetime
Volume
$4.14K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$352
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-21
last 11-06 03:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 69 days
Categories
Other
73% 50% +$230
Politics
21% 45% +$13
Tech
2% 50% +$13
Sports
2% 53% -$3
Pop-Culture
1% 100% +$24
Crypto
1% 7% -$16
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 61 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026? No +46 $10 98¢ $46 +$36 11-05 18:11
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #2 US song this week? No +19 $10 100¢ $19 +$9 11-06 02:07
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? No +83 $10 20¢ $17 +$7 11-05 14:54
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%? No +20 $9 68¢ $14 +$4 11-05 21:48
Will CD Universidad de Concepción vs. O'Higgins FC end in a draw? No +628 $10 2¢ $12 +$2 11-05 16:58
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +30 $10 38¢ $11 +$1 11-05 16:14
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-05 House seat? No +11 $1 100¢ $11 +$10 11-04 07:55
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? No +14 $10 76¢ $11 +$1 11-05 17:11
Will Chromagraph Camera be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 6? No +11 $10 100¢ $11 +$1 11-05 22:50
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after December 2026 meeting? No +24 $10 46¢ $11 +$1 11-05 13:38
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-02 House seat? No +250 $10 4¢ $11 +$1 11-05 23:17
Will Anthropic raise between $75B and $85B in its IPO? No +17 $10 60¢ $11 +$1 11-05 17:03
Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.20T and $1.30T at the end of November 2026? No +13 $9 78¢ $10 +$1 11-05 23:01
Will Kira Freije win the Turner Prize 2026? No +14 $10 70¢ $10 +$0 11-05 22:37
Will Kroger Q3 identical sales without fuel growth be above 1%? No +14 $10 76¢ $10 +$0 11-05 20:54
Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 1.5 Under +20 $10 50¢ $10 +$0 11-05 18:05
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? No +200 $10 5¢ $10 +$0 11-05 15:31
Will Grêmio win the 2026 Copa do Brasil? No +13 $10 78¢ $10 $0 11-05 17:10
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? No +15 $10 65¢ $10 $0 11-06 02:00
Will Tung Tzu-wei win the next Keelung Mayor election? No +14 $10 66¢ $10 $0 11-05 16:26
Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 0.5 Over +20 $10 46¢ $9 -$1 11-05 19:25
Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 5.5 Under — +19 $10 48¢ $9 -$1 11-05 12:37
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +13 $10 69¢ $9 -$1 11-05 16:14
Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 4.5 Over +20 $10 45¢ $9 -$1 11-05 12:37
Will Simeon Barclay win the Turner Prize 2026? No +13 $10 68¢ $9 -$1 11-05 22:37
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? No +13 $10 68¢ $9 -$1 11-05 17:48
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released on November 12, 2026? No +12 $10 72¢ $9 -$1 11-05 23:03
Will Bournemouth finish first in UEL league phase? No +14 $10 64¢ $9 -$1 11-05 18:21
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +14 $10 64¢ $9 -$1 11-05 16:14
Will PP win the most seats in Córdoba in the 2026 Spanish general election? No +50 $7 15¢ $7 +$1 11-05 18:12