(anonymous) 0xa06eb9…96d147
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Realized P&L (30d)
+$16
Unrealized P&L
+$5
Hit rate
60.0%
Resolved (30d)
236
Trades (30d)
466
621 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$1.52K
$3.53K lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$52
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-21
last 11-02 11:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 65 days
Categories
Other
72% 54% +$275
Politics
22% 48% +$21
Sports
2% 53% -$3
Tech
1% 50% +$13
Pop-Culture
1% 100% +$20
Crypto
0% 14% -$11
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
49 active days in 12wk • peak 61 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? No +4 $1 99¢ $4 +$3 10-25 10:29
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +8 $2 38¢ $3 +$1 09-25 22:53
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? No +22 $3 12¢ $3 $0 10-06 23:24
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +3 $2 80¢ $3 +$0 09-22 07:13
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat? No +3 $2 80¢ $3 +$0 09-22 07:13
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +3 $2 72¢ $2 +$0 09-22 05:27
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? No +8 $4 31¢ $2 -$2 09-28 06:39
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? No +10 $3 22¢ $2 $0 10-09 09:24
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026? No +3 $2 70¢ $2 +$0 09-23 07:41
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +3 $3 62¢ $2 -$1 09-22 22:22
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +3 $2 72¢ $2 $0 09-24 08:30
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? No +2 $2 92¢ $2 +$0 09-30 23:42
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +5 $1 34¢ $2 +$1 10-13 20:18
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? No +2 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 10-22 21:50
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat? No +7 $2 22¢ $1 $0 09-22 07:20
Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026? No +6 $1 20¢ $1 +$0 11-02 03:26
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? No +9 $1 13¢ $1 +$0 10-26 06:46
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +2 $1 72¢ $1 +$0 10-22 16:26
Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026? No +8 $1 14¢ $1 +$0 11-02 02:38
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1 $1 88¢ $1 +$0 10-23 07:44
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? No +1 $1 80¢ $1 +$0 10-23 07:42
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +1 $1 82¢ $1 +$0 10-13 13:36
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? No +2 $1 71¢ $1 +$0 10-13 03:34
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +2 $1 58¢ $1 +$0 10-14 22:23
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? No +7 $1 16¢ $1 +$0 10-13 13:41
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +3 $1 32¢ $1 +$0 10-22 22:50
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +2 $1 57¢ $1 +$0 09-23 12:26
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +4 $1 26¢ $1 $0 09-25 19:24
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? No +2 $1 58¢ $1 +$0 10-22 21:59
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat? No +3 $1 42¢ $1 +$0 10-25 04:30