Candid-Understanding — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$118

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.0%

Resolved

1,036

Trades

2,797

lifetime

Volume

$6.61K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-01

last 10-20 12:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 68 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 56% -$116

Politics

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 83 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	10	$41	31	31	+0	Up	+$0	05-14 16:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-05 11:00 UTC	6	$40	32	32	+0	Down	+$1	03-05 11:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 15:15 UTC	5	$34	26	35	-9	Down	+$6	04-09 15:19
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 18:00 UTC	7	$33	34	17	+17	Down	+$1	04-08 18:16
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 18:15 UTC	7	$30	30	30	+0	Down	$0	03-17 18:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	8	$30	24	24	+0	Down	+$1	05-14 17:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	10	$29	23	23	+0	Down	-$2	05-15 20:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	11	$29	30	29	+1	Down	-$1	04-27 16:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-07 08:00 UTC	6	$28	25	24	+1	Up	$0	04-07 08:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-17 15:15 UTC	5	$26	23	11	+12	Down	-$5	04-17 15:31
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 18:30 UTC	5	$25	25	14	+11	Down	+$2	04-09 18:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 09:00 UTC	5	$25	20	20	+0	Down	-$2	04-02 09:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	8	$24	17	17	+0	Up	$0	05-13 16:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	6	$24	18	18	+0	Up	+$0	05-13 18:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	6	$24	16	16	+0	Up	+$1	05-14 17:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	6	$23	18	18	+0	Up	-$1	05-14 13:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-19 14:45 UTC	5	$23	23	12	+11	Up	+$1	04-19 15:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 16:00 UTC	6	$23	24	12	+12	Up	+$1	04-08 16:16
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-17 14:30 UTC	5	$23	23	12	+11	Up	+$1	04-17 14:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 10:15 UTC	8	$23	14	14	+0	Up	+$1	03-03 10:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-17 15:00 UTC	5	$23	23	12	+11	Down	+$1	04-17 15:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-15 18:00 UTC	6	$23	18	18	+0	Down	+$3	03-15 18:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 18:00 UTC	5	$22	18	18	+0	Up	+$6	03-17 18:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-19 16:30 UTC	5	$22	29	8	+21	Down	-$7	04-19 16:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	6	$22	15	15	+0	Down	+$1	05-14 17:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	7	$22	16	16	+0	Up	$0	05-14 16:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-19 15:15 UTC	6	$22	22	11	+11	Down	-$8	04-19 15:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	6	$22	17	17	+0	Up	-$1	05-13 12:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 07:45 UTC	6	$22	21	20	+1	Down	+$3	04-23 07:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-05 23:00 UTC	6	$22	20	20	+0	Down	+$2	03-05 23:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 12:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x8cb99d…
10-20 11:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xfcd174…
10-20 11:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x72706c…
10-20 10:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x42348d…
10-20 10:35:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x2424cb…
10-20 10:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x86acf8…
10-20 09:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xa694c9…
10-20 09:10:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x3b1993…
10-20 09:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x3e6eeb…
10-20 08:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x2364b1…
10-20 08:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xfa01e7…
10-20 07:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xc6e729…
10-20 07:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xb3c97d…
10-20 07:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x1000ec…
10-20 05:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x4b4248…
10-20 04:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x050df8…
10-20 03:30:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x0723cf…
10-20 03:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xed5e07…
10-20 02:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xf3573b…
10-20 02:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x137c59…
10-20 01:40:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xc36ef2…
10-20 01:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x9e59c3…
10-20 00:05:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x6d59fc…
10-19 23:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x1f1432…
10-19 22:35:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x9ea67d…
10-19 22:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x20311e…
10-19 21:35:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x32578c…
10-19 21:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x815cc1…
10-19 20:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xa31441…
10-19 20:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xc68740…
10-19 19:25:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x99f324…
10-19 18:25:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x8d220f…
10-19 18:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x2ceb4a…
10-19 18:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x3d59df…
10-19 18:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xb28e0b…
10-19 15:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xf07109…
10-19 15:25:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x031fcc…
10-19 15:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xbbe7f1…
10-19 14:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x13d2a6…
10-19 13:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xfce7e1…
10-19 12:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x708357…
10-19 12:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x719923…
10-19 10:25:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xaf9861…
10-19 10:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xd3f6fd…
10-19 10:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xc09416…
10-19 07:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x89c2e9…
10-19 07:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x6ae4e5…
10-19 07:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xb5d529…
10-19 06:25:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xef3e69…
10-19 05:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xcc20ce…
10-19 03:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xc3bcad…
10-19 03:35:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x390366…
10-19 02:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xce843d…
10-19 00:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xb09fa9…
10-18 21:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x545289…
10-18 21:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x5e8d6a…
10-18 21:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x31f625…
10-18 20:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x279a79…
10-18 20:25:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xac7766…
10-16 12:25:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:25 UTC	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x17b30b…
10-16 12:15:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xe96eb0…
10-16 09:25:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:25 UTC	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x0b014a…
10-16 09:10:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xc26479…
10-16 09:00:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xf48dd4…
10-16 07:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x27156a…
10-16 07:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x016317…
10-16 06:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xe56820…
10-16 06:05:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xb881f2…
10-16 05:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x706631…
10-16 04:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x963c09…
10-16 04:10:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xa9b9cf…
10-16 03:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x4fd7c7…
10-16 03:45:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xbf1367…
10-16 03:25:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x41728e…
10-16 03:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x9056c6…
10-16 02:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xc99d31…
10-16 00:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xf82433…
10-16 00:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x295efa…
10-15 23:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x26ad6e…
10-15 23:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xe7a818…
10-15 23:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x74411f…
10-15 22:55:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xb76c14…
10-15 22:10:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x3b84ee…
10-15 22:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x015cd5…
10-15 21:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x172875…
10-15 21:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xc79c4d…
10-15 19:55:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xea8b5a…
10-15 19:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xdd04fc…
10-15 19:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xb42660…
10-15 19:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xc7c3aa…
10-15 18:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xa010d1…
10-15 14:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xceab29…
10-15 14:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x7a8fe6…
10-15 13:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xf8b2b6…
10-15 13:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x9338cd…
10-15 11:40:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xc214b5…
10-15 10:55:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xa1ff06…
10-15 10:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x45b430…
10-15 09:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x2ac256…
10-15 08:55:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:55 UTC	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xcf580e…