Exciting-Organizing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$27

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

91.7%

Resolved

Trades

111

lifetime

Volume

$1.13K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-30

last 05-19 15:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

44% 50% +$1

Other

31% — —

Crypto

21% — —

Sports

4% 100% +$26

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	4	$331	351	351	+0	open	—	04-02 01:19
donald trump of truth social posts march 27 april 3 100 119	2	$81	43	43	+0	open	—	04-03 07:59
highest temperature in warsaw on april 4 2026 15c	3	$69	47	46	+0	open	—	04-04 10:07
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	3	$48	63	63	+0	open	—	04-09 21:52
will wyndham clark win the 2026 masters tournament	5	$42	2,500	2,500	+0	open	—	04-11 18:58
highest temperature in seoul on april 5 2026 12c	1	$40	47	0	+47	open	—	04-03 18:50
highest temperature in warsaw on april 5 2026 22corhigher	2	$31	16	16	+0	open	—	04-05 18:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	1	$25	45	0	+45	open	—	05-19 14:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	1	$25	42	0	+42	open	—	05-19 14:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	1	$25	35	0	+35	open	—	05-19 14:36
highest temperature in seoul on april 4 2026 13c	1	$25	28	0	+28	open	—	04-03 10:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	1	$25	27	0	+27	open	—	05-19 15:41
lal bet esp 2026 04 04 bet	2	$24	24	24	+0	open	—	04-04 17:31
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 300 319	1	$20	23	0	+23	open	—	04-04 17:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$20	12	12	+0	open	—	04-10 14:22
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 280 299	2	$18	12	12	+0	open	—	04-03 10:40
nhl car cbj 2026 03 31	2	$17	11	11	+0	open	—	04-01 02:35
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	1	$15	18	0	+18	open	—	04-01 12:20
highest temperature in denver on april 4 2026 58 59f	1	$15	18	0	+18	open	—	04-04 17:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	2	$13	9	9	+0	open	—	05-15 00:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	05-14 20:54
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	4	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	04-12 09:33
btc updown 15m 1775899800	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	04-11 09:46
nba phi mia 2026 03 30 points joel embiid 28pt5	1	$11	17	0	+17	open	—	03-30 16:18
highest temperature in seoul on april 2 2026 16corhigher	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	04-01 21:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	1	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	05-19 14:26
doge updown 5m 1775067000	2	$10	10	9	+0	open	—	04-01 12:49
nba phx orl 2026 03 31	2	$9	11	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	2	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	05-15 01:19
will ben griffin win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$7	1,134	1,134	+0	open	—	04-11 08:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 15:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x50f5ac…
05-19 15:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x2a6c22…
05-19 14:53:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x1f6c13…
05-19 14:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x47fa08…
05-19 14:36:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0xf1d924…
05-19 14:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x6497d9…
05-19 13:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x2390ff…
05-19 13:36:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x4c6fc6…
05-16 01:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xcbf099…
05-16 01:54:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xeb3335…
05-16 00:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x2e5573…
05-16 00:36:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x75dcf7…
05-15 01:19:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0x91df7d…
05-15 01:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x333612…
05-15 01:11:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xffec2e…
05-15 01:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xcd83fa…
05-15 01:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x0c1ba8…
05-15 00:59:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	13¢	$0	0x0e4013…
05-15 00:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x2ce849…
05-15 00:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0x96740e…
05-15 00:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x15bfbf…
05-15 00:50:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xeb9671…
05-15 00:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	SELL	9	89¢	$8	0xcba5df…
05-15 00:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x2ddb65…
05-15 00:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb94858…
05-15 00:36:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x07e7fc…
05-15 00:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x4993ae…
05-15 00:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x9c1d76…
05-15 00:26:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xe48aed…
05-14 20:57:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x8edad0…
05-14 20:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$7	0x24c373…
05-14 20:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x629280…
05-14 20:37:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x471eb9…
05-10 14:51:17	Will Trump say "Kamala" this week?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x110ed2…
05-10 14:50:07	Will Trump say "Hantavirus" this week?	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x8317cc…
05-10 14:49:34	Will Trump say "Secret Service" this week?	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xefb49c…
05-09 22:49:24	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	32	19¢	$6	0xc2af41…
04-15 11:31:24	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	No	SELL	125	1¢	$1	0x520f4d…
04-12 20:36:39	nba 2025 26 ppg leader shai gilgeous alexander	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x511c14…
04-12 20:32:15	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	No	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xd2c87e…
04-12 16:23:15	GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	2¢	$3	0x87c642…
04-12 09:33:47	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xaa54ab…
04-11 18:58:33	will wyndham clark win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	SELL	1,250	1¢	$12	0x2d3c64…
04-11 14:46:53	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	48	7¢	$3	0x95eb56…
04-11 13:23:11	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x9eec4b…
04-11 13:20:53	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x86c7f6…
04-11 13:17:27	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xdb920e…
04-11 13:16:35	GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$3	0x97a815…
04-11 10:12:03	btc updown 15m 1775901600	Up	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0x485922…
04-11 10:10:47	btc updown 15m 1775901600	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xfdfb3a…
04-11 09:46:05	btc updown 15m 1775899800	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xb0fa2f…
04-11 09:43:21	btc updown 15m 1775899800	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x25c797…
04-11 08:51:45	bitcoin above 76k on april 11	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0x08d9e6…
04-11 08:43:35	US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	388	1¢	$3	0xa383bc…
04-11 08:40:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	150	2¢	$3	0xda72b7…
04-11 08:35:27	will ben griffin win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	SELL	1,134	0¢	$2	0xa224a4…
04-11 08:33:27	will chris gotterup win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$1	0x0151c1…
04-10 14:22:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	12	81¢	$10	0x914ee3…
04-10 13:58:15	Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $1.50 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	241	1¢	$3	0x7f431e…
04-10 13:54:59	Will Iran strike Burj Khalifa by April 30?	Yes	BUY	109	5¢	$5	0x09580d…
04-10 13:43:53	will wyndham clark win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	SELL	82	2¢	$2	0xc18870…
04-10 13:43:13	will wyndham clark win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	SELL	500	2¢	$10	0xf87ce6…
04-10 13:42:45	will wyndham clark win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	SELL	668	2¢	$13	0xd402ba…
04-09 22:22:35	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	91	2¢	$2	0x9088df…
04-09 22:16:37	will chris gotterup win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	250	1¢	$3	0x5135ad…
04-09 22:13:35	will kurt kitayama win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	125	2¢	$3	0xadd725…
04-09 22:10:53	will justin thomas win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x7a056a…
04-09 22:08:57	will ben griffin win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	1,134	0¢	$5	0x5d5da4…
04-09 21:59:03	will wyndham clark win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0xca0a95…
04-09 21:52:51	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	SELL	63	36¢	$23	0x177fd2…
04-09 21:34:47	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	38	40¢	$15	0x645a71…
04-09 21:33:03	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x317c18…
04-05 18:27:41	highest temperature in warsaw on april 5 2026 22corhigher	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xd1e734…
04-04 17:40:37	highest temperature in warsaw on april 5 2026 22corhigher	No	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x6e7529…
04-04 17:36:57	highest temperature in denver on april 4 2026 58 59f	No	BUY	18	86¢	$15	0x7ff909…
04-04 17:31:07	lal bet esp 2026 04 04 bet	No	SELL	24	49¢	$12	0xd90c8d…
04-04 17:22:13	lal bet esp 2026 04 04 bet	No	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0xe6b371…
04-04 17:13:53	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 300 319	No	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x389145…
04-04 10:25:15	white house of tweets march 31 april 7 2026 160 179	Yes	SELL	13	13¢	$2	0x2e5511…
04-04 10:07:29	highest temperature in warsaw on april 4 2026 15c	No	SELL	31	63¢	$20	0x014c15…
04-04 10:05:33	highest temperature in warsaw on april 4 2026 15c	No	SELL	15	64¢	$10	0xf30bf2…
04-03 19:01:55	white house of tweets march 31 april 7 2026 160 179	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x2c3516…
04-03 18:57:01	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0xa1a544…
04-03 18:50:31	highest temperature in seoul on april 5 2026 12c	No	BUY	47	85¢	$40	0xc06df2…
04-03 18:47:31	highest temperature in warsaw on april 4 2026 15c	No	BUY	47	86¢	$40	0xd0a63a…
04-03 10:44:39	highest temperature in seoul on april 4 2026 13c	No	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0xfd1b36…
04-03 10:40:59	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 280 299	No	SELL	12	72¢	$8	0x60121c…
04-03 07:59:05	donald trump of truth social posts march 27 april 3 100 119	No	SELL	43	95¢	$41	0xacfb0b…
04-02 21:05:43	donald trump of truth social posts march 27 april 3 100 119	No	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0x0dc082…
04-02 01:26:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x8cdd80…
04-02 01:19:55	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	351	44¢	$155	0xadb3b1…
04-01 23:40:45	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	294	51¢	$150	0xddf801…
04-01 22:53:11	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	33	48¢	$16	0x6d7cf7…
04-01 21:28:41	highest temperature in seoul on april 2 2026 16corhigher	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xb1d8d0…
04-01 13:06:43	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 280 299	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x108d08…
04-01 12:49:07	doge updown 5m 1775067000	Down	SELL	9	49¢	$5	0x69703a…
04-01 12:20:33	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0xde5884…
04-01 02:42:39	nba por lac 2026 03 31	Clippers	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x5e1b66…
04-01 02:35:15	nhl car cbj 2026 03 31	Hurricanes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x39fa6e…
04-01 01:07:27	nba phx orl 2026 03 31	Suns	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0xfc7d9a…