Grotesque-Encirclement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$105

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

167

lifetime

Volume

$1.78K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-02

last 05-10 17:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

62% 0% $-101

Politics

36% 0% $-2

Crypto

2% 0% $-2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	37	$631	71,498	0	+71,498	open	—	05-01 00:18
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?	3	$237	3,383	3,383	+0	open	—	04-17 20:15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?	9	$170	44,651	0	+44,651	open	—	05-01 00:18
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	2	$165	6,321	0	+6,321	open	—	05-03 01:55
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	3	$86	30,919	0	+30,919	Yes	$-86	05-03 18:03
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	1	$60	1,091	0	+1,091	open	—	04-30 16:05
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 18, 2026?	1	$50	119	0	+119	open	—	04-17 20:16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	2	$41	1,883	0	+1,883	open	—	04-30 07:06
highest temperature in seoul on april 21 2026 14c	2	$40	5,045	0	+5,045	open	—	04-21 12:48
btc updown 5m 1775125200	4	$28	50	0	+50	open	—	04-02 10:21
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	5	$28	12,750	0	+12,750	open	—	04-29 22:51
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	3	$27	2,918	0	+2,918	open	—	05-03 12:03
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	2	$25	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	04-30 13:58
will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	1	$20	2,261	0	+2,261	open	—	04-15 15:18
AWS service disrupted by April 30?	2	$19	12,316	0	+12,316	open	—	05-03 20:04
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	2	$14	13,810	0	+13,810	Yes	$-14	05-04 10:45
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 240 259	2	$12	333	0	+333	open	—	04-21 12:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	3	$11	2,062	0	+2,062	open	—	04-27 08:27
will another country conduct military action against iran by april 15 2026	2	$8	225	225	+0	open	—	04-19 19:46
btc updown 5m 1776633000	5	$8	8	8	+0	open	—	04-19 18:52
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 160 179	1	$5	139	0	+139	open	—	04-21 12:56
Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?	1	$5	27	0	+27	open	—	04-20 20:22
highest temperature in london on april 19 2026 16c	2	$4	3,044	0	+3,044	open	—	04-19 19:59
highest temperature in hong kong on april 17 2026 30c	1	$3	772	0	+772	open	—	04-17 21:03
highest temperature in hong kong on april 17 2026 29c	1	$3	1,500	0	+1,500	open	—	04-17 21:01
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	1	$3	26	0	+26	open	—	04-17 15:09
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	1	$3	53	0	+53	open	—	04-30 07:04
highest temperature in seoul on april 21 2026 16c	2	$2	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	04-21 12:49
highest temperature in london on april 19 2026 19corhigher	2	$2	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	04-19 20:00
highest temperature in london on april 19 2026 17c	2	$2	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	04-19 19:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 17:52:19	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x58d643…
05-07 14:38:09	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x1cdc92…
05-07 11:36:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x805dd6…
05-07 11:36:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x54fe4a…
05-06 20:14:01	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0xe86aa9…
05-04 17:13:56	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x34655c…
05-04 14:33:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xa60cff…
05-04 10:45:58	Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0xcdcfca…
05-04 10:41:30	Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3,810	0¢	$4	0xb35b94…
05-04 10:36:46	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x8946e8…
05-03 20:04:38	AWS service disrupted by April 30?	Yes	BUY	11,316	0¢	$18	0x410309…
05-03 20:04:06	AWS service disrupted by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x1860e0…
05-03 19:42:54	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xb3e2c2…
05-03 18:03:32	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	BUY	20,000	0¢	$60	0x65bae2…
05-03 16:17:26	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	BUY	10,419	0¢	$25	0xa309a0…
05-03 16:12:18	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xb0c454…
05-03 12:03:38	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xce158f…
05-03 11:58:10	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xe9f80d…
05-03 11:57:38	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,218	1¢	$20	0x27bda8…
05-03 01:55:02	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,238	3¢	$115	0x520a8f…
05-03 00:59:46	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,083	2¢	$50	0xe36f62…
05-01 12:14:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xa3aede…
05-01 00:18:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?	Yes	BUY	515	0¢	$1	0xf02f0f…
05-01 00:18:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?	Yes	BUY	520	0¢	$1	0xeaaff6…
05-01 00:18:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?	Yes	BUY	605	0¢	$1	0xe55614…
05-01 00:18:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?	Yes	BUY	13,734	0¢	$14	0xacf085…
05-01 00:18:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?	Yes	BUY	178	2¢	$4	0xa0d788…
05-01 00:18:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?	Yes	BUY	450	0¢	$0	0x057af7…
05-01 00:18:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	BUY	17,771	0¢	$80	0xc66e0e…
04-30 23:55:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?	Yes	BUY	20,000	0¢	$20	0xf0521a…
04-30 23:55:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	BUY	670	0¢	$1	0xd792b1…
04-30 23:55:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	BUY	7,231	0¢	$34	0xca8d19…
04-30 23:55:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	BUY	725	0¢	$1	0xc3c8e9…
04-30 23:55:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	BUY	530	0¢	$1	0xbffa04…
04-30 23:55:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	BUY	435	0¢	$0	0x7a14eb…
04-30 23:55:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	BUY	580	0¢	$1	0x31b46a…
04-30 23:55:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	BUY	945	0¢	$1	0x14a43e…
04-30 23:55:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0x0c86f3…
04-30 23:55:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	BUY	430	0¢	$0	0xe1c79b…
04-30 23:55:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	BUY	490	0¢	$0	0xbeafb3…
04-30 23:55:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	BUY	530	0¢	$1	0xa639f2…
04-30 23:55:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	BUY	535	0¢	$1	0x9b0db9…
04-30 23:55:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	BUY	745	0¢	$1	0x425b6d…
04-30 23:55:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	BUY	590	0¢	$1	0x41a08b…
04-30 23:55:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	BUY	540	0¢	$1	0xcda8d4…
04-30 23:55:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	BUY	465	0¢	$0	0xa4fb58…
04-30 23:55:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	BUY	590	0¢	$1	0x6f9f88…
04-30 23:55:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	BUY	445	0¢	$0	0x660235…
04-30 23:55:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	BUY	525	0¢	$1	0x5ad122…
04-30 23:55:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	BUY	560	0¢	$1	0x491cbf…
04-30 23:55:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	BUY	450	0¢	$0	0x01a603…
04-30 23:55:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	BUY	530	0¢	$1	0xeb16d9…
04-30 23:55:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	BUY	505	0¢	$1	0xe5a263…
04-30 23:55:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	BUY	432	0¢	$0	0xd864fe…
04-30 23:55:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	BUY	570	0¢	$1	0x9edc96…
04-30 23:55:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	BUY	455	0¢	$0	0x941c5d…
04-30 23:55:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	BUY	490	0¢	$0	0x7ae4c6…
04-30 23:55:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	BUY	395	0¢	$0	0x795629…
04-30 23:55:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	BUY	530	0¢	$1	0x6501d3…
04-30 23:55:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	BUY	350	0¢	$0	0x4521a3…
04-30 23:55:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	BUY	490	0¢	$0	0x20bc7d…
04-30 22:52:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?	Yes	BUY	4,067	1¢	$30	0x919e9d…
04-30 22:52:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	BUY	11,907	1¢	$100	0x10918d…
04-30 17:17:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	BUY	9,325	2¢	$200	0x889401…
04-30 17:11:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0xc75217…
04-30 16:31:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?	Yes	BUY	4,582	2¢	$100	0x1ab58b…
04-30 16:22:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	BUY	4,289	2¢	$100	0xc155e1…
04-30 16:22:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	BUY	4,896	2¢	$100	0x1c5f5d…
04-30 16:05:36	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,091	5¢	$60	0x02463e…
04-30 13:58:14	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,000	0¢	$20	0x5d8b6b…
04-30 13:38:46	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$5	0x4ee059…
04-30 07:06:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	Yes	BUY	1,831	2¢	$40	0x5bdf8e…
04-30 07:04:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	53	6¢	$3	0x2b2b41…
04-30 05:59:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	Yes	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0x2eb833…
04-29 22:51:32	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0xd6e264…
04-29 13:13:42	trump declassifies new ufo files by april 30	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x9d30b3…
04-29 09:42:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xd70063…
04-28 23:54:26	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	1,250	0¢	$5	0xc0f189…
04-28 20:42:54	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xf3699c…
04-28 16:02:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x9e9853…
04-28 14:30:14	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x96fa3b…
04-28 14:21:58	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x3ffd4f…
04-28 10:51:24	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x5dc516…
04-27 10:10:10	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x736b4d…
04-27 10:05:18	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xdb1430…
04-27 09:25:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x7c0eb1…
04-27 08:27:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$5	0x4e5170…
04-27 06:47:58	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x1c33aa…
04-27 05:16:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$5	0xab6f7b…
04-27 00:08:20	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0x2ebe49…
04-26 23:02:20	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0x984b7d…
04-25 12:19:10	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x76a4b3…
04-25 07:23:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0x9a04f0…
04-23 18:46:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x56c86e…
04-23 18:46:10	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	Yes	BUY	216	1¢	$2	0x49fe12…
04-23 18:40:40	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0x7ee205…
04-23 18:40:38	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x4e5ef4…
04-21 12:56:00	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 160 179	Yes	BUY	139	4¢	$5	0x88bf2b…
04-21 12:55:40	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 140 159	Yes	BUY	283	0¢	$1	0x735ad1…
04-21 12:54:06	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 240 259	Yes	BUY	276	4¢	$10	0xb1a8b0…