Grotesque-Encirclement — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$31

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

86.6%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

7 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$357

$357 lifetime

Avg / trade

$51

Open exposure

$121

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 05-15 11:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

100% 33% $-30

Crypto

0% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 16?	Yes	+228	$90	38¢	$87	$-3	05-15 11:42
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 16?	Yes	-158	$-35	21¢	$-33	+$1	05-15 10:14
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	+10	$1	7¢	$1	$-0	05-08 13:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 10?	1	$200	200	0	+200	Yes	+$0	05-10 19:43
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 16?	1	$90	228	0	+228	open	—	05-15 11:42
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 16?	1	$35	0	158	-158	open	—	05-15 10:14
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 10?	1	$20	6,921	0	+6,921	No	$-20	05-10 19:04
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 10?	1	$10	10,000	0	+10,000	No	$-10	05-10 19:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	$-1	05-07 11:36
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	1	$1	10	0	+10	open	—	05-08 13:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 11:42:19	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	228	40¢	$90	0x2d1474…
05-15 10:14:33	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 16?	Yes	SELL	158	22¢	$35	0xf5101c…
05-10 19:43:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x779d89…
05-10 19:08:27	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 10?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x560796…
05-10 19:04:27	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 10?	Yes	BUY	6,921	0¢	$20	0xdc2b75…
05-08 13:40:12	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xbe4f6f…
05-07 11:36:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x54fe4a…