Nocturnal-Begonia — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.69K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$81

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-06 03:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

73% 67% $-2

Other

23% — —

Politics

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 120 139	1	$105	105	+105	open	—	01-03 06:44
bitcoin above 96k on january 22	1	$105	105	+105	open	—	01-22 06:19
bitcoin above 86k on january 11	1	$105	105	+105	open	—	01-11 03:44
will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on april 1	1	$105	105	+105	open	—	04-01 09:02
will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on march 29	1	$105	105	+105	open	—	03-28 07:57
ethereum above 2800 on january 6	1	$105	105	+105	open	—	01-06 09:38
ethereum above 2600 on march 25	1	$105	105	+105	open	—	03-24 10:44
ethereum above 3600 on january 18	1	$105	105	+105	open	—	01-17 11:30
ethereum above 1800 on march 16	1	$104	104	+104	open	—	03-15 11:17
bitcoin above 60k on march 6	1	$104	104	+104	open	—	03-05 09:15
will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on march 22	1	$104	104	+104	open	—	03-21 09:44
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 340 359	1	$104	104	+104	open	—	03-02 10:46
bitcoin above 64k on march 12	1	$104	104	+104	open	—	03-12 10:43
will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on march 9	1	$104	104	+104	open	—	03-09 09:10
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	1	$104	104	+104	open	—	03-18 11:18
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	1	$103	103	+103	open	—	01-31 10:37
bitcoin above 98k on january 30	1	$103	103	+103	open	—	01-29 07:46
bitcoin above 74k on february 14	1	$103	103	+103	open	—	02-14 11:13
bitcoin above 64k on april 7	1	$103	103	+103	open	—	04-07 10:46
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 400 419	1	$103	103	+103	open	—	02-03 10:33
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 400 419	1	$101	101	+101	open	—	04-16 10:53
ethereum above 2400 on april 12	1	$101	101	+101	open	—	04-12 08:46
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 180 199	1	$98	98	+98	open	—	04-20 09:14
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on April 26?	1	$98	98	+98	open	—	04-25 10:47
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?	1	$97	97	+97	open	—	05-21 11:47
bitcoin above 66k on june 6 2026	1	$97	97	+97	open	—	06-06 03:25
will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on april 20	1	$3	1,000	+1,000	open	—	04-20 09:13
bitcoin above 92k on january 29	1	$2	525	+525	open	—	01-29 07:42
bitcoin above 68k on april 12	1	$2	1,030	+1,030	open	—	04-12 08:45
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?	1	$2	1,000	+1,000	No	$-2	05-06 09:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-06 03:25:00	bitcoin above 66k on june 6 2026	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0xf1a3ae…
05-21 11:47:36	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?	Yes	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0xd587c0…
05-10 08:16:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x206494…
05-10 08:16:38	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd98ad1…
05-06 09:30:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x2ab193…
04-25 10:47:44	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on April 26?	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0xafeb19…
04-20 09:14:06	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 180 199	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x487ef6…
04-20 09:13:40	will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on april 20	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0xe8a7dc…
04-16 10:53:44	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 400 419	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x7b1585…
04-12 08:46:07	ethereum above 2400 on april 12	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x94272c…
04-12 08:45:47	bitcoin above 68k on april 12	No	BUY	1,030	0¢	$2	0xac5a25…
04-07 10:46:55	bitcoin above 64k on april 7	Yes	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x478379…
04-07 10:46:15	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 340 359	Yes	BUY	950	0¢	$2	0xb4212f…
04-01 09:02:53	will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on april 1	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xfc0163…
03-28 07:57:15	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on march 29	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xbe86a3…
03-24 10:44:31	ethereum above 2600 on march 25	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xfc7005…
03-21 09:44:23	will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on march 22	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0xf29b9e…
03-18 11:18:49	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x80fabd…
03-15 11:17:15	ethereum above 1800 on march 16	Yes	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x3f8366…
03-12 10:43:43	bitcoin above 64k on march 12	Yes	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x0f7d3b…
03-09 09:10:47	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on march 9	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0xb243bf…
03-05 09:15:13	bitcoin above 60k on march 6	Yes	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x1af7e2…
03-02 10:46:47	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 340 359	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0xc109f6…
02-14 11:13:37	bitcoin above 74k on february 14	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x5d54cf…
02-03 10:33:32	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 400 419	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0xcbb72c…
01-31 10:37:36	will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0xc2072c…
01-29 07:46:40	bitcoin above 98k on january 30	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0xa337c5…
01-29 07:42:50	bitcoin above 92k on january 29	Yes	BUY	525	0¢	$2	0x971d09…
01-22 06:19:02	bitcoin above 96k on january 22	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xe50c0a…
01-17 11:30:24	ethereum above 3600 on january 18	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x50e7e3…
01-11 03:44:36	bitcoin above 86k on january 11	Yes	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x83b832…
01-06 09:38:47	ethereum above 2800 on january 6	Yes	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xebcbf4…
01-03 06:44:41	elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 120 139	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xe67abe…