Horrible-Blackbird — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$395

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

30.1%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

731

2,625 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$7.63K

$32.6K lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-22 12:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 112 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 40% -$387

Politics

5% 50% -$539

Other

3% 69% -$123

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 69 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down on august 14 2026	57	$606	5,337	0	+5,337	Down	-$606	08-14 14:16
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	3	$581	411	201	+210	Yes	+$7	05-21 03:02
bitcoin up or down on august 2 2026	23	$462	3,195	0	+3,195	Up	-$462	08-02 10:29
bitcoin up or down on july 28 2026	54	$446	5,487	0	+5,487	Down	-$446	07-28 12:57
bitcoin up or down on august 15 2026	14	$420	1,500	0	+1,500	Up	-$420	08-15 12:24
bitcoin up or down on august 22 2026	9	$418	837	0	+837	Down	+$419	08-22 13:41
bitcoin up or down on august 1 2026	87	$412	5,692	0	+5,692	Up	-$412	08-01 14:30
bitcoin up or down on july 27 2026	35	$409	2,354	0	+2,354	Down	+$1,946	07-27 14:37
bitcoin up or down on august 3 2026	17	$402	1,501	0	+1,501	Up	+$1,099	08-03 13:25
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	4	$391	202	202	+0	Yes	+$6	05-26 02:26
bitcoin up or down july 13 2026 3am et	4	$386	400	0	+400	Up	+$14	07-13 07:47
bitcoin up or down on august 17 2026	46	$367	2,560	0	+2,560	Up	-$367	08-17 14:49
bitcoin up or down on august 19 2026	24	$365	1,627	0	+1,627	Up	+$1,263	08-19 14:59
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-01 06:30 UTC	3	$360	400	0	+400	Down	+$40	01-01 06:43
bitcoin up or down on july 18 2026	59	$350	6,619	0	+6,619	Up	-$350	07-18 12:00
bitcoin up or down on january 8	13	$346	200	200	+0	Down	+$22	01-08 13:10
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-01 10:45 UTC	2	$303	307	0	+307	Down	+$4	01-01 10:59
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-01 08:15 UTC	1	$297	300	0	+300	Up	+$3	01-01 08:26
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-01 06:00 UTC	4	$294	300	0	+300	Down	+$6	01-01 06:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-04 05:15 UTC	8	$266	300	0	+300	Up	+$34	01-04 05:25
bitcoin up or down on july 19 2026	22	$266	1,902	0	+1,902	Up	-$266	07-19 09:38
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-01 11:00 UTC	2	$264	300	0	+300	Up	+$36	01-01 11:12
bitcoin up or down on july 17 2026	54	$264	6,872	0	+6,872	Down	-$264	07-17 14:17
bitcoin up or down on august 20 2026	47	$251	3,258	0	+3,258	Up	-$251	08-20 13:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-02 12:15 UTC	4	$250	300	0	+300	Down	-$250	01-02 12:28
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 21?	42	$242	3,821	0	+3,821	Up	-$242	07-21 14:47
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 6?	10	$236	325	0	+325	Down	+$89	09-06 14:34
highest temperature in shanghai on march 17 2026 13c	13	$227	159	159	+0	No	+$24	03-17 10:31
bitcoin up or down july 12 2026 8pm et	18	$211	600	0	+600	Up	-$211	07-13 00:56
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-02 03:00 UTC	1	$201	205	0	+205	Up	+$4	01-02 03:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 12:41:57	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 22?	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x5eb699…
10-22 06:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 22?	Up	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x8fdb38…
10-22 05:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 22?	Up	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x695741…
10-22 05:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 22?	Up	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x56a9f4…
10-22 05:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 22?	Up	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0xb070bc…
10-22 04:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 22?	Up	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0xbb527c…
10-22 04:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 22?	Up	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x3980a2…
10-19 13:54:23	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19?	Down	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x68726b…
10-19 13:35:45	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19?	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x1f0d3f…
10-19 13:22:17	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19?	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x65a943…
10-19 12:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19?	Down	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x33943a…
10-19 06:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19?	Down	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0xfdb2af…
10-19 05:29:23	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19?	Down	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x4e99c0…
10-19 05:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19?	Down	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x0affe3…
10-18 13:31:05	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 18?	Down	BUY	30	45¢	$14	0xfc55cc…
10-18 13:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 18?	Down	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0x47d9a0…
10-18 13:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 18?	Down	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x30ad93…
10-18 13:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 18?	Down	BUY	52	9¢	$5	0xf967ef…
10-18 13:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 18?	Down	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0xfd4b82…
10-18 13:11:09	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 18?	Down	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x07d0fa…
10-18 13:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 18?	Down	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xc64435…
10-18 12:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 18?	Down	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x92d7ed…
10-18 11:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 18?	Down	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x1b1f13…
10-18 11:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 18?	Down	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x5ed6eb…
10-18 11:50:11	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 18?	Down	BUY	8	9¢	$1	0x9a273e…
10-18 11:44:17	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 18?	Down	BUY	0	9¢	$0	0xf260a3…
10-18 11:38:57	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 18?	Down	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0xae43aa…
10-18 11:34:47	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 18?	Down	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x04495c…
10-18 11:23:32	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 18?	Down	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0xedce72…
10-18 11:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 18?	Down	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x583be1…
10-18 11:16:41	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 18?	Down	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x6fdced…
10-09 12:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 9?	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xd16f70…
10-09 08:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 9?	Down	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xd030b2…
10-09 08:23:52	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 9?	Down	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x509951…
10-08 13:04:47	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 8?	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xac3c5e…
10-08 13:04:36	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 8?	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x520f26…
10-08 13:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 8?	Up	BUY	98	9¢	$9	0x7a190a…
10-08 13:02:21	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 8?	Up	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0x018deb…
10-07 06:59:21	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	24	11¢	$3	0xcd7f99…
10-07 06:57:35	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	8	11¢	$1	0xf65b1c…
10-07 06:57:29	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	8	11¢	$1	0x814c25…
10-07 06:55:29	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	8	11¢	$1	0xe1250d…
10-07 06:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	8	11¢	$1	0xcdab4a…
10-07 06:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	8	11¢	$1	0x1021da…
10-07 06:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	8	11¢	$1	0xd7db88…
10-07 06:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	8	11¢	$1	0x9fa688…
10-07 06:51:14	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	8	11¢	$1	0x36d538…
10-07 06:49:51	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x1073fc…
10-07 06:41:50	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	12	11¢	$1	0x7aa97c…
10-07 06:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x6a715b…
10-07 06:12:56	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	30	9¢	$3	0x2327a9…
10-07 05:51:14	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x82de2b…
10-07 05:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xd656fc…
10-07 05:50:45	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	4	9¢	$0	0x09217f…
10-07 05:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	55	9¢	$5	0xe88f6a…
10-07 05:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	24	9¢	$2	0x0e85db…
10-07 05:34:56	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	76	9¢	$7	0xde1f9a…
10-07 05:24:57	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	35	9¢	$3	0x08bbb2…
10-07 05:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	65	9¢	$6	0xe1dd26…
10-07 05:01:39	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0xa12f61…
10-07 04:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0xa41c04…
10-07 04:21:47	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0xfd2b4c…
10-06 13:01:22	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6?	Down	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xa32267…
10-06 12:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6?	Down	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x083b1d…
10-06 12:34:16	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6?	Down	BUY	60	11¢	$7	0xd1a0dd…
10-06 12:34:16	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6?	Down	BUY	39	11¢	$4	0x914eb7…
10-06 12:31:40	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6?	Down	BUY	0	11¢	$0	0x80775c…
10-06 12:31:40	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6?	Down	BUY	39	11¢	$4	0x6c75dd…
10-06 12:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6?	Down	BUY	61	11¢	$7	0x0e3e21…
10-06 12:17:45	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6?	Down	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x59eb08…
10-06 12:03:07	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6?	Down	BUY	57	9¢	$5	0x62eb3b…
10-06 12:02:25	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6?	Down	BUY	43	9¢	$4	0x21200f…
10-06 11:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6?	Down	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0xd52f09…
10-06 11:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6?	Down	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0xca5636…
10-05 13:43:11	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?	Down	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0xee2c17…
10-05 13:42:59	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?	Down	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0x0d3554…
10-05 13:19:55	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?	Down	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0xa2e1b7…
10-05 13:18:52	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?	Down	BUY	89	8¢	$7	0x38983a…
10-04 13:31:26	bitcoin up or down on october 4 2026	Down	BUY	0	9¢	$0	0x05d635…
10-04 13:31:22	bitcoin up or down on october 4 2026	Down	BUY	93	9¢	$8	0xf469f6…
10-04 13:30:56	bitcoin up or down on october 4 2026	Down	BUY	7	9¢	$1	0x52dc90…
10-04 12:08:59	bitcoin up or down on october 4 2026	Down	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0xa2eb79…
10-04 11:53:41	bitcoin up or down on october 4 2026	Down	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x54b38d…
10-04 11:37:07	bitcoin up or down on october 4 2026	Down	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x97178f…
10-03 12:31:51	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 3?	Up	BUY	22	11¢	$2	0xcc24d3…
10-03 11:36:39	bitcoin up or down on october 3 2026	Up	BUY	64	5¢	$3	0xc1c1fc…
10-03 11:34:23	bitcoin up or down on october 3 2026	Up	BUY	4	6¢	$0	0x760ebe…
10-03 11:34:20	bitcoin up or down on october 3 2026	Up	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x99949b…
10-03 11:34:18	bitcoin up or down on october 3 2026	Up	BUY	46	6¢	$3	0xa08413…
10-03 11:04:53	bitcoin up or down on october 3 2026	Up	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0x8f5389…
10-03 06:54:35	bitcoin up or down on october 3 2026	Up	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0xe81a44…
10-03 06:38:42	bitcoin up or down on october 3 2026	Up	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xf6cc53…
10-03 06:38:42	bitcoin up or down on october 3 2026	Up	BUY	90	8¢	$7	0x13d984…
10-03 06:28:21	bitcoin up or down on october 3 2026	Up	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x1d5008…
10-03 06:26:27	bitcoin up or down on october 3 2026	Up	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x379524…
10-03 06:23:38	bitcoin up or down on october 3 2026	Up	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0xdbd6d8…
10-03 06:02:48	bitcoin up or down on october 3 2026	Up	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0xef4653…
10-03 05:52:09	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 3?	Up	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x28bc1f…
10-03 05:47:42	bitcoin up or down on october 3 2026	Up	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0xea0d14…
10-03 00:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 3?	Up	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x4c3435…