Slimy-Ottoman — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$26

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

33.6%

Resolved

Trades

9,531

lifetime

Volume

$43.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$86

1 position

First seen

2026-02-10

last 06-30 10:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 36% $-26

Other

2% — —

Politics

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 422 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No		+100	$85	86¢	$86	+$2	06-16 11:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1770720300	5	$510	570	0	+570	open	—	02-10 10:59
btc updown 15m 1770792300	16	$463	301	298	+3	open	—	02-11 06:59
btc updown 15m 1770795000	14	$443	390	386	+3	open	—	02-11 07:43
btc updown 15m 1770793200	14	$394	483	255	+228	open	—	02-11 07:12
btc updown 15m 1770704100	8	$371	426	107	+319	open	—	02-10 06:28
btc updown 15m 1770795900	9	$288	375	74	+301	open	—	02-11 07:57
btc updown 15m 1770797700	13	$243	287	285	+2	open	—	02-11 08:28
btc updown 15m 1770794100	11	$232	229	227	+3	open	—	02-11 07:27
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	2	$168	100	100	+0	open	—	06-27 02:58
btc updown 15m 1770718500	13	$148	229	118	+111	open	—	02-10 10:29
btc updown 15m 1770702300	8	$145	153	88	+66	open	—	02-10 06:00
btc updown 15m 1770721200	11	$128	167	139	+28	open	—	02-10 11:14
btc updown 15m 1770716700	14	$125	199	145	+55	open	—	02-10 09:59
btc updown 15m 1770867900	10	$121	122	91	+31	open	—	02-12 03:58
btc updown 15m 1770717600	8	$106	125	46	+79	open	—	02-10 10:14
btc updown 15m 1770868800	10	$106	122	91	+31	open	—	02-12 04:12
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	4	$97	50	50	+0	open	—	04-29 11:07
btc updown 15m 1770798600	4	$95	113	111	+1	open	—	02-11 08:37
btc updown 15m 1770800400	6	$90	108	107	+1	open	—	02-11 09:08
btc updown 15m 1770712200	8	$90	125	82	+43	open	—	02-10 08:45
btc updown 15m 1770791400	7	$89	96	74	+22	open	—	02-11 06:43
btc updown 5m 1770973500	8	$85	60	60	+0	open	—	02-13 09:09
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	1	$85	100	0	+100	open	—	06-16 11:31
btc updown 15m 1771318800	12	$85	140	119	+21	open	—	02-17 09:14
btc updown 15m 1770870600	13	$84	95	94	+1	open	—	02-12 04:42
eth updown 15m 1770703200	2	$82	89	0	+89	open	—	02-10 06:14
btc updown 15m 1770767100	10	$65	80	79	+1	open	—	02-10 23:59
btc updown 15m 1770766200	9	$64	94	42	+52	open	—	02-10 23:37
btc updown 15m 1770714900	6	$64	106	66	+40	open	—	02-10 09:28
btc updown 5m 1770871500	3	$62	64	38	+27	open	—	02-12 04:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 10:33:16	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 team to advance	Mexico	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0x00016b…
06-30 10:32:58	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 team to advance	Mexico	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xd24af5…
06-28 02:14:02	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0xabcf84…
06-27 12:04:59	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 spread away 2pt5	England	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x8f45c5…
06-27 12:04:41	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 spread away 2pt5	England	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x2e6f21…
06-27 02:58:47	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	100	86¢	$86	0xd086e5…
06-26 22:34:31	fifwc nzl bel 2026 06 26 spread away 1pt5	Belgium	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0xa7d8e9…
06-25 12:52:22	Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0xbf92a6…
06-25 12:51:55	Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x7f98e6…
06-25 12:36:22	fifwc kor civ 2026 06 25 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xc00574…
06-25 12:26:50	fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 spread away 2pt5	Netherlands	BUY	19	55¢	$10	0xabdc6a…
06-24 11:45:52	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	Morocco	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x17b678…
06-23 11:21:28	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 spread home 2pt5	England	BUY	30	39¢	$12	0x9eb3fe…
06-22 12:12:11	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x92d088…
06-22 12:12:02	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x215b75…
06-21 11:54:13	Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0x540e20…
06-21 11:43:55	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 spread home 2pt5	Spain	BUY	19	55¢	$10	0x27ad5c…
06-21 00:31:16	fifwc ecu kor 2026 06 20 total 3pt5	Over	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0x05faff…
06-20 08:10:07	fifwc ecu kor 2026 06 20 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x53f1f9…
06-20 08:09:07	fifwc ecu kor 2026 06 20 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	10	38¢	$4	0x8de821…
06-20 08:08:43	fifwc ecu kor 2026 06 20 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xf3eacb…
06-19 10:25:43	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 spread home 2pt5	Brazil	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x4699eb…
06-19 10:23:49	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 btts	Yes	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0x366e3f…
06-19 05:51:22	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 btts	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x4c5fc5…
06-18 23:45:04	fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 spread home 5pt5	Qatar	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0xc1a78c…
06-18 23:44:47	fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 total 5pt5	Under	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0xc9df3a…
06-18 23:44:26	fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xf17d23…
06-18 23:41:22	fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 spread home 5pt5	Qatar	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x0aefb8…
06-18 09:13:07	fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xf83230…
06-17 11:13:41	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 goals cristiano ronaldo gte1	Yes	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x1d77bb…
06-16 11:33:03	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0xda3eed…
06-16 11:31:16	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x5da86f…
06-15 08:06:19	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x91b8a5…
06-15 08:05:43	Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x52a8d5…
06-14 01:49:25	Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x372a49…
06-14 01:48:51	Will Canada advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xdb70e1…
06-12 11:08:19	spacex ipo will elon musk ring the bell 20260608201006493	Yes	BUY	4	22¢	$1	0x0894e2…
06-12 10:56:06	spacex ipo will elon musk ring the bell 20260608201006493	Yes	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x10f9d8…
05-17 04:15:50	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xc90073…
05-11 08:44:58	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	130	1¢	$1	0x83b13e…
05-10 12:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xb69efa…
05-10 12:04:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	8	14¢	$1	0xd8bc7b…
05-10 12:03:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x717ea7…
05-10 12:03:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	5¢	$1	0x0539c3…
05-10 12:03:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x0157b7…
05-10 11:56:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xf00904…
05-10 11:54:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x455cdc…
05-10 11:52:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x224252…
05-10 11:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x2e6b74…
05-06 12:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x860685…
05-06 12:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x668498…
05-06 12:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0x1473f9…
05-06 12:51:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xf1f27a…
05-06 12:51:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x7e19c5…
05-06 12:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x40fb4e…
05-06 12:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x3f924e…
05-06 12:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x36a71a…
05-06 12:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0xfd90f5…
05-06 12:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xccff66…
05-06 12:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xbace05…
05-06 12:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x4650c3…
05-06 12:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xa12627…
05-06 12:40:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x605e88…
05-06 12:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xf7822a…
05-06 12:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0x6a4cbb…
05-06 12:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x929df8…
05-06 12:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xa90c05…
05-06 12:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x73bc46…
05-06 12:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xb86d04…
05-06 12:28:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0xd53bca…
05-05 07:56:38	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 15 2026?	No	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0xf4f633…
05-03 05:16:28	XRP Up or Down - May 3, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x5c343c…
05-03 05:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x647aa1…
05-03 05:00:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x6d9974…
05-03 04:45:42	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xc8d7fd…
05-03 04:45:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x9e5e53…
05-03 04:45:30	XRP Up or Down - May 3, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xcb6bf2…
05-03 04:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x29365b…
05-03 04:30:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x82bc1c…
05-03 04:30:34	XRP Up or Down - May 3, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x758599…
05-03 04:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x64d994…
05-03 04:30:28	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x928fcc…
05-03 00:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xf57e06…
05-03 00:15:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x5feb31…
05-03 00:15:16	XRP Up or Down - May 2, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xcda4f9…
05-03 00:01:22	XRP Up or Down - May 2, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x32e6c1…
05-03 00:01:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x94b35b…
05-03 00:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xffb2bb…
05-02 23:45:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x8e7270…
05-02 23:45:16	XRP Up or Down - May 2, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xf26310…
05-02 23:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xa6b121…
05-02 23:32:14	XRP Up or Down - May 2, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x478a9f…
05-02 23:30:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x04face…
05-02 23:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x7755f6…
05-02 23:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x4e4870…
05-02 23:15:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xaa8864…
05-02 23:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x8b75d3…
05-02 22:02:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x87bf1f…
05-02 22:01:00	Solana Up or Down - May 2, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xb2bb48…
05-02 22:00:48	XRP Up or Down - May 2, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xb92ddb…