Raw-Snowman — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$117

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-29

last 06-06 19:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

48% 100% +$1

Sports

31% — —

Politics

17% — —

Crypto

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes		+6	$5	90¢	$5	+$0	06-06 19:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$18	68	+68	open	—	02-28 23:29
lol g2 fox1 2026 03 20	2	$12	12	+12	open	—	03-20 15:22
Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	2	$11	11	+11	Yes	+$0	04-20 01:53
will barcelona reach the uefa champions league quarter finals	1	$10	13	+13	open	—	03-11 21:11
Will Lens finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?	1	$10	10	+10	open	—	04-19 23:01
will liverpool reach the uefa champions league quarter finals	1	$5	7	+7	open	—	03-11 21:12
will atltico madrid reach the uefa champions league quarter finals	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	03-11 21:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	1	$5	7	+7	open	—	05-30 15:50
will porto reach the uefa europa league quarter finals	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	03-13 01:56
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	06-06 19:26
lol blg g2 2026 03 18	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	03-18 13:45
lol gen ly 2026 03 19	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	03-18 13:32
lol fox1 tsw 2026 03 18	2	$3	3	+3	open	—	03-18 16:51
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	1	$2	2	+2	open	—	04-11 19:59
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$0	03-06 12:47
will arsenal reach the uefa champions league quarter finals	1	$2	2	+2	open	—	03-11 21:10
lol jdg lll 2026 03 19	1	$2	2	+2	open	—	03-19 15:01
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	1	$2	2	+2	open	—	04-11 19:59
GTA VI released before June 2026?	2	$2	2	+2	open	—	02-22 15:07
us forces enter iran by february 28	1	$2	2	+2	open	—	02-28 23:30
Will Lille finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	04-19 23:01
lol gen fox1 2026 03 01	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	02-28 23:31
will paris saint germain advance to the round of 16	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	01-29 04:34
lol ly jdg 2026 03 20	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	03-20 15:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-06 19:26:58	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x8da57a…
05-30 15:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x14c49c…
04-20 01:53:44	Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa542f6…
04-19 23:01:54	Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	Yes	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x3792ad…
04-19 23:01:24	Will Lens finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2a10a5…
04-19 23:01:12	Will Lille finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x0744d0…
04-11 19:59:49	Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	Yes	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xdd3bf6…
04-11 19:59:39	Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	Yes	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x7cc9c7…
03-20 15:56:47	lol ly jdg 2026 03 20	JD Gaming	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xf84069…
03-20 15:22:21	lol g2 fox1 2026 03 20	G2 Esports	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc61c8e…
03-20 15:13:53	lol g2 fox1 2026 03 20	G2 Esports	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xa9df06…
03-19 15:01:27	lol jdg lll 2026 03 19	JD Gaming	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x9c6809…
03-18 16:51:07	lol fox1 tsw 2026 03 18	BNK FEARX	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x7c9755…
03-18 15:26:09	lol fox1 tsw 2026 03 18	BNK FEARX	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7d2ffd…
03-18 13:45:27	lol blg g2 2026 03 18	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x5dd59f…
03-18 13:32:39	lol gen ly 2026 03 19	Gen.G	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x031bdb…
03-13 01:56:03	will porto reach the uefa europa league quarter finals	Yes	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x449f4c…
03-11 21:12:25	will liverpool reach the uefa champions league quarter finals	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x75d9c8…
03-11 21:11:53	will barcelona reach the uefa champions league quarter finals	Yes	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x8dd32d…
03-11 21:11:07	will atltico madrid reach the uefa champions league quarter finals	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x276ac5…
03-11 21:10:49	will arsenal reach the uefa champions league quarter finals	Yes	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xb2f4d8…
03-06 12:47:05	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xb144ce…
02-28 23:31:31	lol gen fox1 2026 03 01	Gen.G	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xf3f7d7…
02-28 23:30:25	us forces enter iran by february 28	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x586774…
02-28 23:29:15	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	17	96¢	$16	0xde63d3…
02-28 23:28:09	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	51	4¢	$2	0x68b306…
02-22 15:07:24	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd5abf2…
02-22 15:04:50	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5ec624…
01-29 04:34:56	will paris saint germain advance to the round of 16	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x80fdce…