Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$216

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

53.6%

Resolved

366

Trades

635

lifetime

Volume

$5.79K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$94

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-11 16:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 108 days

Categories

Other

68% 34% -$9

Politics

28% 55% +$229

Crypto

2% 53% +$29

Sports

1% 29% -$33

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-60	-$50	96¢	$-58	-$7	08-11 16:56
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?	Yes	-30	-$15	72¢	$-22	-$7	08-11 16:57
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?	Yes	-81	-$25	15¢	$-12	+$13	08-11 16:56
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	-90	-$3	2¢	$-2	+$1	08-11 16:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	20	$737	896	0	+896	Yes	+$159	02-28 06:40
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	7	$200	253	0	+253	Yes	+$53	02-28 06:37
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	3	$140	157	0	+157	Yes	+$17	02-28 06:38
will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	2	$139	0	151	-151	Yes	-$13	01-18 19:20
US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?	2	$90	99	0	+99	Yes	+$9	02-28 06:38
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?	2	$70	78	0	+78	Yes	+$8	02-28 06:38
fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 spread home 1pt5	2	$66	49	49	+0	Mexico	+$26	06-11 20:37
amzn up or down on january 12 2026	2	$62	80	0	+80	Down	-$3	01-12 21:00
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?	2	$60	71	0	+71	Yes	+$11	02-28 06:37
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?	2	$59	68	0	+68	Yes	+$9	02-28 06:37
aapl up or down on january 23 2026	4	$54	110	0	+110	Down	+$56	01-23 14:31
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	1	$50	0	60	-60	open	—	08-11 16:56
abnb up or down on july 10 2026	3	$50	100	0	+100	Up	+$50	07-10 13:31
US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?	1	$50	58	0	+58	Yes	+$8	02-28 06:37
nflx up or down on january 20 2026	4	$48	53	43	+10	Down	-$18	01-20 10:30
tsla up or down on march 17 2026	1	$44	82	0	+82	Up	-$44	03-17 13:30
open up or down on april 6 2026	2	$39	68	0	+68	Down	-$19	04-06 13:30
googl up or down on january 20 2026	1	$38	55	0	+55	Down	+$18	01-19 07:20
spy up or down on august 11 2026	3	$38	29	29	+0	Down	+$12	08-11 16:57
spx up or down on june 26 2026	2	$34	40	40	+0	Down	+$12	06-26 18:45
nflx up or down on january 27 2026	2	$32	65	0	+65	Down	+$33	01-27 14:30
spx up or down on august 11 2026	2	$32	25	25	+0	Down	+$12	08-11 16:57
tsla up or down on april 9 2026	2	$32	65	0	+65	Up	+$33	04-09 13:30
open up or down on july 30 2026	1	$31	70	0	+70	Up	-$31	07-30 13:30
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	6	$31	52	52	+0	Yes	+$11	06-15 17:39
US strikes Iran by March 11, 2026?	1	$30	35	0	+35	Yes	+$5	02-28 06:37
aapl quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 29 2026 2pt67	8	$29	403	0	+403	Yes	-$29	01-28 21:11
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	1	$26	40	0	+40	No	+$14	03-21 13:59
nflx up or down on april 1 2026	3	$26	57	0	+57	Down	+$31	04-01 13:33
spx up or down on march 17 2026	3	$26	120	0	+120	Up	-$26	03-17 16:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 16:57:37	spx up or down on august 11 2026	Down	SELL	25	87¢	$22	0x65a4ef…
08-11 16:57:34	spy up or down on august 11 2026	Down	SELL	29	86¢	$25	0x3cfc51…
08-11 16:57:16	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	90	4¢	$3	0x71af3d…
08-11 16:57:12	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	23	50¢	$11	0x8d2f82…
08-11 16:57:06	Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	50¢	$15	0x845867…
08-11 16:56:58	Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?	Yes	SELL	81	31¢	$25	0x0034bc…
08-11 16:56:54	Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	84¢	$50	0x270d4f…
08-11 13:34:09	spy up or down on august 11 2026	Down	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x535539…
08-11 13:33:43	spy up or down on august 11 2026	Down	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x5d80a3…
08-11 13:31:58	spx up or down on august 11 2026	Down	BUY	25	41¢	$10	0xd442f6…
08-10 15:00:22	spx up or down on august 10 2026	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x38c397…
08-10 15:00:03	spx up or down on august 10 2026	Down	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xdbafe3…
08-10 14:59:31	spx up or down on august 10 2026	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x21405c…
08-10 14:59:24	spx up or down on august 10 2026	Down	BUY	30	41¢	$12	0xb8b4b1…
08-10 13:31:30	googl up or down on august 10 2026	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xcd2950…
08-03 13:27:33	tsla up or down on august 3 2026	Down	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0x03f4f5…
07-31 14:22:50	spy up or down on july 31 2026	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xab789a…
07-31 14:22:50	spy up or down on july 31 2026	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x2c51cc…
07-31 14:22:26	spy up or down on july 31 2026	Up	BUY	30	39¢	$12	0x79d8c4…
07-30 13:30:09	open up or down on july 30 2026	Down	BUY	70	44¢	$31	0x920b23…
07-28 13:36:50	googl up or down on july 28 2026	Down	BUY	25	42¢	$10	0x40e52e…
07-28 13:36:46	googl up or down on july 28 2026	Down	BUY	9	40¢	$4	0x9b5db7…
07-28 13:27:32	spx up or down on july 28 2026	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x96eeac…
07-28 13:27:13	spx up or down on july 28 2026	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xf08b40…
07-28 13:27:05	spx up or down on july 28 2026	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xa4a301…
07-27 14:03:15	spx up or down on july 27 2026	Down	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x3a4705…
07-25 14:58:42	hlt quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 28 2026 2pt25	No	BUY	70	5¢	$4	0x6bb45c…
07-24 13:32:04	tsla up or down on july 24 2026	Down	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x2a0a2c…
07-24 13:31:52	tsla up or down on july 24 2026	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x2388c3…
07-24 13:29:19	amzn up or down on july 24 2026	Down	BUY	9	41¢	$4	0x49f451…
07-24 13:06:12	aapl up or down on july 24 2026	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x056cdb…
07-24 02:01:18	spx opens up or down on july 24 2026	Down	BUY	30	37¢	$11	0xdbdd4c…
07-24 01:59:40	spx up or down on july 24 2026	Down	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0x1478dd…
07-23 14:04:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 14:05 UTC	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x1acd7f…
07-23 14:01:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x135e0c…
07-23 13:54:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 13:50 UTC	Up	SELL	17	96¢	$17	0x590789…
07-23 13:51:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 13:50 UTC	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x2c3684…
07-22 13:31:21	open up or down on july 22 2026	Down	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x57e47f…
07-22 10:34:24	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xf0a9ab…
07-10 13:31:22	abnb up or down on july 10 2026	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xf0102f…
07-10 13:30:16	abnb up or down on july 10 2026	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x4a9d80…
07-10 13:30:07	abnb up or down on july 10 2026	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x9e5f91…
07-07 13:33:32	googl up or down on july 7 2026	Down	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xa346f5…
07-07 13:33:23	googl up or down on july 7 2026	Down	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x9b147f…
07-07 13:30:11	abnb up or down on july 7 2026	Up	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x12566c…
07-07 13:25:34	open up or down on july 7 2026	Down	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x422b48…
07-07 13:24:22	open up or down on july 7 2026	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x227ea0…
07-06 20:58:20	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x6fe9f3…
06-30 20:59:58	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 spread home 1pt5	France	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xb3a0a1…
06-29 18:27:29	Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	40	47¢	$19	0x04bfeb…
06-29 14:11:32	spx up or down on june 29 2026	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xd1cf28…
06-27 12:55:13	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xd1dad6…
06-26 18:45:22	spx up or down on june 26 2026	Down	SELL	40	57¢	$23	0x67d520…
06-26 17:46:55	spx up or down on june 26 2026	Down	BUY	40	28¢	$11	0xcc1e42…
06-25 22:32:14	fifwc jpn swe 2026 06 25 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xaeb056…
06-24 19:22:16	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0xe010f3…
06-21 18:33:25	fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 spread home 1pt5	Belgium	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0xf71bb2…
06-21 15:52:44	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 goals lamine yamal gte1	No	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x5931d9…
06-19 12:43:56	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0xa15a9c…
06-17 16:46:29	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	Portugal	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x029ef1…
06-15 17:39:33	Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	12	40¢	$5	0xd4f5da…
06-15 17:39:33	Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	12	40¢	$5	0x94a565…
06-15 17:39:33	Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	7	40¢	$3	0x6b6784…
06-15 17:39:33	Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	8	40¢	$3	0x2798a3…
06-15 17:39:33	Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	12	40¢	$5	0x17cf36…
06-15 17:16:31	Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	52	19¢	$10	0x2fbf8c…
06-15 15:00:57	Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x2cf0a8…
06-14 06:32:52	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x5462f1…
06-13 11:01:10	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 team total away 2pt5	Over	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x3f2f46…
06-13 08:54:31	fifwc hai sco 2026 06 13 spread away 1pt5	Scotland	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0x6ad70c…
06-12 19:32:27	Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x182c61…
06-12 17:24:52	fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 team total away 0pt5	Under	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x39e0ea…
06-12 08:08:30	fifwc aus tur 2026 06 14 spread away 1pt5	Türkiye	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0x1d33da…
06-11 20:37:55	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 spread home 1pt5	Mexico	SELL	49	94¢	$46	0x6a1244…
06-11 14:01:28	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 spread home 1pt5	Mexico	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x0ffcae…
04-10 13:33:57	nflx up or down on april 10 2026	Down	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xc28cfc…
04-10 13:30:57	pltr up or down on april 10 2026	Down	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x2fed81…
04-10 13:30:43	pltr up or down on april 10 2026	Down	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xf2c723…
04-10 13:29:49	aapl up or down on april 10 2026	Up	BUY	30	39¢	$12	0x6ee6d3…
04-09 21:19:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 21:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x9a36af…
04-09 15:21:27	spx up or down on april 9 2026	Up	BUY	30	60¢	$18	0x998695…
04-09 13:31:47	aapl up or down on april 9 2026	Down	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xa46fdf…
04-09 13:30:33	tsla up or down on april 9 2026	Up	BUY	35	49¢	$17	0x4b78e4…
04-09 13:30:23	tsla up or down on april 9 2026	Up	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x370d2d…
04-09 13:21:13	open up or down on april 9 2026	Up	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xef7f56…
04-09 13:19:17	nflx up or down on april 9 2026	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x748e14…
04-07 18:38:19	ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x432ef4…
04-07 17:48:27	ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 rma1	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x145382…
04-07 13:27:15	nflx up or down on april 7 2026	Up	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xb90311…
04-06 13:33:49	nvda up or down on april 6 2026	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x0e2651…
04-06 13:30:33	open up or down on april 6 2026	Up	BUY	48	59¢	$28	0xf2b43d…
04-06 13:29:25	tsla up or down on april 6 2026	Down	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xad25e7…
04-06 13:28:15	msft up or down on april 6 2026	Down	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x49060e…
04-06 13:27:55	open up or down on april 6 2026	Down	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x12edf2…
04-03 17:44:31	spx opens up or down on april 6 2026	Down	BUY	30	58¢	$17	0xb2ce9c…
04-02 13:47:59	nflx up or down on april 2 2026	Down	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x954dae…
04-01 13:33:47	nflx up or down on april 1 2026	Down	BUY	17	50¢	$9	0xdb83f4…
04-01 13:32:07	nflx up or down on april 1 2026	Down	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xcf2f4c…
04-01 13:32:03	nflx up or down on april 1 2026	Down	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x414c47…
03-31 13:30:39	nflx up or down on march 31 2026	Up	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0x7138f1…