(anonymous) 0xa1c4be…f70cbc Create alert
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$5
Unrealized P&L
+$271
Hit rate
42.2%
Resolved
27
Trades
168
lifetime
Volume
$3.77K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$22
Open exposure
$2.61K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-23
last 11-10 04:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Politics
49% 83% +$21
Other
37% 47% -$9
Tech
12% — —
Crypto
2% 0% -$17
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
14 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +408 $285 98¢ $401 +$115 11-07 07:21
Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation at the end of November? Yes +386 $333 97¢ $376 +$43 11-05 01:40
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1490 by June 30, 2027? No +302 $292 100¢ $301 +$9 11-09 20:51
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 20 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? No +196 $191 100¢ $196 +$5 11-09 22:34
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1480 by June 30, 2027? No +178 $174 100¢ $178 +$3 11-09 22:21
Israeli Knesset election annulled? No +100 $90 98¢ $98 +$8 10-29 13:55
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) be in the next Swedish government? No +89 $84 93¢ $83 -$1 11-09 10:19
Riksdag approves Swedish Prime Minister by November 30, 2026? Yes +172 $67 47¢ $81 +$13 11-08 07:31
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2028? Yes +133 $78 60¢ $80 +$2 11-08 16:43
Will the National Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +81 $48 98¢ $80 +$32 11-06 02:46
Will Ron DeSantis be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028? No +100 $72 75¢ $75 +$3 11-06 00:55
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2028? Yes +97 $62 60¢ $59 -$3 11-08 05:58
Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher? No +64 $53 79¢ $51 -$2 10-29 02:57
Democratic 2028 presidential odds hit 70% by December 31? Yes +161 $39 31¢ $50 +$11 11-08 06:23
Will Anthropic raise between $85B and $95B in its IPO? No +53 $45 91¢ $48 +$3 11-08 21:17
Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium? No +51 $44 94¢ $48 +$4 11-02 21:38
Will the Moderate Party (M) be in the next Swedish government? No +127 $64 36¢ $45 -$18 11-08 16:55
Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +42 $28 99¢ $42 +$13 11-07 08:05
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027? No +41 $41 100¢ $41 +$0 11-09 20:51
Will TikTok Pro - Events be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 13? No +48 $36 80¢ $38 +$2 11-07 22:38
Israel military action against Lebanon on November 8? Yes +38 $31 96¢ $36 +$6 11-07 03:54
Will ERC win the most seats in Lleida in the 2026 Spanish general election? No +50 $34 65¢ $32 -$2 11-10 01:41
Will United Torah Judaism be in the next Israeli government? Yes +54 $12 53¢ $29 +$16 10-28 22:52
Will TikTok Pro - Events be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 13? Yes +50 $28 56¢ $28 +$0 11-08 06:34
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF? Yes +28 $15 86¢ $24 +$9 11-07 07:05
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on November 10? No +770 $30 3¢ $23 -$8 11-08 22:22
Carlson's Republican nomination odds hit 5% by December 31? No +23 $18 82¢ $19 +$2 11-06 11:43
Will the Liberals (L) be in the next Swedish government? No +46 $18 38¢ $17 -$1 11-10 04:34
Carlson's Republican nomination odds hit 6% by December 31? No +18 $14 89¢ $16 +$2 11-07 17:38
Will PNV win the most seats in Biscay in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +63 $13 25¢ $16 +$3 11-07 02:07