Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

53.1%

Resolved

114

Trades

239

lifetime

Volume

$532

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$10

4 positions

First seen

2026-07-26

last 10-27 20:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

66% 51% +$38

Politics

16% 50% -$11

Other

15% 12% -$17

Sports

3% 67% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 103 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	+6	$3	52¢	$3	+$0	10-25 17:03
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+9	-$2	34¢	$3	+$5	10-27 20:17
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	+9	$3	30¢	$3	$0	10-25 17:00
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+6	$1	20¢	$1	+$0	10-25 17:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	3	$34	70	61	+9	open	—	10-27 20:17
another pandemic before gta vi	2	$30	29	29	+0	cancelled	$0	07-26 07:00
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	3	$18	12	12	+0	Yes	$0	10-26 21:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	4	$14	27	22	+5	Down	-$2	10-25 16:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	8	$12	25	6	+19	Down	+$4	10-24 21:13
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	1	$11	14	0	+14	No	+$3	10-25 17:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	3	$10	15	15	+0	Down	+$0	10-25 12:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	3	$10	13	0	+13	Down	-$10	10-27 19:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 06:45 UTC	2	$10	14	0	+14	Up	+$4	07-26 06:48
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	4	$9	42	0	+42	No	-$9	10-26 21:03
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	2	$9	12	0	+12	Yes	-$9	10-25 17:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	3	$9	17	0	+17	Up	+$8	10-25 13:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	6	$9	18	5	+14	Down	-$4	10-25 05:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	2	$8	9	9	+0	Down	+$0	10-25 13:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	2	$8	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	10-24 17:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	2	$8	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	10-25 16:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	5	$8	31	0	+31	Down	-$8	10-24 20:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	2	$8	19	0	+19	Up	+$11	10-24 16:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	2	$8	10	0	+10	Up	-$8	10-25 06:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	3	$8	10	0	+10	Up	+$2	10-24 20:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	2	$8	9	0	+9	Up	+$1	10-27 19:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	4	$7	17	0	+17	Up	+$10	10-24 18:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	4	$7	13	0	+13	Down	-$7	10-25 04:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	4	$7	13	0	+13	Down	+$6	10-25 05:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	3	$7	13	13	+0	Up	-$3	10-24 21:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	3	$6	9	3	+7	Up	-$4	10-25 13:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	3	$6	12	3	+9	Up	+$5	10-24 20:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	5	$6	14	14	+0	Up	+$0	10-25 06:07
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	3	$6	49	49	+0	No	+$0	10-26 20:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	2	$6	10	0	+10	Up	+$4	10-24 18:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 20:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0x9cda44…
10-27 20:20:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xa9a314…
10-27 20:17:51	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	9	25¢	$2	0x883f68…
10-27 20:11:14	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	52	30¢	$16	0x65ac19…
10-27 19:47:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xfe474e…
10-27 19:47:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x94aa9b…
10-27 19:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x62f480…
10-27 19:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x0a7ca8…
10-27 19:40:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x2f509c…
10-27 19:37:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0xf18cdb…
10-27 19:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x71eaa4…
10-27 19:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x9aa6c0…
10-27 19:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xdaf7b7…
10-27 19:25:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0xa25777…
10-27 17:34:27	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	70	23¢	$16	0xd80ba1…
10-26 21:12:11	Will Lionel Messi finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x9df78c…
10-26 21:08:36	Will Michael Olise finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x360a14…
10-26 21:08:23	Will Rodri finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x66288f…
10-26 21:03:06	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0xccae92…
10-26 21:02:17	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	12	72¢	$9	0xf22089…
10-26 21:01:03	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x605ae2…
10-26 21:00:33	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$0	0xbc62b5…
10-26 20:59:42	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0xe6d28d…
10-26 20:58:44	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	49	6¢	$3	0x4b53ee…
10-26 19:40:17	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x830ac8…
10-26 19:35:15	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x406749…
10-26 19:33:59	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x9c7f26…
10-26 19:33:06	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x096df3…
10-26 19:32:38	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xc1c8b8…
10-26 18:51:11	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xb7c777…
10-26 18:33:33	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0x269804…
10-26 17:15:24	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x7fc334…
10-26 06:14:38	Will Dems win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xdfe52e…
10-26 06:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xaa1a59…
10-26 04:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x55ec90…
10-26 04:45:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x626b8b…
10-25 17:15:09	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x8637e2…
10-25 17:14:33	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x339ef8…
10-25 17:14:26	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	14	76¢	$11	0x26bd6a…
10-25 17:04:42	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x2e2be7…
10-25 17:03:29	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x66223f…
10-25 17:02:53	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x18bcba…
10-25 17:02:11	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x3884da…
10-25 17:00:50	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0xe32bc1…
10-25 16:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x69d605…
10-25 16:45:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xc18cc6…
10-25 16:36:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x58f98a…
10-25 16:36:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	22	16¢	$4	0xe6c2c7…
10-25 16:35:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xaa7498…
10-25 16:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0x33007f…
10-25 16:34:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x1c9db9…
10-25 16:33:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x589b02…
10-25 13:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	7	6¢	$0	0xdd1620…
10-25 13:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xcf03e4…
10-25 13:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xc99e87…
10-25 13:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x9305c3…
10-25 13:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	3	50¢	$1	0x06b462…
10-25 13:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xb6de83…
10-25 13:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x20a28b…
10-25 13:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xa4682e…
10-25 13:46:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0x58e2a3…
10-25 13:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x5d806b…
10-25 13:41:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0xeaaa6a…
10-25 13:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xc85fed…
10-25 13:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x8090f7…
10-25 13:37:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0xc410c8…
10-25 13:36:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x434dab…
10-25 13:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	9	46¢	$4	0xd41cd3…
10-25 13:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x3c802d…
10-25 12:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	15	36¢	$5	0xa2b912…
10-25 12:40:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x02d131…
10-25 12:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0xb2c98a…
10-25 06:25:02	Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Opp.	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xc211f0…
10-25 06:24:15	Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 6-7% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x8c7faa…
10-25 06:22:38	Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 97?	Yes	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0xdad35e…
10-25 06:21:45	Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 96?	No	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x6b64db…
10-25 06:20:51	Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 96?	No	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xee363e…
10-25 06:19:33	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" or "Deport" or "Deported" during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x175ff3…
10-25 06:19:26	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x7d7a47…
10-25 06:19:14	Will Trump say "Osama Bin Laden" during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xe1e46b…
10-25 06:18:53	Will Trump say "Marxist" during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x80bb0d…
10-25 06:18:33	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x47ba86…
10-25 06:18:21	Will Trump say "China" or "Chinese" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x6a87e3…
10-25 06:18:11	Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x9bfa16…
10-25 06:17:12	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xb873fb…
10-25 06:13:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0xc5cefa…
10-25 06:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xd5e074…
10-25 06:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	7	20¢	$1	0xc80bfa…
10-25 06:06:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x529a07…
10-25 06:06:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	6	27¢	$2	0x2268e9…
10-25 06:06:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x3319c3…
10-25 06:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xfff82e…
10-25 06:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x283885…
10-25 06:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xb9d8c7…
10-25 05:57:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0x4aa3c8…
10-25 05:55:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xab3b9b…
10-25 05:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xe0d3ce…
10-25 05:52:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x003cc9…
10-25 05:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xe5ce60…
10-25 05:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x5e22e2…