Thorny-Negotiation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

77.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$11

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 05-12 17:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

100% 50% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on May 14?	Yes		+10	$2	27¢	$3	+$0	05-12 17:02
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on May 14?	Yes		+10	$2	22¢	$2	$-0	05-12 17:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 17:02:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x518abe…
05-12 17:02:17	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0xac8541…
05-09 03:35:08	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on May 10?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x2baf9a…
05-09 03:20:19	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x64cf1c…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 9?	1	$5	9	+9	Yes	+$4	05-09 03:20
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on May 14?	1	$2	10	+10	open	—	05-12 17:02
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on May 14?	1	$2	10	+10	open	—	05-12 17:02
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on May 10?	1	$1	5	+5	No	$-1	05-09 03:35