Showy-Downgrade — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$170.4K

Unrealized P&L

-$699

Hit rate

68.9%

Resolved

3,393

Trades

5,058

lifetime

Volume

$1.35M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$267

Open exposure

$2.30K

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-31

last 10-27 20:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 154 days

Categories

Other

100% 63% +$170,435

Crypto

0% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 131 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?	No		+2,174	$1,500	54¢	$1.2K	-$315	10-10 12:08
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?	Yes		+3,659	$1,500	31¢	$1.1K	-$384	10-10 12:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will France win on 2026-07-18?	3	$17.8K	85,267	+85,267	No	-$279	07-18 22:20
fifwc col cdr 2026 06 23 total 1pt5	4	$9.0K	11,917	+11,917	Under	-$9,000	06-24 03:41
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team total away 1pt5	3	$8.9K	11,332	+11,332	Over	+$2,476	07-07 17:30
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	3	$8.2K	11,067	+11,067	Yes	-$2,350	07-03 01:02
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 total 4pt5	4	$8.1K	15,807	+15,807	Over	+$7,740	07-07 17:55
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?	2	$8.0K	10,676	+10,676	No	-$2,729	07-03 01:02
fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	6	$7.4K	12,912	+12,912	Over	+$5,526	07-03 00:53
fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 3pt5	6	$7.4K	13,828	+13,828	Under	-$7,365	07-03 01:02
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	2	$7.0K	20,800	+20,800	Yes	+$13,800	10-14 20:48
fifwc col cdr 2026 06 23 total 2pt5	3	$6.4K	48,341	+48,341	Under	-$6,435	06-24 03:41
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 first half total 2pt5	4	$6.4K	28,354	+28,354	Under	-$6,367	07-11 21:50
Egypt to score first vs. Argentina?	1	$6.3K	7,565	+7,565	Yes	+$1,277	07-07 16:15
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team total home 2pt5	2	$6.0K	7,353	+7,353	Over	+$1,335	07-07 17:55
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?	4	$6.0K	17,845	+17,845	Yes	+$5,630	06-28 03:57
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	3	$5.5K	9,980	+9,980	No	+$3,792	07-12 02:28
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 first half total 1pt5	2	$5.5K	6,585	+6,585	Over	+$1,081	07-06 01:37
Norway vs. England: Draw at halftime?	2	$5.5K	6,942	+6,942	Yes	+$1,432	07-11 21:47
fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 total 1pt5	1	$5.5K	6,627	+6,627	Over	+$1,127	07-05 21:51
fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 first half total 1pt5	1	$5.5K	6,471	+6,471	Over	+$971	07-10 19:40
Norway leading at halftime?	1	$5.5K	7,121	+7,121	No	+$1,621	07-11 21:47
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 first half total 0pt5	1	$5.5K	6,315	+6,315	Over	+$815	07-11 21:36
United States leading at halftime?	2	$5.3K	10,575	+10,575	Yes	+$5,232	07-02 00:44
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	2	$5.1K	105,525	+105,525	Yes	+$1,525	07-14 20:49
fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 total 0pt5	2	$5.1K	6,673	+6,673	Over	+$1,575	07-06 20:52
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	2	$5.0K	6,655	+6,655	Yes	+$1,634	07-07 17:55
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?	1	$5.0K	7,064	+7,064	No	+$2,064	07-07 17:55
Will France win on 2026-07-09?	1	$5.0K	6,330	+6,330	Yes	+$1,330	07-09 21:23
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?	2	$5.0K	5,582	+5,582	Yes	+$582	06-24 03:39
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team total away 0pt5	1	$5.0K	5,958	+5,958	Over	+$958	07-03 23:19
fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team total away 0pt5	1	$5.0K	5,638	+5,638	Over	+$638	07-01 16:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 20:40:26	Will Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	9	93¢	$9	0x16523e…
10-27 20:38:26	Will US Cremonese win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	70	79¢	$55	0x60df08…
10-27 20:35:18	Will Cesena FC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	120	75¢	$90	0x7d5e94…
10-27 20:22:41	Will Empoli FC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	112	19¢	$21	0x562172…
10-27 20:22:41	Will Cesena FC win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x17ca09…
10-27 19:29:35	Will Cesena FC vs. Empoli FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	51	74¢	$38	0xe4bc0f…
10-27 19:29:35	Will Cesena FC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x2f1d4e…
10-27 19:22:54	Will Benevento Calcio win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	72	73¢	$52	0x7fad13…
10-27 19:22:54	Will Benevento Calcio vs. US Catanzaro 1929 end in a draw?	No	BUY	44	80¢	$35	0x3ba37d…
10-27 19:20:38	Will Calcio Padova vs. FC Südtirol end in a draw?	No	BUY	40	79¢	$32	0x730f28…
10-27 19:20:38	Will Calcio Padova win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	40	70¢	$28	0x25633f…
10-26 20:27:06	Will Sevilla FC vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?	No	BUY	56	80¢	$45	0xa09693…
10-26 20:27:06	Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	86	72¢	$62	0x158c98…
10-26 20:13:21	Will FC Andorra win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	0	17¢	$0	0xe49667…
10-26 19:57:18	Will Burgos CF win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	134	57¢	$77	0x57ee1d…
10-26 19:50:45	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-26?	No	BUY	455	14¢	$62	0x7bcebb…
10-26 19:48:02	Will Burgos CF win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	232	50¢	$117	0x58ef76…
10-26 19:40:09	Will Burgos CF win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	112	47¢	$53	0x1fbd11…
10-26 19:14:15	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	31	85¢	$26	0x6a733e…
10-26 17:40:30	Will Çaykur Rizespor vs. Trabzonspor end in a draw?	No	BUY	60	77¢	$46	0x59a567…
10-26 17:40:30	Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	471	69¢	$323	0x28f774…
10-26 17:33:27	Will Çaykur Rizespor vs. Trabzonspor end in a draw?	No	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x8a1350…
10-26 17:32:57	Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0xc6207b…
10-26 17:25:33	Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	462	8¢	$36	0xea40c1…
10-26 16:11:02	Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	120	39¢	$46	0xf2ca4d…
10-26 00:37:20	Will Club The Strongest win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	32	27¢	$9	0x50f88e…
10-26 00:37:20	Will CD Oriente Petrolero win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x355de0…
10-25 23:40:45	Will CD Oriente Petrolero win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	12	46¢	$6	0xb5c61c…
10-25 23:24:14	Will CD Garcilaso win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0xf9abd2…
10-25 23:17:29	Will CD Limache win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	1,459	38¢	$549	0x4cbb3f…
10-25 23:17:29	Will CD Universidad de Concepción win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	1,704	65¢	$1,105	0x0258f0…
10-25 23:01:32	Will Liverpool Montevideo win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	28	51¢	$14	0xb26184…
10-25 22:14:54	Will CD Palestino win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x89c1ce…
10-25 22:00:38	Will SD Aucas win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	169	37¢	$63	0xeafe89…
10-25 22:00:38	Will Barcelona SC win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xd67422…
10-25 21:50:09	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	510	62¢	$314	0x748d24…
10-25 21:50:09	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x60710e…
10-25 21:44:44	Will Barcelona SC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	38	42¢	$16	0xc636c7…
10-25 20:39:39	Will CSD Colo-Colo win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	100	72¢	$72	0x8e2308…
10-25 20:23:03	Will CS Emelec win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	223	26¢	$58	0xf67220…
10-25 20:23:03	Will Guayaquil City FC win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	93	58¢	$53	0x71dc43…
10-25 19:47:26	Will OFI Crete win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	123	17¢	$20	0xeb1863…
10-25 19:47:26	Will OFI Crete vs. PAOK Thessaloniki end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	151	13¢	$20	0x45a537…
10-25 19:11:09	Will CS Emelec win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	204	63¢	$127	0xa72e99…
10-25 17:52:35	Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	293	17¢	$49	0x12c664…
10-25 17:52:35	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x0ae83d…
10-25 16:43:47	Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x32caf6…
10-25 16:34:42	Will Cádiz CF vs. AD Ceuta FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xb0e1af…
10-25 16:26:54	Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	262	34¢	$90	0x931710…
10-25 16:22:21	Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x9c70fe…
10-25 16:20:09	Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	95	92¢	$87	0x93aeb7…
10-25 16:02:21	Will Göztepe SK win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	150	45¢	$67	0xc4e8da…
10-25 15:59:00	Will AD Ceuta FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	39	36¢	$14	0xc5675d…
10-25 15:35:42	Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	24	66¢	$16	0x4f9f27…
10-25 15:21:12	Will Jagiellonia Bialystok win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	52	43¢	$22	0xd519b8…
10-25 14:13:36	Will Carrarese Calcio win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	25	19¢	$5	0x7f47ab…
10-25 14:10:14	Will Olympiacos Piraeus vs. PAE PS Kalamata end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	60	14¢	$8	0xf5c834…
10-25 14:09:18	Will CE Sabadell FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	30	72¢	$22	0xc831ac…
10-25 14:09:18	Will CE Sabadell FC vs. CD Tenerife end in a draw?	No	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x1495ae…
10-25 13:48:33	Will Holstein Kiel win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	132	35¢	$46	0x1f716a…
10-25 13:48:32	Will Holstein Kiel vs. SG Dynamo Dresden end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	30	27¢	$8	0x1727ab…
10-25 13:48:32	Will SG Dynamo Dresden win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	52	11¢	$6	0x162b3c…
10-25 13:43:05	Will Konyaspor vs. Gençlerbirliği SK end in a draw?	No	BUY	40	83¢	$33	0xdb40cb…
10-25 13:43:05	Will Konyaspor win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	40	78¢	$31	0xcc8e6d…
10-25 13:08:24	Will VfL Osnabrück vs. SpVgg Greuther Fürth end in a draw?	No	BUY	140	82¢	$114	0x1e03ef…
10-25 13:08:24	Will VfL Osnabrück win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	141	76¢	$106	0x12b092…
10-25 13:06:42	Will VfL Osnabrück vs. SpVgg Greuther Fürth end in a draw?	No	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0x3042d4…
10-25 13:00:48	Will Holstein Kiel win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	2,348	67¢	$1,575	0x550a2d…
10-25 12:38:59	Will SG Dynamo Dresden win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	159	71¢	$113	0x8042fa…
10-25 12:38:59	Will Holstein Kiel vs. SG Dynamo Dresden end in a draw?	No	BUY	115	77¢	$89	0x43c500…
10-25 12:38:59	Will Holstein Kiel win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	34	50¢	$17	0x3e9f03…
10-25 11:44:45	Will Kayserispor win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	92	22¢	$20	0x338f4e…
10-25 11:44:45	Will Pendikspor win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x2cc4aa…
10-25 10:55:48	Will Pendikspor win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	175	32¢	$56	0x15a545…
10-25 07:58:02	Will Cerezo Ōsaka vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	31	7¢	$2	0xe57c4e…
10-25 07:34:38	Will FC Tōkyō vs. FC Mito Holly Hock end in a draw?	No	BUY	136	85¢	$116	0x87221f…
10-25 07:30:17	Will Urawa Red Diamonds win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x3d723a…
10-25 07:26:09	Will Júbilo Iwata win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	688	8¢	$55	0x2f06fa…
10-25 06:36:05	Will Nagoya Grampus vs. Yokohama F·Marinos end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x6aa917…
10-25 06:36:05	Will Nagoya Grampus win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	136	30¢	$40	0x3e06fd…
10-25 06:26:05	Will Cerezo Ōsaka win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x68a2e1…
10-25 06:08:27	Will Iwaki FC vs. Júbilo Iwata end in a draw?	No	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0xdab0d2…
10-24 23:07:41	Will LDU Quito win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xcf86f6…
10-24 20:51:42	Will UD Almería vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	102	6¢	$6	0x7a433c…
10-24 19:37:18	Will 1. FC Kaiserslautern win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	95	75¢	$71	0x13661e…
10-24 19:37:03	Will RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	112	12¢	$14	0xc8b97b…
10-24 19:37:03	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	172	35¢	$60	0x8f797d…
10-24 19:23:21	Will Racing Club Montevideo win on 2026-10-23?	No	BUY	77	36¢	$28	0x44d4be…
10-24 19:16:23	Will UD Almería win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	1,148	76¢	$869	0xe1b355…
10-24 19:16:23	Will UD Almería vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?	No	BUY	314	83¢	$261	0x55fe73…
10-24 18:27:36	Will Valencia CF vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?	No	BUY	262	63¢	$165	0xe0b5ee…
10-24 18:27:32	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	122	10¢	$12	0xe6466f…
10-24 18:27:30	Will Valencia CF vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?	No	BUY	110	16¢	$18	0x5edcfa…
10-24 17:49:32	Will Valencia CF win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	2,330	54¢	$1,258	0xe9a7e7…
10-24 17:46:54	Will Valencia CF win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	97	77¢	$75	0x6fa6fc…
10-24 17:15:35	Will Pogon Szczecin vs. RKS Radomiak Radom end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xe96b5e…
10-24 17:12:56	Will SK Slavia Praha vs. FK Mladá Boleslav end in a draw?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x10aa53…
10-24 17:06:39	Will Valencia CF win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	156	26¢	$41	0x548b23…
10-24 17:06:39	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	445	56¢	$248	0x021d9c…
10-24 17:06:06	Will AEK Athens win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x876c22…