Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$17

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,955

lifetime

Volume

$239.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$122

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-15

last 05-31 03:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

45% 100% +$17

Politics

45% — —

Sports

4% 100% +$0

Crypto

4% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 172 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	193	$35.7K	60,208	56,500	+3,707	open	—	05-06 08:53
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	70	$26.0K	14,900	14,900	+0	open	—	03-29 12:57
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	329	$24.4K	12,875	12,875	+0	Yes	+$15	04-15 05:35
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	113	$14.9K	7,599	7,599	+0	No	+$3	04-16 11:42
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	93	$12.9K	6,813	6,813	+0	open	—	04-03 12:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	17	$7.8K	4,780	4,780	+0	open	—	04-28 14:55
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	55	$6.8K	5,650	5,190	+460	open	—	04-01 05:46
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	27	$6.2K	3,625	3,625	+0	open	—	04-13 18:57
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	50	$5.7K	7,500	7,500	+0	open	—	03-29 13:04
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	26	$4.4K	10,630	0	+10,630	open	—	05-31 03:55
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	41	$4.3K	2,200	2,200	+0	open	—	03-19 23:59
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	26	$3.8K	2,548	2,376	+172	open	—	03-31 01:19
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	42	$3.6K	4,708	4,708	+0	open	—	04-01 09:48
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	21	$3.5K	3,253	3,253	+0	open	—	04-22 12:21
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 200 219	3	$3.5K	1,772	1,772	+0	open	—	03-31 08:29
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	45	$2.9K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	03-17 10:09
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	38	$2.6K	1,692	1,692	+0	open	—	03-27 02:28
elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 0 39	17	$2.5K	2,499	200	+2,299	open	—	03-30 07:25
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	9	$2.5K	2,500	2,500	+0	open	—	04-01 04:16
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 220 239	3	$2.5K	2,832	0	+2,832	open	—	04-10 06:55
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	12	$2.5K	1,510	1,510	+0	open	—	04-20 16:31
megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	5	$2.3K	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	03-17 09:04
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 300 319	2	$2.2K	2,300	0	+2,300	open	—	04-03 09:33
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 260 279	11	$2.1K	2,021	200	+1,821	open	—	03-31 08:40
will trump visit china by march 31	29	$2.1K	1,096	1,096	+0	open	—	03-18 06:59
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	29	$2.0K	1,043	1,043	+0	open	—	03-25 05:18
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	12	$2.0K	1,130	1,130	+0	open	—	05-05 23:42
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	31	$2.0K	1,060	1,060	+0	open	—	03-24 01:51
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League?	3	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-15 14:07
netanyahu out by march 31 854	7	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-18 06:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-31 03:55:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	321	38¢	$122	0x241ae7…
05-31 03:49:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	146	38¢	$55	0xc42c04…
05-31 03:49:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	146	38¢	$55	0x8b1fc0…
05-31 03:46:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	72	38¢	$27	0x3a0329…
05-31 03:46:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	38¢	$30	0x2ccb1e…
05-31 03:46:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	38¢	$30	0x1aa84e…
05-31 03:37:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	92	38¢	$35	0xf13427…
05-31 03:37:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	92	38¢	$35	0xd5b760…
05-31 03:37:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	38¢	$27	0x4c1c7f…
05-31 03:15:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x4321e4…
05-31 03:11:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,970	38¢	$749	0xb1cf5d…
05-31 02:24:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	38¢	$19	0xcc4760…
05-31 02:09:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	76	38¢	$29	0xc0cf57…
05-31 00:28:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,622	38¢	$616	0xe129e7…
05-30 18:16:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	96	42¢	$40	0x7288c7…
05-30 17:56:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x73117a…
05-30 17:55:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0xda6f88…
05-30 17:51:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0xb72c1a…
05-30 17:49:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	42¢	$7	0xb5c235…
05-30 16:44:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x5d1600…
05-30 16:39:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	298	42¢	$125	0xd3d30e…
05-30 16:37:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	42¢	$0	0xa858e1…
05-30 16:37:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	42¢	$0	0xd13626…
05-30 13:31:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	42¢	$84	0x2f09bc…
05-30 13:28:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	172	42¢	$72	0x0f8203…
05-30 12:00:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,000	45¢	$2,250	0xfc75a9…
05-10 15:52:53	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	975	60¢	$585	0x25481e…
05-10 15:47:49	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	8	60¢	$5	0xd6cbbd…
05-10 15:47:28	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	8	60¢	$5	0x84a6e0…
05-10 15:47:28	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	8	60¢	$5	0x56047f…
05-08 01:15:39	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	620	50¢	$310	0xcea609…
05-08 00:53:52	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xed2163…
05-08 00:53:46	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0xf01116…
05-08 00:50:58	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	173	50¢	$86	0xe603e6…
05-06 08:53:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14,955	29¢	$4,337	0x6206c9…
05-05 23:42:36	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	930	93¢	$865	0x0cda29…
05-05 20:58:12	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	65	92¢	$60	0xe81af8…
05-05 20:58:12	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	865	92¢	$796	0x263fc1…
04-29 14:21:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10,000	29¢	$2,900	0x241963…
04-29 09:30:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,838	30¢	$1,451	0x8d4060…
04-29 06:33:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,590	29¢	$1,331	0x0eed1f…
04-29 06:29:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	29¢	$58	0x180edb…
04-29 06:24:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	29¢	$12	0xf8b77a…
04-29 06:16:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	29¢	$5	0x806456…
04-29 06:03:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	29¢	$1	0xe1056e…
04-29 05:52:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	29¢	$23	0x5c0eb7…
04-29 05:50:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0x8bb116…
04-29 05:37:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x1b96ef…
04-29 05:36:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x7e4376…
04-29 05:35:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xbf0f31…
04-29 05:18:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	141	29¢	$41	0x03bb50…
04-29 05:17:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	771	29¢	$224	0xa37551…
04-29 05:11:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	29¢	$4	0x7ee2e5…
04-29 05:08:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	29¢	$9	0x2ea639…
04-29 04:55:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,019	29¢	$296	0x72add5…
04-29 04:49:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0xbc958c…
04-29 04:46:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xaa50fb…
04-29 04:46:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	29¢	$5	0xac95d1…
04-29 04:43:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	29¢	$290	0xaaba6b…
04-29 04:40:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xd4e1b1…
04-29 04:22:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	674	29¢	$195	0xbc8b1c…
04-29 04:10:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	29¢	$4	0x708a4e…
04-29 04:09:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	29¢	$4	0x3730f3…
04-29 04:08:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0x453160…
04-29 03:58:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x960eaa…
04-29 03:52:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	29¢	$29	0xfb8fdc…
04-29 03:46:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x9b7655…
04-29 03:41:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x669beb…
04-29 03:34:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x252506…
04-29 03:33:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xed431f…
04-29 03:29:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x22ce9e…
04-29 03:15:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	645	29¢	$187	0xbe1598…
04-29 03:10:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	29¢	$29	0x3bba20…
04-29 03:05:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	29¢	$6	0x5154db…
04-29 02:52:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	29¢	$10	0xf6e3f5…
04-29 02:48:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	29¢	$58	0x94479f…
04-29 02:43:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	99	29¢	$29	0x6d3abe…
04-29 02:41:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xb9d361…
04-29 02:35:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,604	29¢	$1,045	0xe5ebeb…
04-28 14:55:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	1,921	82¢	$1,576	0x3537a4…
04-28 14:54:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	275	82¢	$225	0x728ae1…
04-28 14:51:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	2,000	82¢	$1,640	0xe7309e…
04-28 14:51:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	4	82¢	$3	0xc6d860…
04-28 14:50:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	122	82¢	$100	0x7cca01…
04-28 14:50:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0xa63554…
04-28 14:49:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0x226d9a…
04-28 14:48:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	9	82¢	$7	0xab7142…
04-28 14:45:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	100	82¢	$82	0xe62cf4…
04-28 13:33:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0xc4db97…
04-28 13:33:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	7	82¢	$6	0x7a3a37…
04-28 13:33:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	305	82¢	$250	0xabce85…
04-28 13:33:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	4	82¢	$3	0xf0a111…
04-28 13:33:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	4	82¢	$3	0xa109a8…
04-28 13:33:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	12	82¢	$10	0x0048b8…
04-28 13:33:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	13	82¢	$11	0x4363ec…
04-28 13:30:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	4,780	82¢	$3,919	0x5e5a42…
04-27 23:45:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13,888	28¢	$3,889	0x8740c8…
04-27 17:37:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	840	28¢	$235	0xbe152a…
04-27 17:36:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0xb6983f…
04-27 17:35:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0x22746d…