Terrific-Desktop — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$429

Unrealized P&L

-$566

Hit rate

74.7%

Resolved

Trades

156

lifetime

Volume

$4.46K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

$375

1 position

First seen

2026-02-21

last 10-27 19:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Politics

51% 75% +$408

Crypto

37% 69% +$123

Other

12% 0% -$102

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes		+5,000	$941	8¢	$375	-$566	10-27 19:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	34	$986	5,090	90	+5,000	open	—	10-27 19:29
yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	26	$530	1,400	580	+820	Yes	-$90	08-10 16:47
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	4	$400	500	0	+500	Yes	+$100	06-13 20:33
will bitcoin reach 75k in june 2026	3	$359	200	200	+0	No	+$1	06-15 21:49
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	3	$346	300	100	+200	Yes	+$8	06-15 20:47
will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	9	$320	800	800	+0	No	+$80	06-13 15:17
will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	22	$262	943	450	+493	No	-$10	07-31 10:46
will bitcoin reach 65000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	3	$178	100	100	+0	Yes	+$14	06-11 19:56
us and iran sign an agreement by june 30 2026 20260611221049853	3	$168	200	0	+200	Yes	+$32	06-15 06:53
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	3	$167	141	141	+0	No	+$31	08-10 07:27
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	6	$134	378	0	+378	Yes	+$244	03-26 08:40
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	2	$117	300	300	+0	No	+$27	02-23 07:55
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	2	$96	100	100	+0	No	+$32	06-25 13:53
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	3	$79	200	200	+0	No	+$1	05-28 16:13
will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	2	$73	536	536	+0	No	+$13	02-23 08:01
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	7	$64	300	300	+0	No	+$2	02-25 18:29
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	2	$53	54	0	+54	No	+$1	02-21 22:35
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	2	$26	100	0	+100	Yes	-$26	05-31 12:26
bitcoin above 68k on february 24	5	$25	2,000	0	+2,000	No	-$25	02-24 09:21
will bitcoin reach 64k june 29 july 5 2026	2	$22	100	100	+0	No	+$8	07-03 12:03
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$12	100	50	+50	Yes	+$0	02-28 20:57
russia elections yabloko clears duma threshold	4	$12	610	0	+610	No	-$12	08-12 10:52
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	1	$10	19	0	+19	No	+$9	05-10 10:19
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	1	$8	15	0	+15	Yes	-$8	06-14 12:59
ethereum up or down on february 24	2	$6	50	50	+0	Down	+$0	02-24 16:04
bitcoin above 70k on february 24	1	$2	500	0	+500	No	-$2	02-23 23:20
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	1	$1	100	0	+100	open	—	05-16 16:05
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 23?	1	$1	8	0	+8	Yes	-$1	05-23 09:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 19:29:39	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	394	8¢	$31	0x18fa65…
10-26 02:04:02	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	106	8¢	$9	0xc73fb1…
10-25 12:19:57	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	93	10¢	$9	0x62d12a…
10-25 11:01:45	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	111	10¢	$11	0x583169…
10-24 20:56:59	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	66	10¢	$7	0xbcf0bc…
10-24 20:01:03	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	329	10¢	$33	0x9b80a7…
10-24 16:31:05	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	208	10¢	$21	0x6fe008…
10-24 13:07:00	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x311958…
10-24 12:31:11	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	689	10¢	$69	0x331ca6…
08-12 10:52:42	russia elections yabloko clears duma threshold	Yes	BUY	305	1¢	$4	0x4cb8f1…
08-10 16:47:34	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x029317…
08-10 16:47:33	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0xffeec3…
08-10 16:03:00	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	SELL	12	25¢	$3	0x7a3f63…
08-10 16:02:13	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	SELL	15	25¢	$4	0x62d9e2…
08-10 16:00:58	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	SELL	12	25¢	$3	0x28f51d…
08-10 16:00:46	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	SELL	41	25¢	$10	0xe2cb3e…
08-10 15:12:48	russia elections yabloko clears duma threshold	Yes	BUY	105	2¢	$3	0xb14e3f…
08-10 15:11:25	russia elections yabloko clears duma threshold	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x815fb0…
08-10 13:56:52	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x772102…
08-10 13:44:13	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x418e62…
08-10 12:20:07	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	SELL	122	40¢	$49	0x4016e3…
08-10 12:15:54	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	SELL	78	40¢	$31	0xe3c946…
08-10 12:10:48	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0xf39325…
08-10 08:59:28	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x528717…
08-10 08:52:18	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x31478e…
08-10 08:28:19	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	SELL	235	40¢	$94	0x400ab3…
08-10 08:26:21	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	SELL	65	40¢	$26	0xb25e52…
08-10 08:00:10	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	BUY	76	20¢	$15	0x2f3dc7…
08-10 07:47:09	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	BUY	24	20¢	$5	0x23ce38…
08-10 07:46:49	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xad3474…
08-10 07:45:48	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	BUY	9	25¢	$2	0xcff584…
08-10 07:44:36	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	BUY	74	25¢	$19	0x12908f…
08-10 07:44:34	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	BUY	9	25¢	$2	0xddafe5…
08-10 07:44:22	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x72c8f1…
08-10 07:27:16	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	141	70¢	$99	0x2beea5…
07-31 10:46:53	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x67d3c1…
07-28 12:31:31	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	93	2¢	$1	0x9a866a…
07-26 13:12:43	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	41	41¢	$17	0x613bf9…
07-25 08:52:52	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x48e433…
07-24 17:15:09	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	9	25¢	$2	0x6a340e…
07-24 17:14:34	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	33	25¢	$8	0x1e4b31…
07-24 17:14:33	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	33	25¢	$8	0xbe4881…
07-24 17:14:33	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	15	25¢	$4	0xa7a0b8…
07-24 13:07:30	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0x18b30b…
07-24 13:06:37	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0x89a708…
07-23 15:36:34	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0xdf3490…
07-23 12:35:03	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x6df8cf…
07-22 10:55:27	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	Yes	SELL	74	30¢	$22	0x267875…
07-22 10:48:48	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xb88d40…
07-22 10:46:46	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x22ea8c…
07-22 09:21:00	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	Yes	SELL	13	30¢	$4	0x842eed…
07-22 09:20:30	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	Yes	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0x82f138…
07-21 10:33:55	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	Yes	SELL	100	34¢	$34	0x072381…
07-20 18:40:31	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0xa19cbc…
07-20 18:38:48	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	140	24¢	$34	0xe9e6ad…
07-20 17:46:19	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	49	24¢	$12	0xb4f192…
07-20 17:09:01	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x725297…
07-20 15:53:06	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	Yes	SELL	228	25¢	$57	0xa682f3…
07-20 15:47:25	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	Yes	SELL	22	25¢	$6	0xe6b729…
07-08 10:20:55	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0x52e046…
07-07 08:31:23	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x959026…
07-06 12:03:29	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	61	20¢	$12	0xd79939…
07-05 06:05:23	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	690	18¢	$124	0xbde7b2…
07-03 12:03:41	will bitcoin reach 64k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	100	15¢	$15	0x8e9873…
07-02 12:40:11	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	39	20¢	$8	0x115439…
07-02 00:28:14	will bitcoin reach 64k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0xa99f6c…
06-30 16:18:11	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0x8d438e…
06-26 06:05:25	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	26¢	$52	0x6e6246…
06-25 13:53:26	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	100	64¢	$64	0xcddc74…
06-25 08:26:38	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	300	26¢	$78	0x5cd84c…
06-24 23:26:11	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0x28e8f8…
06-23 23:00:43	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0x1fea52…
06-23 19:44:25	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	75	27¢	$20	0xad1b41…
06-23 13:51:23	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	27¢	$1	0xe2a246…
06-20 01:19:49	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	12	27¢	$3	0x846e12…
06-20 00:45:05	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	264	27¢	$71	0x60a0ae…
06-20 00:05:59	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0x012f50…
06-19 10:24:56	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	28¢	$56	0xd19364…
06-19 09:55:07	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	28¢	$56	0x2619ff…
06-17 23:31:22	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0x893e90…
06-17 15:26:43	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	14	27¢	$4	0x50bce7…
06-17 14:52:58	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	3	27¢	$1	0xb16333…
06-17 10:11:29	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	27¢	$0	0xbb62d2…
06-17 05:26:35	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	300	28¢	$84	0x52a4c2…
06-15 21:49:12	will bitcoin reach 75k in june 2026	No	SELL	200	90¢	$180	0x73b2fd…
06-15 20:47:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x39fa03…
06-15 15:48:12	will bitcoin reach 75k in june 2026	No	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0xf2dc2f…
06-15 06:53:52	us and iran sign an agreement by june 30 2026 20260611221049853	Yes	BUY	85	84¢	$71	0x82da98…
06-15 06:41:24	us and iran sign an agreement by june 30 2026 20260611221049853	Yes	BUY	15	84¢	$13	0xef7238…
06-15 06:02:39	us and iran sign an agreement by june 30 2026 20260611221049853	Yes	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0x808c68…
06-14 12:59:15	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x1f5404…
06-13 23:20:00	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x57e017…
06-13 20:33:33	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	BUY	300	80¢	$240	0xfecfd2…
06-13 20:24:10	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x7317e1…
06-13 20:19:45	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	BUY	91	80¢	$73	0x9a0dcb…
06-13 20:19:45	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	BUY	9	80¢	$7	0x7c2342…
06-13 15:17:45	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	Yes	SELL	800	25¢	$200	0xfe0e14…
06-12 16:18:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	77¢	$77	0xd07b15…
06-11 19:56:10	will bitcoin reach 65000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0xeabcf9…
06-11 18:09:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0x488149…