Low-Everyone — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$149

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

3,860

lifetime

Volume

$487.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$126

Open exposure

$198

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 05-29 11:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

79% 100% +$35

Politics

21% 100% +$114

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No		+200	$196	99¢	$198	+$2	05-29 11:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	43	$48.9K	33,948	32,998	+951	open	—	02-28 07:21
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	63	$21.6K	46,941	47,205	-264	open	—	02-28 07:17
highest temperature in seoul on february 9 2026 0c	25	$14.0K	9,205	4,927	+4,278	open	—	02-09 07:55
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	41	$11.9K	9,913	9,929	-16	open	—	01-29 04:47
highest temperature in seoul on february 28 2026 12c	96	$9.5K	6,656	6,257	+399	open	—	02-28 08:25
highest temperature in seoul on february 6 2026 neg 4c	44	$7.9K	8,057	0	+8,057	open	—	02-06 07:06
highest temperature in seoul on february 9 2026 4c	19	$7.9K	3,970	3,970	-0	open	—	02-09 14:11
highest temperature in seoul on february 10 2026 1c	22	$7.6K	4,117	3,871	+246	open	—	02-10 03:44
highest temperature in wellington on february 9 2026 19c	36	$7.5K	4,473	3,299	+1,174	open	—	02-09 14:01
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	3	$6.7K	3,719	3,719	+0	open	—	01-05 16:47
highest temperature in seoul on february 8 2026 neg 3c	12	$6.3K	6,337	0	+6,337	open	—	02-08 06:59
highest temperature in seoul on february 6 2026 neg 3c	17	$6.1K	6,144	0	+6,144	open	—	02-06 07:06
highest temperature in seoul on february 7 2026 neg 5c	42	$5.8K	6,035	22	+6,013	open	—	02-07 07:07
highest temperature in seoul on february 7 2026 neg 8corbelow	3	$5.4K	5,418	0	+5,418	open	—	02-06 21:41
highest temperature in london on february 9 2026 9c	65	$4.9K	4,856	2,544	+2,312	open	—	02-09 14:03
highest temperature in wellington on february 8 2026 22corhigher	3	$4.8K	4,877	0	+4,877	open	—	02-07 21:20
highest temperature in seoul on february 2 1c	11	$4.3K	4,395	0	+4,395	open	—	02-02 07:36
highest temperature in london on february 4 2026 8c	4	$4.0K	4,061	0	+4,061	open	—	02-04 08:39
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	3	$4.0K	697	3,697	-3,000	open	—	01-21 02:56
highest temperature in wellington on february 8 2026 19c	10	$3.9K	1,990	1,990	+0	open	—	02-08 11:50
highest temperature in london on february 5 2026 8c	32	$3.9K	4,027	127	+3,900	open	—	02-06 00:00
highest temperature in london on january 30 12corhigher	18	$3.8K	3,301	678	+2,623	open	—	01-30 14:51
highest temperature in london on february 5 2026 9c	16	$3.8K	3,744	96	+3,648	open	—	02-06 00:00
highest temperature in seoul on january 30 neg 3c	3	$3.7K	3,730	0	+3,730	open	—	01-30 13:17
highest temperature in seoul on february 2 3corhigher	6	$3.4K	3,402	0	+3,402	open	—	02-02 01:46
highest temperature in london on february 3 2026 9c	5	$3.4K	3,393	0	+3,393	open	—	02-03 04:42
highest temperature in london on february 3 2026 8c	5	$3.3K	3,303	0	+3,303	open	—	02-03 11:01
highest temperature in seoul on february 1 4corhigher	3	$3.2K	3,239	0	+3,239	open	—	01-31 22:28
highest temperature in london on february 8 2026 13c	9	$3.2K	3,280	0	+3,280	open	—	02-08 11:58
israel x iran ceasefire broken by march 31 2026 312 682	48	$3.1K	2,794	2,524	+270	open	—	01-13 17:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-29 11:00:46	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x404216…
05-27 02:20:55	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	230	100¢	$229	0xa21df9…
05-27 02:20:45	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	400	99¢	$398	0xa35ae9…
05-13 07:43:49	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$197	0xba302f…
05-12 14:18:20	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x7edb60…
05-08 00:12:27	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x2408c7…
05-07 00:41:34	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	300	97¢	$292	0xb8e1e6…
05-03 11:15:58	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x223274…
04-29 10:07:50	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x4f9f99…
04-25 04:02:26	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on April 25?	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0xb67f3d…
04-25 04:01:22	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on April 25?	No	BUY	21	98¢	$20	0xf4d33c…
04-21 09:14:22	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x02f828…
04-21 03:56:28	highest temperature in chengdu on april 21 2026 16c	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x39b18c…
04-21 03:56:18	highest temperature in chengdu on april 21 2026 16c	No	BUY	59	99¢	$59	0x2a4733…
04-20 10:32:10	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	25	94¢	$24	0xff1312…
04-20 10:32:10	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	75	94¢	$71	0xfe9b99…
04-19 05:01:42	highest temperature in chengdu on april 19 2026 29c	No	SELL	345	99¢	$341	0xec9f78…
04-19 04:09:06	highest temperature in chengdu on april 19 2026 30c	No	SELL	137	58¢	$79	0xca1f20…
04-18 23:16:04	highest temperature in shanghai on april 19 2026 25c	No	BUY	115	98¢	$113	0x8d761e…
04-18 08:01:00	highest temperature in chengdu on april 19 2026 29c	No	BUY	175	99¢	$173	0x5ef115…
04-18 08:00:54	highest temperature in chengdu on april 19 2026 30c	No	BUY	137	100¢	$136	0x06721e…
04-18 02:52:28	highest temperature in chengdu on april 19 2026 29c	No	BUY	160	98¢	$156	0xf64a05…
04-18 02:52:24	highest temperature in chengdu on april 19 2026 29c	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd0e058…
04-18 02:51:38	highest temperature in chengdu on april 19 2026 24c	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x5f0b4d…
04-18 02:50:44	highest temperature in chengdu on april 19 2026 23c	Yes	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0xf8739e…
04-18 02:50:16	highest temperature in chengdu on april 19 2026 22corbelow	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x7237d6…
04-18 02:49:00	highest temperature in chengdu on april 19 2026 24c	Yes	BUY	16	12¢	$2	0x09779f…
04-18 02:48:46	highest temperature in chengdu on april 19 2026 23c	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x1b8062…
04-18 02:48:38	highest temperature in chengdu on april 19 2026 22corbelow	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x951fda…
04-17 09:19:24	highest temperature in chengdu on april 17 2026 30c	Yes	SELL	119	1¢	$1	0x4341a7…
04-17 08:37:34	highest temperature in chengdu on april 17 2026 30c	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xd0f081…
04-17 03:32:14	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xc77587…
04-17 03:32:14	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x6d6f5f…
04-17 00:12:38	highest temperature in wuhan on april 17 2026 23corbelow	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xd82147…
04-16 10:21:34	highest temperature in chengdu on april 17 2026 32corhigher	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x25b28b…
04-16 10:21:08	highest temperature in chengdu on april 17 2026 32corhigher	No	BUY	172	99¢	$171	0x40dde8…
04-16 10:19:46	highest temperature in wuhan on april 17 2026 31c	No	BUY	43	100¢	$42	0x78d21b…
04-16 10:17:24	highest temperature in chengdu on april 17 2026 24c	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xfa0b0d…
04-16 10:17:18	highest temperature in chengdu on april 17 2026 24c	No	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0x2e5555…
04-16 10:16:36	highest temperature in chongqing on april 17 2026 31c	No	BUY	148	100¢	$147	0xeb445e…
04-16 10:16:00	highest temperature in chongqing on april 17 2026 32corhigher	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x4e7cc0…
04-16 08:53:34	highest temperature in chengdu on april 17 2026 32corhigher	No	BUY	54	99¢	$54	0x778417…
04-16 08:53:30	highest temperature in chengdu on april 17 2026 32corhigher	No	BUY	65	99¢	$65	0x75945d…
04-16 08:49:48	highest temperature in chongqing on april 17 2026 22corbelow	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x08adc7…
04-16 08:49:20	highest temperature in chongqing on april 17 2026 22corbelow	No	BUY	118	99¢	$117	0x462849…
04-16 08:49:10	highest temperature in chongqing on april 17 2026 23c	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x5b34ef…
04-16 08:48:14	highest temperature in chongqing on april 17 2026 22corbelow	No	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0x141efb…
04-16 08:48:00	highest temperature in chongqing on april 17 2026 23c	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x4dce87…
04-16 08:47:52	highest temperature in chongqing on april 17 2026 22corbelow	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xd6ddaa…
04-16 08:46:56	highest temperature in chongqing on april 17 2026 31c	No	BUY	93	99¢	$92	0x2d083a…
04-15 08:05:20	highest temperature in beijing on april 15 2026 26c	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3e8288…
04-15 07:45:30	highest temperature in beijing on april 15 2026 26c	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x2cf3f7…
04-15 01:58:44	highest temperature in wuhan on april 16 2026 26corhigher	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xe61efc…
04-15 01:57:26	highest temperature in wuhan on april 16 2026 17c	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x003e1d…
04-15 01:56:32	highest temperature in chengdu on april 16 2026 17c	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x669643…
04-15 00:32:24	highest temperature in beijing on april 16 2026 26c	No	BUY	58	99¢	$58	0x3004e8…
04-15 00:30:12	highest temperature in beijing on april 16 2026 27c	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x507b69…
04-14 22:42:04	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$197	0xd21d32…
04-14 22:30:16	highest temperature in chengdu on april 15 2026 20c	No	BUY	587	100¢	$584	0xa09f5d…
04-14 16:05:59	highest temperature in london on april 15 2026 14c	No	BUY	35	99¢	$34	0x92ec6d…
04-14 16:03:03	highest temperature in beijing on april 15 2026 21corbelow	No	BUY	740	99¢	$735	0xb38036…
04-14 16:01:33	highest temperature in chengdu on april 15 2026 20c	No	BUY	65	99¢	$64	0x5b6b94…
04-14 16:00:11	highest temperature in shanghai on april 15 2026 15c	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe95d8a…
04-14 16:00:01	highest temperature in shanghai on april 15 2026 15c	No	BUY	12	99¢	$11	0x73c73a…
04-14 15:57:45	highest temperature in wellington on april 15 2026 15c	No	BUY	166	99¢	$164	0x11b036…
04-14 15:55:57	highest temperature in wellington on april 15 2026 15c	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x9ecaec…
04-14 15:55:47	highest temperature in wellington on april 15 2026 15c	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x7dc2dd…
04-13 09:26:15	highest temperature in chengdu on april 14 2026 21corbelow	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x1eeca7…
04-13 08:38:31	highest temperature in shanghai on april 14 2026 23corhigher	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xa099d3…
04-13 08:38:25	highest temperature in shanghai on april 14 2026 23corhigher	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xaff770…
04-12 23:16:13	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x3c6c5e…
04-12 08:12:59	highest temperature in chongqing on april 12 2026 24c	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x262c86…
04-12 07:43:57	highest temperature in beijing on april 12 2026 28c	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf4f94b…
04-12 07:43:37	highest temperature in beijing on april 12 2026 28c	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x4a399f…
04-12 07:43:31	highest temperature in beijing on april 12 2026 28c	No	BUY	60	99¢	$59	0xab950f…
04-12 03:54:27	highest temperature in beijing on april 12 2026 30c	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x644110…
04-12 03:51:15	highest temperature in beijing on april 12 2026 30c	No	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0x19921f…
04-12 03:51:09	highest temperature in beijing on april 12 2026 30c	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x1f2aa3…
04-12 03:46:51	highest temperature in chongqing on april 13 2026 16c	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0xadc03b…
04-12 02:30:21	highest temperature in beijing on april 12 2026 30c	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xa5d453…
04-12 01:54:09	highest temperature in wuhan on april 13 2026 18c	No	BUY	295	100¢	$294	0xce36ec…
04-12 01:52:41	highest temperature in beijing on april 12 2026 30c	No	BUY	500	99¢	$497	0x9912c4…
04-11 06:04:23	highest temperature in beijing on april 11 2026 25c	No	BUY	87	99¢	$85	0x9a8d43…
04-11 06:03:07	highest temperature in chengdu on april 11 2026 29c	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x0d3b78…
04-11 06:03:05	highest temperature in chengdu on april 11 2026 29c	No	BUY	10	96¢	$9	0x9bcb45…
04-11 06:01:19	highest temperature in beijing on april 11 2026 25c	No	BUY	193	99¢	$191	0xd1fbfd…
04-11 06:00:31	highest temperature in beijing on april 11 2026 26c	No	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0x7795f3…
04-11 05:58:01	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x7b7ccc…
04-11 02:54:09	highest temperature in shanghai on april 12 2026 23c	No	BUY	342	100¢	$340	0x8184e0…
04-11 00:59:41	highest temperature in wuhan on april 13 2026 27corhigher	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x55fbe0…
04-11 00:59:35	highest temperature in wuhan on april 13 2026 27corhigher	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x714ba5…
04-11 00:59:29	highest temperature in wuhan on april 13 2026 27corhigher	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x8568c4…
04-11 00:59:17	highest temperature in wuhan on april 13 2026 27corhigher	No	BUY	61	99¢	$61	0xb31c75…
04-09 15:01:29	highest temperature in chongqing on april 10 2026 29c	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x02919a…
04-09 15:01:23	highest temperature in chongqing on april 10 2026 29c	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x189d7a…
04-09 15:01:21	highest temperature in chongqing on april 10 2026 29c	No	BUY	6	99¢	$5	0x699b8c…
04-09 15:01:13	highest temperature in chongqing on april 10 2026 29c	No	BUY	385	99¢	$381	0xf08e9e…
04-09 15:00:57	highest temperature in chongqing on april 10 2026 29c	No	BUY	83	99¢	$82	0x3e9964…
04-09 14:59:37	highest temperature in chongqing on april 10 2026 30c	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0xd7d676…
04-09 14:59:25	highest temperature in chongqing on april 10 2026 32corhigher	No	BUY	164	100¢	$164	0x95c9db…