Realized P&L
-$8.62K
Unrealized P&L
+$9
Hit rate
83.9%
Resolved
987
Trades
4,172
lifetime
Volume
$497.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$119
Open exposure
$1.12K
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-24 00:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 118 days
Categories
Other
79% 89% -$1,362
Politics
21% 53% -$7,254
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +309 $280 98¢ $303 +$23 07-30 05:29
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +235 $170 82¢ $192 +$22 07-30 05:30
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,495 $177 12¢ $177 $0 09-09 06:10
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +132 $111 97¢ $128 +$17 05-13 07:48
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +110 $100 90¢ $99 -$1 10-16 05:50
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -450 -$114 19¢ $-86 +$28 09-26 12:29
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +55 $50 92¢ $50 +$0 10-16 05:53
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +43 $40 94¢ $40 +$0 10-24 00:01
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +25 $20 92¢ $23 +$3 10-16 05:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +170 $104 12¢ $20 -$85 07-14 05:00