Realized P&L
+$39.4K
Unrealized P&L
+$9.91K
Hit rate
93.3%
Resolved
74
Trades
1,170
lifetime
Volume
$2.66M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2.28K
Open exposure
$380.3K
27 positions
First seen
2026-03-27
last 10-27 01:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 42 days
Categories
Politics
60% 91% +$11,612
Other
39% 92% +$26,794
Sports
1% 100% +$990
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
38 active days in 12wk • peak 69 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +75,068 $64,616 92¢ $68.7K +$4,071 10-01 08:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? No +30,838 $29,348 100¢ $30.8K +$1,413 09-30 10:05
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? No +31,600 $30,012 93¢ $29.3K -$750 10-19 02:52
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +26,329 $21,934 96¢ $25.4K +$3,433 06-11 16:19
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? Yes +23,364 $21,922 93¢ $21.6K -$276 10-17 06:25
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? No +20,992 $20,387 99¢ $20.9K +$490 10-02 03:16
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +21,282 $20,191 97¢ $20.6K +$389 09-28 21:44
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +20,282 $19,145 97¢ $19.7K +$589 09-30 05:33
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? No +19,741 $18,665 96¢ $19.0K +$287 09-30 05:29
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? Yes +17,196 $16,269 96¢ $16.5K +$188 10-12 01:50
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? Yes +16,779 $15,437 91¢ $15.3K -$168 10-17 06:14
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? Yes +12,436 $11,534 90¢ $11.3K -$280 09-30 05:22
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +11,200 $10,047 92¢ $10.3K +$257 10-17 07:10
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? Yes +9,360 $8,880 96¢ $9.0K +$83 10-01 06:40
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +10,000 $9,200 86¢ $8.5K -$650 09-27 23:06
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +10,000 $8,100 80¢ $8.1K -$50 08-22 06:55
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +7,903 $7,508 97¢ $7.7K +$158 10-02 05:30
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +8,000 $6,301 88¢ $7.1K +$779 10-17 06:04
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +9,340 $7,005 74¢ $7.0K -$47 09-20 23:46
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +6,400 $6,080 97¢ $6.2K +$128 10-17 06:36
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat? Yes +6,000 $5,032 87¢ $5.2K +$188 10-17 06:26
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +5,300 $4,994 86¢ $4.6K -$410 08-26 19:48
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +2,800 $2,016 80¢ $2.2K +$224 10-15 19:58
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +3,450 $1,993 54¢ $1.9K -$139 10-15 17:53
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,699 $1,890 68¢ $1.8K -$40 10-17 06:02
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,500 $975 68¢ $1.0K +$38 10-13 06:08
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? Yes +983 $942 96¢ $943 +$1 10-17 06:15