Closed-Barracks — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.22K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

394

lifetime

Volume

$1.35M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$3.41K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-27

last 08-11 12:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

60% 100% +$292

Politics

40% 100% +$928

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	57	$190.6K	157,995	35,440	+122,555	open	—	04-08 19:48
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	5	$165.8K	176,696	0	+176,696	open	—	04-05 17:53
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	135	$140.7K	141,536	0	+141,536	open	—	03-30 02:24
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	1	$100.1K	100,500	0	+100,500	open	—	04-07 00:06
Netanyahu out by April 30?	46	$71.0K	73,528	0	+73,528	open	—	03-28 22:39
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	11	$71.0K	63,958	8,000	+55,958	open	—	05-28 18:36
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$69.7K	70,000	0	+70,000	open	—	03-29 03:21
us iran nuclear deal by march 31	14	$51.8K	52,193	0	+52,193	open	—	03-30 07:03
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$50.0K	50,500	0	+50,500	open	—	04-16 17:54
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	3	$46.2K	46,742	0	+46,742	open	—	04-19 23:31
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	3	$38.2K	21,000	21,000	+0	open	—	04-05 17:51
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	8	$32.6K	33,668	0	+33,668	open	—	05-14 18:09
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	2	$31.0K	31,901	0	+31,901	Yes	+$928	04-05 17:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	3	$28.2K	15,000	15,000	+0	open	—	06-24 23:21
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	3	$23.4K	24,248	0	+24,248	open	—	06-21 00:13
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	3	$23.0K	12,603	12,603	+0	open	—	04-12 03:13
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	37	$20.0K	20,880	0	+20,880	open	—	08-11 12:35
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	2	$19.5K	19,893	0	+19,893	open	—	06-11 15:44
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	1	$16.0K	16,121	0	+16,121	open	—	05-18 15:15
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	6	$15.0K	15,231	0	+15,231	open	—	05-22 15:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	1	$11.9K	12,000	0	+12,000	open	—	05-11 00:56
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	3	$11.7K	11,804	0	+11,804	open	—	05-18 15:26
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	2	$10.0K	11,243	0	+11,243	open	—	08-11 02:26
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	2	$9.8K	5,694	5,694	+0	open	—	04-05 18:25
will trump meet with netanyahu by august 31 2026	1	$9.7K	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	07-24 19:40
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	2	$9.1K	9,290	0	+9,290	open	—	08-09 18:49
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	2	$8.9K	9,005	0	+9,005	open	—	05-22 15:29
israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	1	$8.3K	8,741	0	+8,741	open	—	06-24 23:24
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	1	$8.2K	8,281	0	+8,281	open	—	04-05 17:49
Was the Fox News guest wearing a mask?	2	$8.1K	8,257	0	+8,257	open	—	05-22 06:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 12:35:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	5,335	95¢	$5,069	0x44bfc9…
08-11 02:30:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	3,000	97¢	$2,898	0x36bfe9…
08-11 02:26:54	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	10,000	97¢	$9,660	0x86af60…
08-11 02:26:04	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	6,000	90¢	$5,400	0x8ef2eb…
08-11 02:25:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	BUY	4,434	98¢	$4,359	0x363d31…
08-09 22:23:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x3ef8dd…
08-09 22:22:33	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe38072…
08-09 22:10:24	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x5bd8a4…
08-09 22:03:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x874636…
08-09 22:01:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x50e9a1…
08-09 22:01:09	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x470e4f…
08-09 21:42:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x42b544…
08-09 21:09:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	37	95¢	$35	0x101d99…
08-09 21:06:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	500	95¢	$475	0x3f5a94…
08-09 20:52:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	300	95¢	$285	0xbe92e8…
08-09 20:45:54	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd8f523…
08-09 20:45:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	7	95¢	$6	0x17de32…
08-09 20:43:21	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	77	95¢	$73	0xa66a1b…
08-09 20:40:27	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x44fa9d…
08-09 20:39:27	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xaddda0…
08-09 20:39:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x96ba36…
08-09 20:38:03	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	500	95¢	$475	0x3c6f50…
08-09 20:37:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	2	95¢	$1	0xced12f…
08-09 20:36:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	7	95¢	$6	0xf470f5…
08-09 20:30:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	7	95¢	$6	0x193c8f…
08-09 20:16:09	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x51284c…
08-09 20:12:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	47	95¢	$45	0x635f48…
08-09 19:54:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x1e9530…
08-09 19:17:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x3a49bc…
08-09 19:17:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xcebdcd…
08-09 19:15:39	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x49eb90…
08-09 18:59:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	400	95¢	$380	0xe6cbb3…
08-09 18:58:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x2b2699…
08-09 18:58:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xa9452e…
08-09 18:57:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xa4a0ed…
08-09 18:49:52	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	BUY	4,274	98¢	$4,210	0x2ab579…
08-09 18:49:04	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	No	BUY	2,295	99¢	$2,272	0xf46285…
08-09 18:47:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	17	95¢	$16	0xc4cceb…
08-09 18:46:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xc9ca8d…
08-09 18:44:36	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	17	95¢	$16	0x0ffa24…
08-09 18:43:09	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	250	95¢	$238	0x6ef013…
08-09 18:42:45	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	5,243	88¢	$4,594	0x2f79ce…
08-09 18:42:12	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	BUY	5,016	98¢	$4,935	0x44a79c…
07-24 21:43:58	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1,084	90¢	$975	0x48914a…
07-24 21:34:42	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x85cf11…
07-24 21:32:06	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	910	90¢	$819	0xc6db04…
07-24 19:40:31	will trump meet with netanyahu by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	10,000	97¢	$9,696	0xc74e5f…
07-18 02:32:12	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 18 20260715194822043	No	BUY	5,126	99¢	$5,054	0xde2fe9…
07-18 02:28:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	5,000	86¢	$4,300	0x0a58fc…
06-24 23:24:28	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	BUY	8,741	95¢	$8,304	0x2298a3…
06-24 23:21:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	15,000	94¢	$14,118	0x6deb22…
06-21 00:13:59	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5,000	98¢	$4,905	0x3a3af3…
06-20 19:52:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5,000	94¢	$4,700	0x777f9d…
06-20 19:45:17	starmer out by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	8,023	89¢	$7,141	0x8286fc…
06-20 19:41:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	10,000	94¢	$9,400	0x264c38…
06-17 05:58:04	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11,248	97¢	$10,863	0xf3adf1…
06-17 00:39:26	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8,000	96¢	$7,680	0x97b0e9…
06-12 20:30:55	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	BUY	528	80¢	$423	0x821ab9…
06-12 19:24:52	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x6dce39…
06-12 19:13:36	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	BUY	2,920	80¢	$2,336	0x61bb14…
06-12 18:50:43	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	BUY	56	80¢	$45	0xe5e82e…
06-11 15:44:37	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	10,699	98¢	$10,485	0xa3d64b…
06-11 01:46:34	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	9,195	98¢	$8,992	0xb99c8b…
05-28 18:37:03	Will Chad Bianco advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	3,298	97¢	$3,196	0xfab860…
05-28 18:36:27	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	8,000	100¢	$7,984	0x524513…
05-23 00:28:40	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	2,300	98¢	$2,249	0x35a560…
05-22 15:29:54	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,317	99¢	$1,303	0xdb5ef5…
05-22 15:26:33	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7,688	98¢	$7,564	0xe7f95d…
05-22 15:19:12	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,610	97¢	$1,569	0x3fa252…
05-22 07:09:06	Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?	Yes	BUY	271	98¢	$265	0xe2e796…
05-22 07:03:36	Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?	Yes	BUY	508	98¢	$498	0x149e03…
05-22 06:53:37	Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?	Yes	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x4612de…
05-22 06:47:12	Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xca3490…
05-22 06:44:05	Was the Fox News guest wearing a mask?	No	BUY	700	97¢	$679	0x784c62…
05-22 06:43:04	Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?	Yes	BUY	101	98¢	$99	0x28e135…
05-22 06:42:53	Was the Fox News guest wearing a mask?	No	BUY	7,556	98¢	$7,433	0xe4214a…
05-22 06:37:29	Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?	Yes	BUY	294	99¢	$291	0x4a974b…
05-22 06:37:17	Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?	Yes	BUY	2,256	98¢	$2,203	0x54cf69…
05-21 02:54:33	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	290	98¢	$286	0x0230e8…
05-21 02:53:34	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10,000	99¢	$9,870	0x8675d3…
05-21 02:53:18	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xc412e5…
05-21 02:53:16	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,084	98¢	$2,053	0xb2616c…
05-21 02:53:02	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,148	98¢	$1,123	0x0c8aa0…
05-19 23:58:41	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	376	99¢	$371	0x389641…
05-19 23:58:41	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	10,049	99¢	$9,908	0x0e6a9f…
05-18 15:26:51	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	No	BUY	1,493	99¢	$1,478	0x33c4e2…
05-18 15:26:39	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xbb24b0…
05-18 15:26:32	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	No	BUY	10,294	99¢	$10,175	0xc4056b…
05-18 15:19:53	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	10,000	99¢	$9,870	0x9f84e0…
05-18 15:15:25	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	16,121	99¢	$15,955	0x67e2cc…
05-14 18:10:06	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	6,126	99¢	$6,053	0xb80660…
05-14 18:10:06	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	711	99¢	$703	0x7bcddd…
05-14 18:10:06	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	1,054	99¢	$1,042	0x57bc43…
05-14 18:10:06	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	1,324	99¢	$1,308	0x4cb652…
05-14 18:10:04	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	2,784	99¢	$2,751	0xfc12ba…
05-14 18:09:08	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	12,000	99¢	$11,821	0x4b6a21…
05-13 15:30:53	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5,503	96¢	$5,283	0x6f89c9…
05-12 18:13:07	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	21,532	98¢	$21,209	0x9a57d0…
05-11 01:02:53	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	10,000	98¢	$9,820	0x665bdd…
05-11 00:56:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	12,000	99¢	$11,904	0x091c21…