Perky-Basement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

1.2%

Resolved

219

Trades

528

lifetime

Volume

$525

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 08-03 02:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 118 days

Categories

Other

47% 2% -$2

Politics

29% 0% -$1

Crypto

9% 0% $0

Tech

9% 7% $0

Sports

5% 0% $0

Pop-Culture

2% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-03).

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	10	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	$0	01-16 07:58
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 30% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	6	$6	3	3	+0	Yes	$0	02-12 09:17
Over $1M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	6	$6	3	3	+0	Yes	$0	03-20 03:40
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	6	$6	3	3	+0	Yes	$0	03-25 07:31
will choosin texas by ella langley be the billboard 1 song for the week of march 21	6	$6	3	3	+0	Yes	$0	03-14 03:23
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	07-21 08:24
will ph win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	03-19 03:50
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	06-02 02:13
us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	07-21 08:23
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $4.00 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	04-04 02:06
GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	07-04 02:01
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	04-18 01:16
Israeli forces enter Beirut by April 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	04-25 01:48
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	07-13 02:49
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	04-27 01:48
Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	06-08 02:13
Will the Chicago Mercantile Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	04-06 01:51
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	4	$4	2	2	-0	open	—	07-08 02:45
Will Joe Mitchell be the Republican Nominee for IA-02?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	05-29 02:55
nothing ever happens microstrategy	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	02-20 02:12
will shabana mahmood be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533205	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	07-10 02:31
Will Liverpool qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	3	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	05-06 01:49
Will Wolves be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$0	03-18 03:34
bitcoin above 64k on march 23	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$0	03-21 03:28
will iraq recognize israel by december 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-04 02:02
Human moon landing in 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-13 02:22
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	$0	04-21 01:31
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	02-27 03:16
bitcoin above 62k on march 17	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$0	03-14 03:22
Will Jennifer Flett win the 2026 Pas-Kameesak Manitoba Legislative Assembly by-election?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$0	07-16 02:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-03 02:50:05	Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in August 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x79eb6d…
08-03 02:49:05	Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xf05802…
08-03 02:33:12	Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in August 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4c98f9…
08-03 02:18:54	Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6051df…
08-01 09:39:50	Will Don Beyer be the VA-08 Democratic nominee?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xe31cc4…
08-01 09:39:18	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the uptspt by august 31 2026 20260728213423296	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x55aa6e…
08-01 09:34:17	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the uptspt by august 31 2026 20260728213423296	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc5f3d1…
08-01 09:26:18	Will Don Beyer be the VA-08 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x82d4f7…
07-31 02:56:14	Will Bev Craig win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x81d215…
07-31 02:55:29	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by december 31	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x919937…
07-31 02:32:48	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by december 31	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x1e1bad…
07-31 02:27:51	Will Bev Craig win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa7e1e4…
07-30 03:14:06	will there be houthi military action against israel by july 31 2026 20260714210303209	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x0f06de…
07-30 03:13:30	bitcoin above 54k on august 4 2026	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf0eb97…
07-30 02:41:26	will there be houthi military action against israel by july 31 2026 20260714210303209	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb4dde5…
07-30 02:34:45	bitcoin above 54k on august 4 2026	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4149cf…
07-29 09:34:42	Will United Russia win the next Kamchatka Krai Parliament elections?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x9e4bc1…
07-29 09:33:45	Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x31dd88…
07-29 09:15:08	Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0f5ed5…
07-29 09:07:50	Will United Russia win the next Kamchatka Krai Parliament elections?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x437b41…
07-28 03:14:40	Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xb64465…
07-28 03:13:30	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 28?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x363e39…
07-28 03:04:48	Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7a673c…
07-28 03:02:34	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9c50b5…
07-27 03:05:36	Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3b278f…
07-27 03:05:01	Will Seattle have between 2.5 and 3 inches of precipitation in July?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd02c5d…
07-27 02:22:28	Will Seattle have between 2.5 and 3 inches of precipitation in July?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3ff6ce…
07-27 02:09:10	Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbc9c10…
07-25 02:25:13	will hyperliquid reach 88 in july	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x938c08…
07-25 02:24:28	Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour De France?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x08cb6d…
07-25 02:10:10	will hyperliquid reach 88 in july	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1e8af3…
07-25 01:56:31	Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour De France?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd1df5f…
07-24 07:54:15	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be above 1t cny 20260722211138920	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x3c394d…
07-24 07:53:39	Will Sydney Kamlager-Dove win the CA-37 House seat?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x941c1e…
07-24 07:32:00	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be above 1t cny 20260722211138920	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x34bef7…
07-24 07:28:25	Will Sydney Kamlager-Dove win the CA-37 House seat?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5c5358…
07-23 02:59:24	Will Sean McCann be the MI-04 Democratic nominee?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x939304…
07-23 02:58:42	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x8b05c4…
07-23 02:49:09	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7c137c…
07-23 02:35:24	Will Sean McCann be the MI-04 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x82c07b…
07-22 03:18:40	tony dunst 20260707142702030	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd2982d…
07-22 03:17:31	iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x00aa6a…
07-22 02:48:27	iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb171e0…
07-22 02:42:00	tony dunst 20260707142702030	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x585868…
07-21 08:24:18	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x091e76…
07-21 08:23:40	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3a6417…
07-21 08:11:57	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xde1c92…
07-21 08:06:10	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x61aacb…
07-20 03:20:21	will there be at least 1800 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153971	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x5e33d1…
07-20 03:19:33	Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x52059d…
07-20 02:51:03	will there be at least 1800 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153971	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa14548…
07-20 02:42:30	Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf819d3…
07-18 03:25:28	Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x53792f…
07-18 03:24:42	Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x459987…
07-18 03:07:48	Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x93c72d…
07-18 03:03:12	Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x84b396…
07-17 08:05:15	will polymarket mindshare hit 75 by december 31 20260630144203053	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xa5d26d…
07-17 08:04:13	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x276d3d…
07-17 07:42:13	will polymarket mindshare hit 75 by december 31 20260630144203053	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf30aa3…
07-17 07:36:54	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc69fb1…
07-16 02:57:05	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 17 2026 20260708165455692	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x7dfb2b…
07-16 02:56:11	Will Jennifer Flett win the 2026 Pas-Kameesak Manitoba Legislative Assembly by-election?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x525443…
07-16 02:31:07	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 17 2026 20260708165455692	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x87a471…
07-16 02:18:17	Will Jennifer Flett win the 2026 Pas-Kameesak Manitoba Legislative Assembly by-election?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdd4b3b…
07-15 02:23:32	Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xdd43bd…
07-15 02:22:53	Will Adilet win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x062529…
07-15 02:13:23	Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8936a1…
07-15 02:06:31	Will Adilet win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2ade97…
07-14 08:53:31	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x88e85a…
07-14 08:52:55	Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x7241b6…
07-14 08:33:13	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd5440a…
07-14 08:25:41	Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5b9a8a…
07-13 02:50:46	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x1e9249…
07-13 02:49:08	Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf01186…
07-13 02:26:59	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xaf3e1d…
07-13 02:20:16	Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x50a014…
07-11 09:18:29	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x1258b7…
07-11 09:17:50	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe28050…
07-11 08:49:40	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe9d401…
07-11 08:40:50	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc5a4ba…
07-10 02:31:41	will shabana mahmood be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533205	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x275ede…
07-10 02:31:04	Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x77429b…
07-10 02:13:59	Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x53025d…
07-10 02:02:20	will shabana mahmood be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533205	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x01e3a3…
07-09 07:43:01	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x145757…
07-09 07:41:50	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x26aa83…
07-09 07:26:47	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4886d1…
07-09 07:21:41	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x552a94…
07-08 02:46:28	Will Trump meet with Ahmed al-Sharaa in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x64bb4e…
07-08 02:45:47	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x0f2c64…
07-08 02:27:17	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe4756a…
07-08 02:24:34	Will Trump meet with Ahmed al-Sharaa in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x200de7…
07-07 08:02:53	Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 26 be less than 80?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb40f13…
07-07 08:02:08	Will Ann Wagner be the MO-02 Republican nominee?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x684d66…
07-07 07:34:08	Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 26 be less than 80?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe607b2…
07-07 07:19:46	Will Ann Wagner be the MO-02 Republican nominee?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6749aa…
07-06 02:13:50	Will Bank of America fail by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xf18197…
07-06 02:12:35	Will Randy Fine be the Republican nominee for FL-06?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xd9c44e…
07-06 01:53:53	Will Bank of America fail by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3c613a…
07-06 01:44:52	Will Randy Fine be the Republican nominee for FL-06?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x07a1da…