Outrageous-Signify — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

103

lifetime

Volume

$1.11K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 06-29 07:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

41% 100% +$0

Other

27% — —

Politics

19% 100% +$2

Tech

11% — —

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
gpt 5pt6 released by june 26 2026	1	$119	120	+120	open	—	06-26 03:28
cap fdv above 400m one day after launch	1	$116	117	+117	open	—	06-27 08:57
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$105	115	+115	open	—	05-26 05:38
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	1	$104	105	+105	open	—	05-15 14:22
Will Bulgaria advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$102	104	+104	open	—	05-14 20:28
Will Israel advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$100	103	+103	Yes	+$2	05-11 03:19
Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$88	89	+89	Yes	+$0	05-04 19:50
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?	1	$36	41	+41	open	—	05-03 12:57
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by june 30	1	$34	34	+34	open	—	06-29 04:25
Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?	1	$32	32	+32	Yes	+$0	05-05 07:11
Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$26	26	+26	open	—	06-26 05:26
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June?	1	$21	21	+21	open	—	06-29 07:21
Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch?	1	$21	21	+21	open	—	04-14 04:18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in April?	4	$7	7	+7	open	—	04-17 17:49
nvda above 250 on january 30 2026	1	$6	7	+7	open	—	01-07 03:50
will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 115	1	$6	6	+6	open	—	01-06 11:15
pltr above 200 on january 30 2026	1	$6	6	+6	open	—	01-24 00:46
will bnb reach 1100 in march	3	$6	6	+6	open	—	03-25 02:56
nvda above 240 on january 30 2026	1	$6	6	+6	open	—	01-09 07:40
will amazon be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	02-20 18:33
will ethereum dip to 1000 in march 2026	2	$5	5	+5	open	—	03-27 18:23
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	2	$5	5	+5	open	—	04-11 00:34
will solana dip to 40 in january 2026	2	$5	5	+5	open	—	01-22 08:02
will solana dip to 60 in january 2026	1	$4	4	+4	open	—	01-09 21:52
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in April?	2	$4	4	+4	open	—	04-20 23:58
will apple be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	1	$4	4	+4	open	—	03-31 01:19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	1	$4	4	+4	open	—	04-25 22:55
will hyperliquid dip to 8 in january	1	$4	4	+4	open	—	01-11 20:29
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?	1	$4	4	+4	open	—	04-18 13:22
aapl above 230 on february 27 2026	1	$4	4	+4	open	—	02-21 06:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 07:21:55	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0xdf4832…
06-29 04:25:28	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by june 30	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xd1761b…
06-27 08:57:47	cap fdv above 400m one day after launch	No	BUY	117	99¢	$116	0xf55eac…
06-26 05:26:05	Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x360100…
06-26 03:28:55	gpt 5pt6 released by june 26 2026	No	BUY	120	100¢	$119	0x2438c6…
05-30 18:35:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd02a49…
05-29 05:35:17	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 in May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x996fc9…
05-26 05:38:16	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	115	91¢	$105	0x044aea…
05-16 02:47:39	Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x46672b…
05-15 14:22:45	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0x0c38a8…
05-14 20:28:21	Will Bulgaria advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	104	99¢	$102	0xf369ef…
05-11 03:19:39	Will Israel advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	103	98¢	$100	0x843ead…
05-09 15:49:13	Will Solana reach $160 in May?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x4bc5c3…
05-09 05:07:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x251069…
05-06 12:14:10	Will Solana dip to $50 in May?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xacf479…
05-05 07:11:14	Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x8a91f9…
05-04 19:50:04	Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	89	100¢	$88	0x909515…
05-03 12:57:20	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	41	88¢	$36	0xbab81d…
05-02 04:33:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe8d9b3…
04-27 21:38:06	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xcd7de7…
04-25 22:55:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xbe87bb…
04-21 11:49:22	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	4	86¢	$3	0x7098d9…
04-20 23:58:24	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x8a577a…
04-19 22:48:08	Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $200 end of April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x9cdf8e…
04-19 14:08:04	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4bb33f…
04-19 06:44:52	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.00 in April?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9f8155…
04-18 13:22:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xb00de3…
04-17 17:49:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in April?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe1e492…
04-17 04:42:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in April?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x04e4d6…
04-16 12:30:48	Will XRP dip to $0.60 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x378cde…
04-15 11:56:34	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in April?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb7177f…
04-14 04:18:09	Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x566787…
04-13 00:05:43	Will DeepSeek have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x633a1b…
04-12 05:40:43	Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3366e0…
04-11 23:47:01	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x094604…
04-11 22:59:51	Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in April?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xe7e250…
04-11 19:31:17	will the bank of russia increase the key rate after the april meeting	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd21753…
04-11 10:25:43	Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1a5c7a…
04-11 06:08:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x97385a…
04-11 04:29:47	Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa2e5fc…
04-11 00:34:45	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf80612…
04-10 23:37:49	Will Solana dip to $10 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0xff8572…
04-10 16:32:51	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8c330d…
04-10 05:52:37	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x0fdd42…
04-08 19:48:39	Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the April meeting?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x975258…
04-06 00:27:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0xe68025…
04-05 23:52:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in April?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x933ee9…
04-05 14:45:47	will the reserve bank of india decrease the policy repo rate after the april meeting	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x3c7d09…
03-31 01:19:31	will apple be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xce4799…
03-27 18:23:37	will ethereum dip to 1000 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc7d41c…
03-27 06:48:49	will deepseek have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe9f5af…
03-27 01:54:17	msft above 495 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5c118a…
03-26 22:40:39	googl above 340 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf4efd0…
03-26 04:01:43	will bnb reach 900 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf9759d…
03-26 02:35:47	googl above 350 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x76ca38…
03-26 00:28:39	will solana reach 120 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6da83e…
03-25 04:40:47	will dogecoin dip to 0pt05 in march 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xee6afd…
03-25 04:04:35	nflx above 40 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x29f9d7…
03-25 02:56:31	will bnb reach 1100 in march	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xcc8fb7…
03-24 19:19:01	will ethereum dip to 1000 in march 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x585cd2…
03-24 13:00:55	will xrp reach 2pt8 in march 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x905342…
03-24 01:24:07	will dogecoin reach 0pt2 in march 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x572af5…
03-23 16:00:37	nflx above 20 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0x26cc05…
03-22 01:10:05	nflx above 120 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0x985c05…
03-12 10:40:03	will bnb reach 1100 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7baacc…
03-11 21:51:23	will the ecb announce no change at the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd2c07c…
03-10 16:21:53	will hyperliquid dip to 12 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8317d2…
03-10 09:49:33	will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb4d427…
03-09 21:12:57	googl above 360 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xb99ef5…
03-09 19:58:09	will oracle be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0b97db…
03-08 08:24:05	will amazon be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x537779…
03-08 06:40:13	will zai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 189	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xcbb1d9…
03-07 06:55:45	will baidu have the third best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x716404…
03-07 02:22:39	will alibaba have the third best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0ee2fb…
03-06 02:36:49	nflx above 40 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9e94a4…
03-05 04:45:23	aapl above 330 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x724abe…
03-05 03:40:47	will bnb reach 1100 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x63be7c…
02-25 01:22:50	will gold gc hit low 3000 by end of february 957 911 432 757 792 499 213 135	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xde9101…
02-24 21:47:56	aapl above 290 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xcffac9…
02-24 08:20:36	will solana reach 120 in february 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xda7fcf…
02-23 19:29:44	will bitcoin reach 110k in february 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x2fe05d…
02-23 15:28:20	will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x8dfb62…
02-23 14:30:44	will nvidia be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0c1654…
02-23 09:26:42	msft above 345 on february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb19f9f…
02-23 03:41:10	will bitcoin reach 115k in february 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x90f290…
02-22 02:37:26	msft above 480 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x02b73f…
02-21 06:43:54	aapl above 230 on february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x625677…
02-21 03:32:38	will solana reach 160 in february 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xd3d101…
02-20 18:33:20	will amazon be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb55535…
02-02 07:21:54	will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0ab12e…
01-24 00:46:04	pltr above 200 on january 30 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x4489ce…
01-22 08:02:20	will solana dip to 40 in january 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc7d88b…
01-21 06:44:34	will bnb dip to 600 in january	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x9407ff…
01-19 20:47:20	will microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xe9c33e…
01-17 11:55:38	will moonshot have the third best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0xd3308b…
01-15 01:14:54	gc hit 3000 low jan 2026 687 416 415 372	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xcc491c…
01-13 19:40:50	will solana dip to 40 in january 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x3aae7a…
01-13 04:13:17	will tesla be the third largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x7b0dfa…
01-11 20:29:56	will hyperliquid dip to 8 in january	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xb6fa15…
01-09 21:52:58	will solana dip to 60 in january 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x293f50…