Valuable-Identity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.98K

Unrealized P&L

-$49

Hit rate

54.6%

Resolved

385

Trades

1,345

lifetime

Volume

$57.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$43

Open exposure

$668

17 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 10-27 22:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 139 days

Categories

Other

66% 35% +$3,705

Crypto

19% 31% -$70

Politics

11% 50% -$18

Tech

3% 75% +$286

Sports

2% 38% +$79

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

79 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions (17) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	+450	$432	96¢	$432	$0	10-27 22:38
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	+90	$83	97¢	$87	+$4	09-15 17:56
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	+53	$24	99¢	$52	+$28	10-25 08:09
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	+123	$46	20¢	$25	-$20	10-24 15:46
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	+65	$29	34¢	$22	-$7	10-25 10:47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	+23	$17	62¢	$14	-$3	10-27 20:33
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	+148	$27	6¢	$8	-$19	10-25 21:25
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+181	$7	4¢	$8	+$0	10-21 07:07
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+100	$6	7¢	$7	+$1	10-24 23:19
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+50	$10	12¢	$6	-$3	10-03 05:42
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	+101	$5	3¢	$3	-$2	09-20 19:58
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	+50	$6	5¢	$2	-$4	10-27 06:27
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	+49	$1	1¢	$1	$0	06-15 12:31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	+1	-$7	38¢	$0	+$7	10-19 11:04
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	+42	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	06-09 01:57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	Yes	+4	$27	2¢	$0	-$27	10-23 13:11
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	+0	$2	93¢	$0	-$2	10-02 14:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strike on somalia by january 31 956	15	$12.8K	17,437	0	+17,437	Yes	+$4,686	01-26 14:31
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?	3	$4.0K	4,994	4,994	+0	No	-$11	05-19 12:29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	42	$3.9K	2,107	2,014	+94	No	-$10	05-26 04:06
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	6	$3.4K	2,194	2,194	+0	open	—	05-11 03:50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	2	$2.5K	1,541	1,541	+0	No	-$15	05-25 19:38
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	41	$1.6K	1,232	782	+450	open	—	10-27 22:38
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	31	$1.4K	1,631	0	+1,631	Yes	+$243	04-24 12:56
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	34	$1.4K	2,662	0	+2,662	Yes	-$81	05-07 02:04
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	23	$1.0K	1,397	0	+1,397	Yes	+$105	04-29 20:53
bitcoin up or down april 1 2026 10am et	26	$1.0K	34	1,594	-1,561	Up	-$82	04-01 15:16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	19	$813	1,241	80	+1,161	No	-$396	04-21 05:27
will bitcoin reach 92pt5k in october 2026	18	$709	433	380	+53	open	—	10-25 08:09
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	6	$707	725	0	+725	No	+$19	04-24 03:08
bitcoin up or down april 2 2026 12am et	24	$672	181	944	-763	Down	+$41	04-02 04:48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	18	$669	919	0	+919	No	+$98	05-25 18:50
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	21	$628	438	438	+0	open	—	10-27 08:00
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	17	$534	503	596	-93	No	+$21	03-31 15:50
ethereum up or down april 2 2026 1pm et	17	$532	139	683	-544	Down	-$104	04-02 17:43
bitcoin up or down april 1 2026 11am et	12	$457	0	908	-908	Up	+$158	04-01 15:45
bitcoin up or down april 1 2026 12pm et	20	$456	47	618	-570	Down	-$191	04-01 16:58
bitcoin up or down april 1 2026 1pm et	20	$424	0	1,459	-1,459	Down	+$116	04-01 17:34
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$422	433	0	+433	No	+$12	04-09 19:54
bitcoin up or down april 2 2026 2am et	13	$415	12	551	-538	Up	-$42	04-02 06:57
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	20	$380	488	488	+0	Yes	+$1	10-24 11:22
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	15	$365	324	273	+51	Yes	+$25	10-17 04:44
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	14	$312	355	290	+65	open	—	10-25 10:47
will nvda dip to 164 in march	13	$312	206	375	-169	No	-$74	03-31 01:55
bitcoin up or down april 1 2026 6am et	13	$312	19	529	-510	Down	+$17	04-01 10:45
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	8	$309	415	103	+312	No	+$38	04-23 18:05
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	7	$295	200	200	+0	No	+$1	09-23 14:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 22:38:59	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x4c7bf9…
10-27 20:33:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	10	72¢	$7	0x908d54…
10-27 19:19:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x7a0231…
10-27 19:18:56	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x021d07…
10-27 19:18:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0xb88e44…
10-27 19:03:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	95¢	$47	0xc4c25f…
10-27 08:00:26	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x9f7ec1…
10-27 06:55:48	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x300920…
10-27 06:41:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0xa83640…
10-27 06:41:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0x0f21cf…
10-27 06:27:39	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xd945cc…
10-27 05:09:56	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x125f91…
10-26 18:52:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	92¢	$46	0x5e0118…
10-26 18:45:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	42	92¢	$39	0xa1c2a3…
10-26 16:35:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	33	31¢	$10	0x3c3d5d…
10-26 10:32:56	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	95¢	$48	0x4a4020…
10-26 10:28:42	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	95¢	$48	0xc33470…
10-26 00:07:42	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$48	0xdda82f…
10-25 21:25:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	16¢	$8	0xbbe9f1…
10-25 21:19:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x89e4ec…
10-25 21:19:47	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xec5f8e…
10-25 21:19:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	33	33¢	$11	0xf247a5…
10-25 21:19:02	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x96900b…
10-25 21:18:26	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xf30363…
10-25 21:17:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x9b87ad…
10-25 21:16:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x739788…
10-25 21:16:20	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xa25b5a…
10-25 21:15:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x52b1a4…
10-25 21:01:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x5627b3…
10-25 21:00:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xffe949…
10-25 20:56:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x7dc717…
10-25 20:56:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x03bdbf…
10-25 20:54:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xe53dab…
10-25 20:53:05	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xc8cbdd…
10-25 20:52:14	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xe4266d…
10-25 20:51:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xc98204…
10-25 20:50:23	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x7112a6…
10-25 20:49:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xa3e1a4…
10-25 20:48:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0xaad8ec…
10-25 20:41:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xfd637d…
10-25 20:37:53	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x5b645b…
10-25 18:20:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	23	35¢	$8	0x982790…
10-25 14:18:15	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x5e777d…
10-25 11:07:32	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0xd5d134…
10-25 10:47:14	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0xaee91e…
10-25 09:10:35	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	50	89¢	$45	0xdd2072…
10-25 08:09:02	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0x523938…
10-25 01:12:02	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	46	10¢	$5	0x82d78c…
10-24 23:19:27	Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0xea880b…
10-24 22:55:47	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0xac8c73…
10-24 16:47:41	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x9bf304…
10-24 16:07:36	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0xe881e9…
10-24 15:46:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	47	60¢	$28	0x034851…
10-24 13:07:54	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0xed61e9…
10-24 11:22:54	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	50	26¢	$13	0x3015fe…
10-24 10:24:32	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xcef03a…
10-24 09:57:57	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x7334fb…
10-24 07:27:32	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0xfdb744…
10-24 04:48:03	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	46	11¢	$5	0xae65ce…
10-24 01:41:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0xada37b…
10-23 22:58:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	50	18¢	$9	0x0fdbf6…
10-23 22:49:41	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$49	0x0f7f11…
10-23 22:48:48	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$48	0x21239f…
10-23 18:42:57	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0xa00b8b…
10-23 18:35:05	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0x2b7368…
10-23 13:59:48	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	SELL	47	96¢	$45	0x2b9c5f…
10-23 13:11:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	Yes	SELL	46	4¢	$2	0xab2501…
10-23 12:07:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0x7b1562…
10-23 07:59:53	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	50	23¢	$12	0x56c38c…
10-23 05:27:14	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xa91647…
10-23 04:08:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0x714df5…
10-22 16:47:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	38¢	$19	0x7598e6…
10-22 15:24:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0x4a3acb…
10-22 09:15:14	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	11¢	$6	0x35137b…
10-22 08:20:41	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 in October?	Yes	SELL	51	1¢	$1	0x3bd263…
10-22 03:45:59	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	SELL	33	94¢	$31	0x4ec1c1…
10-22 02:11:18	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0xc48a19…
10-22 00:42:30	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0xdca677…
10-21 21:23:39	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0x8f955b…
10-21 21:15:21	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0xf7bc1b…
10-21 20:59:39	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0x2afc72…
10-21 19:22:27	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0xc398a3…
10-21 18:59:36	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	33	27¢	$9	0x93d665…
10-21 18:50:48	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0x0e79aa…
10-21 18:50:27	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	54¢	$27	0x0e9e3a…
10-21 16:53:26	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0xefd5d5…
10-21 16:03:38	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0x71f77c…
10-21 13:05:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x3058c2…
10-21 12:18:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0xb050f6…
10-21 10:32:50	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	38	74¢	$28	0xb770d9…
10-21 10:21:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	No	SELL	50	92¢	$46	0x19d3e3…
10-21 08:28:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0xcc16f7…
10-21 07:37:56	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	SELL	27	92¢	$25	0xfa001f…
10-21 07:07:00	Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	31	7¢	$2	0xc1d70c…
10-21 06:38:32	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	50	74¢	$37	0xed2767…
10-20 18:23:53	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	50	73¢	$36	0x4ca34b…
10-20 15:00:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	No	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0x4033e8…
10-20 11:57:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	7¢	$4	0x277001…
10-20 10:32:41	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0x8b7929…
10-20 05:58:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0x28d63a…