Kind-Cycle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.70K

Unrealized P&L

-$98

Hit rate

93.9%

Resolved

586

Trades

2,077

lifetime

Volume

$361.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$174

Open exposure

$630

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-26 00:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 161 days

Categories

Other

69% 96% -$752

Politics

24% 86% +$384

Sports

5% 91% -$1,043

Crypto

2% 89% -$1,152

Tech

0% 0% —

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$140

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?	No		+1,195	$724	52¢	$627	-$97	10-03 01:18
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes		-50	-$1	4¢	$-2	-$1	04-28 13:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	62	$24.4K	13,640	13,640	+0	Yes	+$88	04-13 12:54
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	35	$11.3K	6,904	6,333	+570	No	+$137	04-26 16:50
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	23	$10.6K	4,447	6,205	-1,758	No	+$9	04-22 00:12
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	2	$4.8K	3,000	3,000	+0	No	+$30	04-19 14:41
atp moutet sinner 2026 03 23	17	$4.8K	2,830	2,120	+710	Jannik Sinner	+$31	03-23 23:33
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev	13	$4.7K	2,600	2,600	+0	Jannik Sinner	+$10	05-15 22:47
will antnio jos seguro win the second round by 2530	13	$4.3K	2,153	2,153	+0	Yes	+$5	02-12 14:28
netanyahu out by march 31 854	11	$4.1K	3,250	950	+2,300	No	+$58	03-28 10:32
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	10	$4.0K	2,500	2,500	+0	open	—	05-07 04:14
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	4	$3.8K	3,800	0	+3,800	No	+$8	04-26 00:08
Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?	6	$3.7K	2,979	1,557	+1,422	Yes	-$85	05-27 20:23
will trump attend ufc 327	43	$3.7K	2,037	1,874	+163	Yes	+$19	04-12 01:01
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	6	$3.7K	2,780	2,780	+0	open	—	07-25 10:18
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?	12	$3.6K	1,954	1,780	+174	No	+$10	06-20 01:07
por por rio 2026 02 22 rio	7	$3.5K	1,559	1,999	-440	No	+$2	02-22 22:16
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?	19	$3.5K	1,800	1,800	+0	No	+$6	06-19 23:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	4	$3.4K	2,200	2,200	+0	No	+$22	04-21 19:39
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?	12	$3.3K	1,900	1,900	+0	Yes	+$68	06-15 00:24
por por ton 2026 04 19 ton	3	$3.3K	3,326	0	+3,326	No	+$23	04-19 21:05
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	21	$3.3K	2,173	2,173	+0	Yes	+$5	07-18 18:13
elon musk of tweets february 19 february 21 0 39	31	$3.1K	1,591	1,591	+0	No	+$9	02-19 17:37
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?	4	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	Yes	+$3	04-20 23:32
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 19 2026	5	$2.9K	1,500	1,500	+0	No	+$24	04-19 10:59
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	6	$2.8K	2,841	0	+2,841	No	+$10	04-23 20:16
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	11	$2.8K	2,832	0	+2,832	No	+$19	04-22 11:26
elon musk of tweets january 12 january 14 0 39	8	$2.8K	1,400	1,400	+0	No	+$1	01-13 01:21
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	6	$2.8K	2,800	0	+2,800	No	+$17	04-24 11:26
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	20	$2.7K	2,505	1,710	+795	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	-$589	05-28 13:14
fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 corners total 6pt5	9	$2.3K	1,594	1,000	+594	Over	+$36	07-05 21:25
elon musk of tweets february 23 february 25 0 39	17	$2.3K	1,149	1,149	+0	No	+$2	02-23 19:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 00:23:39	Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	SELL	60	12¢	$7	0x00c9d8…
10-25 21:52:38	Will Sporting CP win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x83174c…
10-25 21:51:05	Will Sporting CP win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	40	41¢	$16	0x92fa60…
10-25 21:48:26	Will Sporting CP win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	40	43¢	$17	0x089e9a…
10-03 01:18:00	Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	718	61¢	$438	0xd37df3…
09-29 00:31:36	trump renames ai by september 30	No	BUY	322	72¢	$232	0xe2e503…
09-29 00:31:08	trump renames ai by september 30	No	BUY	178	72¢	$128	0x3540b9…
09-27 20:46:38	unl nor prt 2026 09 27 ags joao felix 90067728	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x56a912…
09-26 19:59:48	atp alcaraz fritz 2026 09 26	Carlos Alcaraz	SELL	300	91¢	$273	0xfb38ed…
09-26 19:42:26	atp alcaraz fritz 2026 09 26	Carlos Alcaraz	BUY	148	74¢	$109	0x16ddb6…
09-26 19:42:23	atp alcaraz fritz 2026 09 26	Carlos Alcaraz	BUY	152	74¢	$113	0x28bde9…
09-24 19:01:54	Will Wales win on 2026-09-24?	No	BUY	500	95¢	$475	0xc627a8…
09-22 12:55:28	Sports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling?	Yes	SELL	380	11¢	$42	0x6189e1…
09-20 20:16:44	Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-09-20?	No	BUY	194	95¢	$184	0x29e9cc…
09-20 20:16:37	Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-09-20?	No	BUY	186	95¢	$177	0x268613…
09-20 20:16:29	Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-09-20?	No	BUY	120	95¢	$114	0x33a1c9…
09-15 10:48:42	Sports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling?	Yes	SELL	60	11¢	$7	0xa3aedb…
09-08 06:31:18	Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	50	69¢	$34	0xca6726…
09-08 04:30:45	Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	26	69¢	$18	0x5da7b1…
09-08 01:40:15	Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	29	69¢	$20	0x228be4…
09-08 01:40:13	Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	60	69¢	$41	0x92c0fa…
09-08 01:40:13	Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0x8c0e61…
09-08 01:24:55	Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	10	69¢	$7	0xf6d5a0…
09-08 01:24:55	Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	30	69¢	$21	0x6a529b…
09-08 01:24:55	Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	178	69¢	$123	0x60e465…
09-08 01:23:33	Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	31	69¢	$22	0xdb86d6…
09-08 01:23:30	Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	50	69¢	$34	0xc82807…
09-08 01:23:30	Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	30	69¢	$21	0x7afc8b…
09-05 15:36:46	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-05?	Yes	SELL	120	91¢	$109	0x47d7d6…
09-05 10:50:45	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-05?	Yes	BUY	120	83¢	$99	0x39b41f…
08-23 13:24:12	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-23?	Yes	BUY	25	67¢	$17	0x194670…
08-23 13:24:00	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-23?	Yes	BUY	31	67¢	$21	0xfde0ee…
08-23 13:23:15	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-23?	Yes	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0x14794e…
08-23 13:23:07	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-23?	Yes	BUY	29	67¢	$20	0x2b1a0b…
08-23 13:23:03	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-23?	Yes	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x2e0c57…
08-20 19:07:34	uel ben agf 2026 08 20 ags rafa silva	Yes	BUY	53	99¢	$52	0xe1fe82…
08-19 15:21:07	Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	374	64¢	$239	0xad899a…
08-10 19:56:31	Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	600	65¢	$390	0xdf6ab0…
08-09 15:08:52	Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	500	34¢	$170	0x34d56e…
08-08 16:02:36	Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	190	40¢	$76	0x92fa5f…
08-08 16:02:15	Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	150	40¢	$60	0x153b02…
08-08 16:02:07	Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	160	40¢	$64	0xfbbcf6…
08-06 22:17:23	Will Rodri join Real Madrid?	Yes	SELL	78	4¢	$3	0x7b8080…
08-06 22:17:09	Will Rodri join Real Madrid?	Yes	SELL	40	4¢	$2	0xb9d3e0…
08-06 22:16:57	Will Rodri join Real Madrid?	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0xca862c…
08-06 22:16:29	Will Rodri join Real Madrid?	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0x35dd21…
08-06 22:16:15	Will Rodri join Real Madrid?	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0xdc8332…
08-06 22:15:59	Will Rodri join Real Madrid?	Yes	SELL	30	3¢	$1	0xfe5af2…
08-06 22:11:09	Will Rodri join Real Madrid?	Yes	SELL	40	5¢	$2	0xb3880a…
08-06 22:08:59	Will Rodri join Real Madrid?	Yes	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0x0c5e0f…
08-06 22:08:24	Will Rodri join Real Madrid?	Yes	SELL	59	8¢	$5	0xe185f8…
08-06 22:08:06	Will Rodri join Real Madrid?	Yes	SELL	60	8¢	$5	0xc4b239…
07-31 08:36:51	Will Yan Diomande join Real Madrid?	Yes	BUY	88	92¢	$81	0xc382fc…
07-31 08:35:56	Will Yan Diomande stay at RB Leipzig?	No	BUY	177	100¢	$176	0x53532c…
07-31 08:35:50	Will Yan Diomande stay at RB Leipzig?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xda6c71…
07-31 08:35:45	Will Yan Diomande stay at RB Leipzig?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x689cc7…
07-30 19:58:02	uel ben stg 2026 07 30 first half total 1pt5	Under	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0xeb6063…
07-30 19:49:45	uel ben stg 2026 07 30 first half total 1pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x8c4c2f…
07-30 07:22:51	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	453	3¢	$13	0x9afd4b…
07-30 07:07:32	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	12	3¢	$0	0x6d6a70…
07-30 02:49:54	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xed89dd…
07-30 02:49:54	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x65a8ab…
07-30 02:46:45	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x507fbd…
07-30 02:46:23	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	18	3¢	$1	0x7a12b8…
07-30 02:46:20	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0x2be740…
07-30 02:46:18	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x55f4dd…
07-30 02:46:18	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x4c8a83…
07-28 03:39:19	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	6	70¢	$4	0x85d70e…
07-28 03:39:06	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0x1f077e…
07-28 03:33:36	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	484	70¢	$339	0xe794c5…
07-27 08:24:58	Will Andrea Pirlo be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?	Yes	SELL	97	3¢	$3	0x2d907b…
07-27 08:24:31	Will Andrea Pirlo be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?	Yes	SELL	494	3¢	$15	0x7ff607…
07-27 08:24:00	Will Andrea Pirlo be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?	Yes	SELL	510	3¢	$16	0xac3835…
07-26 20:08:04	Will Yan Diomande join Real Madrid?	Yes	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0x9e0d41…
07-26 20:07:31	Will Yan Diomande join Real Madrid?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x96b042…
07-26 19:55:45	Will Andrea Pirlo be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?	Yes	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0xb8ccb8…
07-26 19:54:33	Will Andrea Pirlo be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?	Yes	SELL	89	34¢	$30	0xd7875f…
07-26 19:53:00	Will Andrea Pirlo be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?	Yes	SELL	28	34¢	$10	0xa0d0a0…
07-26 11:08:40	Will Yan Diomande stay at RB Leipzig?	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x333064…
07-26 11:08:31	Will Yan Diomande stay at RB Leipzig?	No	BUY	132	95¢	$125	0xeba1b2…
07-26 11:08:22	Will Yan Diomande stay at RB Leipzig?	No	BUY	56	95¢	$53	0x4471fd…
07-26 11:08:15	Will Yan Diomande stay at RB Leipzig?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xf19b0d…
07-26 11:03:58	Will Rodri join Real Madrid?	Yes	BUY	212	71¢	$150	0x796661…
07-26 11:03:36	Will Rodri join Real Madrid?	Yes	BUY	60	68¢	$41	0xcb7f10…
07-26 11:01:16	Will Rodri join Real Madrid?	Yes	BUY	103	70¢	$72	0xa0aff7…
07-26 11:01:09	Will Rodri join Real Madrid?	Yes	BUY	53	70¢	$37	0x7a875d…
07-25 19:29:24	Will Yan Diomande join Real Madrid?	Yes	SELL	202	80¢	$162	0x738a6c…
07-25 19:18:31	Will Yan Diomande join Real Madrid?	Yes	SELL	115	80¢	$92	0x781ded…
07-25 19:08:28	Will Yan Diomande join Real Madrid?	Yes	SELL	70	76¢	$53	0xccda4a…
07-25 19:08:10	Will Yan Diomande join Real Madrid?	Yes	SELL	10	76¢	$7	0xe1c816…
07-25 15:53:42	Will Yan Diomande join Real Madrid?	Yes	SELL	200	83¢	$166	0x9a5a27…
07-25 12:18:01	Will Yan Diomande join Real Madrid?	Yes	BUY	500	75¢	$375	0x24de38…
07-25 10:23:15	Will Andrea Pirlo be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?	Yes	BUY	213	98¢	$210	0xf1568f…
07-25 10:18:36	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	780	65¢	$508	0x39b831…
07-25 10:15:28	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	780	66¢	$515	0x3a9273…
07-25 09:40:46	Will Yan Diomande join Real Madrid?	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x8fed7b…
07-25 09:40:18	Will Yan Diomande join Real Madrid?	Yes	BUY	11	80¢	$9	0x45724d…
07-25 09:39:30	Will Yan Diomande join Real Madrid?	Yes	BUY	40	80¢	$32	0xc801ff…
07-25 09:39:12	Will Yan Diomande join Real Madrid?	Yes	BUY	40	79¢	$32	0x489d44…
07-24 19:27:30	Will Andrea Pirlo be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?	Yes	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0xda00f1…