Shameful-Chauvinist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$795

Unrealized P&L

-$39

Hit rate

39.9%

Resolved

216

Trades

866

lifetime

Volume

$25.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

$34

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 10-28 08:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 89 days

Categories

Other

53% 22% -$731

Politics

30% 14% -$40

Tech

9% 38% -$4

Sports

7% 12% +$11

Crypto

2% 50% -$30

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?	Yes		+310	$65	11¢	$32	-$32	07-31 17:06
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?	Yes		+80	$8	2¢	$1	-$7	04-30 14:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	8	$2.4K	1,240	1,240	+0	No	-$1	04-20 09:54
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	13	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$2	04-06 06:05
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	5	$1.4K	730	730	+0	Yes	-$2	04-10 07:38
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	7	$1.4K	710	710	+0	Yes	+$0	04-20 07:39
Trump out as President by April 30?	3	$1.0K	510	510	+0	No	+$0	04-20 05:21
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	4	$1.0K	2,100	2,100	+0	No	-$2	06-03 13:57
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	4	$978	500	500	+0	No	+$0	04-29 18:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	75	$783	400	400	+0	No	$0	05-09 08:50
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$780	2,061	2,061	+0	No	+$20	07-14 20:52
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	11	$774	400	400	+0	No	+$0	04-06 06:05
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	12	$561	1,006	1,006	+0	open	—	10-28 08:01
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	9	$430	218	218	+0	No	+$0	05-30 08:16
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	6	$416	400	400	+0	open	—	10-28 07:32
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?	1	$403	672	0	+672	Yes	+$269	06-28 07:25
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	2	$396	273	273	+0	No	$0	04-10 02:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	2	$386	200	200	+0	No	$0	05-09 10:18
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$362	257	257	+0	Yes	-$18	07-15 21:15
england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	6	$346	300	300	+0	Yes	-$1	07-05 11:33
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?	1	$344	670	0	+670	No	-$344	06-25 15:25
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	1	$321	595	0	+595	Yes	+$274	07-04 08:22
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?	1	$305	500	0	+500	Yes	+$195	06-21 05:28
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?	1	$281	610	0	+610	No	-$281	07-01 05:48
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	7	$246	900	900	+0	No	-$6	05-20 00:10
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?	1	$235	500	0	+500	Yes	+$265	06-18 20:17
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	3	$230	200	200	+0	No	-$2	04-02 13:28
gpt 5pt6 released by july 7 2026	8	$220	174	174	+0	No	-$1	07-05 11:41
donald trump of truth social posts march 10 march 17 80 99	7	$204	110	160	-50	No	-$14	03-16 22:43
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	2	$193	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	05-19 19:16
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	3	$187	100	100	+0	open	—	05-19 14:01
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	7	$179	90	90	+0	No	+$0	03-30 06:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 08:02:07	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0x497225…
10-28 08:01:37	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	200	25¢	$50	0xf41808…
10-28 07:56:50	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	No	SELL	19	23¢	$4	0x5d223d…
10-28 07:54:50	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0x91e611…
10-28 07:54:29	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	No	SELL	31	27¢	$8	0x2bc7c9…
10-28 07:53:52	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	80	3¢	$2	0x723704…
10-28 07:53:20	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0xecc3f1…
10-28 07:53:20	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0xccbda6…
10-28 07:52:02	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	200	26¢	$52	0x39c616…
10-28 07:49:35	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	200	26¢	$52	0xbbdf2c…
10-28 07:46:58	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	No	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0x86423c…
10-28 07:46:13	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	No	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0xb55e7a…
10-28 07:43:56	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	No	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x312a07…
10-28 07:43:55	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xe2add6…
10-28 07:43:08	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	200	24¢	$49	0x33c45f…
10-28 07:42:20	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	200	24¢	$49	0xeb6738…
10-28 07:32:32	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	74	49¢	$36	0x3b38e7…
10-28 07:32:13	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	37	49¢	$18	0xbbb54b…
10-28 07:31:46	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	116	26¢	$30	0x54997e…
10-28 07:31:05	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	89	49¢	$44	0xb04d1b…
10-28 07:30:37	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	89	26¢	$23	0x5d3c85…
10-28 07:11:11	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0x72b289…
10-28 07:07:41	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xd09bec…
10-28 06:57:19	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	200	42¢	$84	0x9e5e09…
10-28 06:53:35	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	200	33¢	$67	0x4f86a2…
10-28 06:52:47	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	200	58¢	$116	0xb97a31…
10-28 06:52:44	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	No	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x0cc8a7…
10-28 06:52:44	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x0bfc1c…
10-28 06:52:17	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	200	59¢	$118	0x2481b2…
10-28 06:51:23	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	No	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xc68157…
10-28 06:44:41	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	201	34¢	$68	0x530599…
10-28 06:44:07	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	201	35¢	$70	0x4bc65c…
10-27 11:27:20	Will Holtec Nuclear's market cap be between $10B and $11B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xa03bbe…
10-27 11:24:15	Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?	No	SELL	90	5¢	$4	0x661c62…
10-27 10:58:02	Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?	No	BUY	90	6¢	$6	0x019f73…
10-27 10:39:15	Gemini Carbon released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x34113b…
10-27 10:26:48	Will Holtec Nuclear's market cap be between $10B and $11B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x85a659…
10-27 10:26:24	Gemini Carbon released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x6a3f98…
10-26 11:25:08	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0x2f8307…
10-26 11:22:47	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x756b70…
10-26 10:48:36	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	SELL	150	30¢	$45	0x6d51fa…
10-26 10:47:08	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	BUY	150	30¢	$45	0x416edd…
10-26 10:46:32	Will "Gladiator II" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xacfc81…
10-26 10:33:29	Will "Gladiator II" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x94a242…
10-26 10:32:33	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	86	32¢	$27	0xb43deb…
10-26 10:32:33	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	62	32¢	$20	0x6815d8…
10-26 10:31:24	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	SELL	24	13¢	$3	0x601130…
10-26 10:27:15	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	SELL	50	14¢	$7	0x766e13…
10-26 10:27:11	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	SELL	50	14¢	$7	0x361d92…
10-26 10:27:02	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	SELL	19	14¢	$3	0x4e1da8…
10-26 10:26:03	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0xd6f58d…
10-26 10:26:00	Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	SELL	81	56¢	$45	0x96b19c…
10-26 10:25:41	Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	34	56¢	$19	0x2fd461…
10-26 10:25:33	Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	47	56¢	$26	0xbd2165…
10-26 10:21:27	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	BUY	150	14¢	$21	0x79c06a…
10-26 10:21:03	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	2	32¢	$1	0x3a65ba…
10-26 10:19:06	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	150	32¢	$48	0xe3d9dc…
10-24 07:45:39	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 25% or higher?	No	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0xdb2e4c…
10-24 07:43:11	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 25% or higher?	No	BUY	18	32¢	$6	0x9f0772…
10-24 07:43:09	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 25% or higher?	No	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0xddda3c…
10-23 12:22:18	GitHub.com critical incident by November 15, 2026?	No	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0x4ba6c2…
10-23 12:04:35	Rain during the United States Grand Prix?	No	SELL	40	66¢	$26	0xadb986…
10-23 11:09:27	Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?	No	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x65a7bb…
10-23 11:09:08	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0xab00f3…
10-23 11:08:08	Rain during the United States Grand Prix?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xa5cd24…
10-23 11:07:30	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xad0800…
10-23 11:07:02	Rain during the United States Grand Prix?	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xbe9324…
10-23 11:02:29	Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?	No	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x8b435a…
10-23 10:46:48	France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30?	Yes	SELL	50	15¢	$7	0x8ab92e…
10-23 10:46:09	France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30?	Yes	BUY	25	16¢	$4	0x627cee…
10-23 10:46:09	France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30?	Yes	BUY	25	16¢	$4	0x378ace…
10-23 10:46:06	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% before 2027?	No	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0x1d7188…
10-23 10:41:20	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% before 2027?	No	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0xbed151…
10-23 10:19:02	GitHub.com critical incident by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x75b608…
10-23 07:57:35	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least $21M?	No	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0xe899a5…
10-23 07:40:47	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least $21M?	No	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x6fbdbf…
10-21 10:54:48	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 20?	No	SELL	21	3¢	$1	0x72b502…
10-21 10:54:30	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 21?	No	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x9586ee…
10-21 10:54:06	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 21?	No	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xdf5b14…
10-21 10:51:14	Will "Ali G: Who Iz I?" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $2M?	No	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0xdc185f…
10-21 10:27:15	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 21?	No	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0xdafdaa…
10-21 10:25:23	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 21?	No	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0xcff0a2…
10-21 10:23:14	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 21?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xd00798…
10-21 10:21:53	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 21?	No	SELL	21	7¢	$1	0x431074…
10-21 10:19:03	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 21?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xb34e99…
10-21 10:18:26	Will "Ali G: Who Iz I?" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $2M?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xb77a1c…
10-21 10:05:12	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 21?	No	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x51e67c…
10-21 10:04:21	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 21?	No	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x283c51…
10-21 10:03:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 20?	No	BUY	16	10¢	$2	0x6b4609…
10-21 10:02:15	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 20?	No	SELL	15	9¢	$1	0x5e44b2…
10-21 10:01:17	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 20?	No	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x14ca36…
10-21 10:00:23	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 21?	No	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xa84d9e…
10-20 13:16:56	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on October 20?	No	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x4c6afe…
10-20 13:12:39	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on October 20?	No	SELL	25	3¢	$1	0x1b0374…
10-20 13:11:24	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on October 20?	No	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x7a3a67…
10-20 13:04:00	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on October 20?	No	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0x37105b…
10-20 13:02:48	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on October 20?	No	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x1f8458…
10-20 13:00:39	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on October 20?	No	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0x78e9cc…
10-20 12:59:30	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on October 20?	No	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xcd7f77…
10-20 12:51:17	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 20?	No	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0x248bbf…