Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$226

Unrealized P&L

-$157

Hit rate

63.7%

Resolved

Trades

366

lifetime

Volume

$3.44K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-11

last 11-07 00:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Other

70% 45% +$120

Politics

20% 20% -$173

Tech

5% 0% -$157

Crypto

2% 0% -$22

Pop-Culture

2% 100% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	+295	$127	2¢	$6	-$122	11-07 00:36
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1480 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	+50	$15	0¢	$0	-$15	10-29 15:47
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+0	$20	13¢	$0	-$20	10-19 07:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	4	$200	150	150	+0	open	—	11-06 16:23
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	3	$190	140	140	+0	No	+$54	10-18 22:04
Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 70m?	2	$185	100	100	+0	No	+$11	09-12 13:27
Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 50m?	15	$154	815	0	+815	No	-$154	09-17 02:13
Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	9	$147	200	200	+0	No	+$41	10-25 01:20
Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?	8	$143	130	130	+0	No	+$13	10-24 08:15
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?	12	$127	295	0	+295	open	—	11-07 00:36
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?	3	$116	70	70	+0	No	+$22	08-29 18:56
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	4	$115	110	110	+0	No	+$87	07-29 15:47
Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m?	6	$114	200	200	+0	No	+$99	09-20 07:33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	5	$103	84	84	+0	No	+$8	04-21 07:26
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?	9	$99	400	0	+400	Yes	-$99	09-13 11:40
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	3	$96	250	0	+250	No	-$96	09-13 20:05
Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?	5	$92	210	105	+105	No	+$106	08-23 03:33
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?	8	$91	210	0	+210	No	-$91	09-11 21:18
highest temperature in miami on april 23 2026 78 79f	14	$79	50	50	+0	Yes	+$20	04-23 19:05
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	4	$72	50	50	+0	Yes	+$3	09-16 14:28
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	6	$69	120	120	+0	No	+$5	09-08 18:28
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	6	$62	241	241	+0	open	—	10-19 07:50
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	2	$57	150	150	+0	No	-$33	04-29 21:17
Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 7m?	4	$52	623	156	+467	No	-$28	10-31 15:48
highest temperature in atlanta on april 21 2026 78 79f	16	$52	106	0	+106	Yes	+$54	04-21 12:23
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 320 339	2	$51	30	30	+0	No	+$3	04-15 06:13
Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 15?	2	$50	200	0	+200	No	-$50	09-11 12:09
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	7	$48	140	0	+140	No	+$92	08-05 15:53
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	5	$46	40	40	+0	Yes	+$4	09-02 16:29
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	3	$42	200	200	+0	open	—	09-19 05:17
Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?	4	$38	90	90	+0	open	—	10-22 01:11
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?	4	$35	50	50	+0	Yes	+$1	09-17 16:26
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?	3	$34	20	20	+0	open	—	09-08 12:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 00:36:55	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	37¢	$0	0x04250b…
11-07 00:36:54	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	9	39¢	$4	0xd7e375…
11-07 00:36:52	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	37¢	$11	0xa5270a…
11-07 00:36:52	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	21	39¢	$8	0x8908e1…
11-07 00:36:52	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	19	37¢	$7	0x377455…
11-07 00:36:52	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x16f04f…
11-06 16:23:37	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	108	80¢	$86	0x0be65a…
11-06 16:02:01	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	42	80¢	$33	0x58f482…
11-02 21:03:28	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	45	40¢	$18	0x9ec03c…
11-01 22:39:22	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 3m and 5m?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xf5680a…
11-01 22:39:07	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 3m and 5m?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x66b20a…
11-01 22:39:07	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 3m and 5m?	Yes	BUY	70	0¢	$0	0x3e7a6e…
11-01 21:56:34	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 3m and 5m?	Yes	BUY	24	0¢	$0	0xf07faa…
11-01 21:56:34	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 3m and 5m?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x95e649…
11-01 21:56:34	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 3m and 5m?	Yes	BUY	42	0¢	$0	0x7aa2c3…
11-01 21:07:18	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 3m and 5m?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x1f583d…
11-01 21:07:18	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 3m and 5m?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x0e16c1…
11-01 20:35:07	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 3m and 5m?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0xfdf16f…
11-01 20:35:07	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 3m and 5m?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xad4ae4…
11-01 20:11:16	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 3m and 5m?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x5c1d94…
11-01 19:32:43	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 3m and 5m?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xaa7192…
11-01 19:32:43	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 3m and 5m?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x938b4c…
11-01 13:21:21	Will "You Can See Everything" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between $8M and $10M?	Yes	SELL	350	1¢	$4	0x98c4a8…
11-01 12:04:01	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0x59d73b…
11-01 04:21:13	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 3m and 5m?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x9b9c75…
11-01 01:12:07	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 3m and 5m?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0xb52238…
11-01 01:12:07	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 3m and 5m?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x9c4661…
11-01 01:12:07	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 3m and 5m?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x7725ed…
11-01 01:12:07	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 3m and 5m?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x4818cc…
11-01 01:12:07	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 3m and 5m?	Yes	BUY	73	0¢	$0	0x30941c…
10-31 17:37:49	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	BUY	46	1¢	$1	0xf8820b…
10-31 16:03:37	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x9157b1…
10-31 16:03:13	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xa88329…
10-31 15:48:58	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 7m?	Yes	SELL	156	8¢	$12	0x3274f2…
10-31 15:40:10	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xaf2c1c…
10-31 15:40:09	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xb3f3a4…
10-31 15:40:09	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xa867ca…
10-31 15:31:39	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0xd4a008…
10-31 15:31:39	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	BUY	55	1¢	$1	0x23cb0c…
10-31 14:17:01	Will "You Can See Everything" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between $8M and $10M?	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0xa5a999…
10-31 07:56:43	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	Yes	BUY	28	5¢	$1	0x468147…
10-31 05:07:39	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xc13334…
10-31 05:07:37	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	Yes	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0x74d1dc…
10-31 04:50:49	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xef1ea8…
10-31 04:49:28	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 7m?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x4cd5fc…
10-31 04:21:01	Will "You Can See Everything" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between $8M and $10M?	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0xfad3a6…
10-31 04:10:21	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 7m?	Yes	BUY	123	10¢	$12	0x541168…
10-29 19:21:48	Over $3B crypto hack value in 2026?	No	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0x003c44…
10-29 15:47:14	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1480 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0xf34ed1…
10-29 15:42:58	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xf5c057…
10-29 15:32:58	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	39	49¢	$19	0xd09a48…
10-29 15:22:08	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	39	49¢	$19	0xf7f745…
10-29 15:15:58	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0x4188c8…
10-28 17:53:08	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0x9ed503…
10-28 17:34:49	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0x238212…
10-25 05:46:09	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x8da8b5…
10-25 05:46:08	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	Yes	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0xaf9ecc…
10-25 01:20:56	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	Yes	SELL	50	80¢	$40	0xfc4502…
10-24 14:34:59	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	Yes	SELL	30	48¢	$14	0xf14442…
10-24 12:34:45	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	Yes	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0xa79395…
10-24 10:31:20	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	Yes	SELL	147	4¢	$6	0xa93caf…
10-24 08:15:12	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?	No	SELL	44	60¢	$26	0xdb4385…
10-24 08:15:12	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?	No	SELL	57	60¢	$34	0x95d431…
10-24 05:06:08	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?	No	SELL	6	60¢	$4	0x00b00b…
10-24 05:05:57	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?	No	SELL	23	60¢	$14	0x571676…
10-24 04:24:29	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	Yes	BUY	300	4¢	$13	0xe8fe37…
10-24 03:58:18	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xe9cba7…
10-23 21:38:36	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	Yes	SELL	100	30¢	$30	0x628356…
10-23 20:19:12	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xff8781…
10-23 18:52:51	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	Yes	BUY	70	25¢	$17	0xd42178…
10-23 18:52:51	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x5a6bef…
10-23 18:38:44	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?	No	BUY	60	39¢	$23	0x1053af…
10-23 16:20:57	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?	No	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xfdceb1…
10-23 15:58:39	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?	No	BUY	30	60¢	$18	0x577a8f…
10-22 01:11:32	Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?	Yes	SELL	90	9¢	$8	0x26171a…
10-19 07:50:08	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	9¢	$0	0x9763f3…
10-18 22:04:14	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	140	87¢	$122	0x76b6cd…
10-18 21:19:09	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	192	9¢	$17	0x0209d9…
10-18 19:39:21	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	49	9¢	$4	0xe53d43…
09-22 22:25:10	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	40	47¢	$19	0x63e55e…
09-22 16:41:01	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x6d3dbc…
09-20 23:54:02	Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 27, 2026?	No	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0xae7fed…
09-20 21:04:19	Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?	No	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x57dfa1…
09-20 08:25:18	Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?	No	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x34ea34…
09-20 07:33:07	Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m?	Yes	SELL	103	53¢	$55	0xef2b36…
09-20 07:25:38	Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m?	Yes	SELL	7	53¢	$4	0xafd0d0…
09-20 07:25:38	Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m?	Yes	SELL	72	53¢	$38	0x2cc705…
09-20 07:20:25	Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m?	Yes	SELL	18	56¢	$10	0xc49443…
09-20 06:18:22	Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 27, 2026?	No	BUY	76	23¢	$18	0xe1016b…
09-19 05:17:31	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	8¢	$17	0x0660f3…
09-19 01:52:46	Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m?	Yes	BUY	195	4¢	$7	0x405c61…
09-18 14:23:05	Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xf31090…
09-17 17:18:19	Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?	Yes	BUY	600	3¢	$20	0x9f4fbf…
09-17 16:26:33	Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0x985ad1…
09-17 16:26:10	Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?	No	SELL	50	36¢	$18	0x1de8ac…
09-17 02:13:22	Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 50m?	Yes	BUY	158	7¢	$11	0x725000…
09-16 16:04:45	Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 50m?	Yes	BUY	42	7¢	$3	0xae79bb…
09-16 14:33:55	Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 50m?	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0xe8b2d3…
09-16 14:33:54	Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 50m?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x7f71b3…
09-16 14:33:54	Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 50m?	Yes	BUY	3	8¢	$0	0x608229…