Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$896

Unrealized P&L

-$308

Hit rate

83.9%

Resolved

174

Trades

204

lifetime

Volume

$19.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$94

Open exposure

$896

4 positions

First seen

2026-07-04

last 10-31 13:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Other

58% 73% +$896

Crypto

31% 79% -$43

Sports

4% 100% +$129

Politics

4% 80% -$201

Tech

3% 100% +$115

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	+393	$350	94¢	$368	+$18	08-01 22:03
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?	No	+486	$300	55¢	$270	-$30	09-09 19:26
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?	No	+535	$454	46¢	$247	-$207	08-17 19:37
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	+371	$100	3¢	$12	-$88	09-15 10:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Thorsten Frei be the next leader of the German Union (CDU/CSU)?	2	$1.4K	958	958	+0	Yes	+$412	07-24 19:27
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	2	$1.0K	588	588	+0	No	+$29	07-21 15:58
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-24 16:00 UTC	2	$1.0K	542	542	+0	Up	+$7	07-24 19:33
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	2	$615	405	405	+0	Yes	+$115	07-31 12:43
fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	1	$603	807	0	+807	Spain	+$204	07-10 16:45
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?	2	$516	301	301	+0	open	—	10-26 09:35
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	1	$500	926	0	+926	Argentina	-$500	07-15 08:15
ko quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 28 2026 0pt93	1	$500	532	0	+532	Yes	+$32	07-25 12:07
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	1	$494	762	0	+762	England	+$269	07-11 08:55
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	2	$486	303	303	+0	open	—	10-31 13:34
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	1	$483	612	0	+612	France	+$128	07-08 15:17
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	1	$483	543	0	+543	No	+$60	07-15 21:19
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$460	617	0	+617	Yes	+$157	07-29 16:51
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?	1	$454	535	0	+535	open	—	08-17 19:37
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	1	$400	672	0	+672	Spain	+$272	07-19 07:02
atp sinner zverev 2026 07 12	1	$400	488	0	+488	Jannik Sinner	+$88	07-12 12:09
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	1	$350	393	0	+393	open	—	08-01 22:03
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	1	$345	486	0	+486	Argentina	+$141	07-07 16:18
Will AfD win 38-41 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	1	$320	433	0	+433	Yes	+$113	09-06 11:44
Will France win on 2026-07-04?	1	$315	375	0	+375	Yes	+$60	07-04 15:07
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?	1	$300	486	0	+486	open	—	09-09 19:26
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	1	$300	448	0	+448	England	-$300	07-18 13:02
will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232 846	1	$300	488	0	+488	Yes	-$300	08-01 20:12
ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	1	$300	429	0	+429	Max Holloway	+$129	07-11 06:52
v quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 28 2026 3pt22	1	$300	329	0	+329	Yes	+$30	07-25 22:48
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	1	$277	463	0	+463	Spain	-$277	07-14 10:48
will trump say venezuela during cabinet meeting 20260727172357451	1	$250	294	0	+294	Yes	+$44	07-30 19:12
Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?	1	$250	305	0	+305	Yes	+$55	08-02 07:19
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	1	$250	324	0	+324	No	+$74	08-14 07:32
Will CDU be in the next Berlin state government?	1	$250	327	0	+327	open	—	09-19 09:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 13:34:12	Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	No	SELL	303	94¢	$286	0x6ef9da…
10-26 09:35:50	U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?	No	SELL	301	88¢	$266	0xa41148…
09-19 09:12:01	Will CDU be in the next Berlin state government?	No	BUY	327	76¢	$250	0xdf383c…
09-15 10:13:21	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	BUY	371	27¢	$100	0xa931bf…
09-15 09:22:16	U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?	No	BUY	301	83¢	$250	0xf854e9…
09-09 19:26:12	Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?	No	BUY	486	62¢	$300	0xbe0c8d…
09-06 11:44:12	Will AfD win 38-41 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	433	74¢	$320	0x5c97f3…
08-17 19:37:57	Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?	No	BUY	535	85¢	$454	0xa1346c…
08-14 07:32:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	324	77¢	$250	0x292c72…
08-09 17:10:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 17:10 UTC	Down	BUY	73	62¢	$45	0x7b11e8…
08-09 17:09:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 17:05 UTC	Down	SELL	83	96¢	$80	0xec71aa…
08-09 17:06:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 17:05 UTC	Down	BUY	83	54¢	$45	0x848037…
08-09 16:36:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 16:35 UTC	Up	BUY	58	77¢	$45	0x142fd6…
08-08 07:04:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	46	97¢	$45	0x11b7df…
08-07 21:57:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 21:55 UTC	Down	BUY	64	70¢	$45	0xe93098…
08-07 21:53:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 21:50 UTC	Down	BUY	48	94¢	$45	0x8e1370…
08-07 21:51:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 21:50 UTC	Down	BUY	62	72¢	$45	0x871dc9…
08-07 21:31:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	53	85¢	$45	0xe5612b…
08-07 17:22:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 17:20 UTC	Down	BUY	48	94¢	$45	0xf4248f…
08-07 17:01:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	62	73¢	$45	0xafa470…
08-07 16:38:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 16:35 UTC	Down	BUY	58	77¢	$45	0x17358f…
08-07 16:33:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	59	76¢	$45	0x75fcc1…
08-06 22:01:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	49	92¢	$45	0x31caf3…
08-06 21:59:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 21:55 UTC	Down	BUY	48	94¢	$45	0x60ba9d…
08-06 21:58:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 21:55 UTC	Down	BUY	52	86¢	$45	0xd8dc0b…
08-06 21:56:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 21:55 UTC	Down	BUY	68	66¢	$45	0x5f100b…
08-06 18:19:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0x505c1f…
08-06 18:12:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 18:10 UTC	Up	BUY	55	82¢	$45	0x138fc0…
08-06 16:02:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	63	71¢	$45	0x91ff18…
08-06 13:58:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 13:55 UTC	Up	BUY	47	95¢	$45	0x08e099…
08-03 15:46:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	69	65¢	$45	0x369605…
08-03 13:43:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 13:40 UTC	Down	BUY	79	57¢	$45	0x02547e…
08-03 13:33:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	46	97¢	$45	0x4fb722…
08-03 13:26:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 13:25 UTC	Down	BUY	51	89¢	$45	0xa8b243…
08-03 13:21:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 13:20 UTC	Down	BUY	67	67¢	$45	0x5e4694…
08-03 13:16:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	62	73¢	$45	0x6acc8c…
08-03 13:02:08	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	303	66¢	$200	0x576a80…
08-03 12:58:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 12:55 UTC	Down	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0x68e641…
08-03 12:27:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 12:25 UTC	Down	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0xaa5d12…
08-03 06:48:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0x05ea3f…
08-03 06:31:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0xc8c05d…
08-02 21:25:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 21:25 UTC	Down	BUY	68	73¢	$50	0x147106…
08-02 21:22:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 21:20 UTC	Up	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0xcf52c3…
08-02 21:19:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0x3491b2…
08-02 21:05:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 21:05 UTC	Down	BUY	62	80¢	$50	0x9d2798…
08-02 20:32:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0xcb04b6…
08-02 19:56:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0x7b6149…
08-02 19:54:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 19:50 UTC	Down	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0xb14615…
08-02 19:45:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0xf5ecc4…
08-02 19:44:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 19:40 UTC	Up	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xf92d6e…
08-02 11:14:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 11:10 UTC	Up	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0x4f5578…
08-02 07:19:06	Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?	Yes	BUY	305	82¢	$250	0x4f1df4…
08-01 22:03:54	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	BUY	393	89¢	$350	0x165790…
08-01 20:12:38	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232 846	No	BUY	488	62¢	$300	0x17706f…
08-01 15:21:26	will marco rubio say oil or gas or gasoline during fox news my view appearance 20260731183534169	Yes	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0xfd545d…
07-31 12:45:15	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	306	10¢	$30	0xcbb482…
07-31 12:43:23	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	405	90¢	$365	0x12a184…
07-31 10:47:27	lly quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 05 2026 6pt79	Yes	BUY	247	81¢	$200	0x7d004d…
07-31 09:59:41	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0x291765…
07-30 19:12:09	will trump say venezuela during cabinet meeting 20260727172357451	Yes	BUY	294	85¢	$250	0x7069a0…
07-30 06:31:26	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0xa8293a…
07-30 06:30:45	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0x1da145…
07-29 16:51:50	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	617	74¢	$460	0x4cf8bc…
07-25 22:48:46	v quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 28 2026 3pt22	Yes	BUY	329	91¢	$300	0xe02f0c…
07-25 22:41:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 22:40 UTC	Down	BUY	62	80¢	$50	0x22cb58…
07-25 22:37:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 22:35 UTC	Up	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0x642d5c…
07-25 20:46:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	85	59¢	$50	0x008aaf…
07-25 20:40:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 20:40 UTC	Up	BUY	68	73¢	$50	0x480481…
07-25 20:01:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0x84e661…
07-25 19:58:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0xb35427…
07-25 19:39:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 19:35 UTC	Down	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0xa37127…
07-25 12:07:40	ko quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 28 2026 0pt93	Yes	BUY	532	94¢	$500	0xda1ed3…
07-24 20:56:48	will trump say drone during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255813	Yes	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0x7db394…
07-24 20:53:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0xec5872…
07-24 20:47:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	60	84¢	$50	0xc16dde…
07-24 20:39:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 20:35 UTC	Down	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xb6fa81…
07-24 20:17:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 20:15 UTC	Up	SELL	70	65¢	$46	0x1296fc…
07-24 20:16:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0x16399b…
07-24 20:13:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 20:10 UTC	Up	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0x2fe487…
07-24 20:05:52	will trump dance during whca dinner on july 24 20260724171552591	No	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0x330c4d…
07-24 20:03:51	Will "A Toxic Love Story" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0xd7524d…
07-24 19:47:31	will trump say iran 3 times during announcement on american nuclear innovation 20260724142730928	Yes	SELL	71	99¢	$71	0x36a453…
07-24 19:35:42	will trump say iran 3 times during announcement on american nuclear innovation 20260724142730928	Yes	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0xcfca5e…
07-24 19:33:49	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-24 16:00 UTC	Up	SELL	542	94¢	$507	0x47a2da…
07-24 19:29:43	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-24 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	542	92¢	$500	0x94ed7d…
07-24 19:27:21	Will Thorsten Frei be the next leader of the German Union (CDU/CSU)?	Yes	SELL	958	97¢	$929	0x6a4e72…
07-24 19:14:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 19:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x54def0…
07-24 17:47:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 17:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xd0ac5a…
07-24 17:44:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xca3985…
07-24 16:23:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 16:20 UTC	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x0dec62…
07-24 16:02:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x588145…
07-24 15:51:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 15:50 UTC	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xf44838…
07-24 15:49:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xf8d8c2…
07-24 14:31:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xf4ec10…
07-24 14:26:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 14:25 UTC	Down	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xe8a970…
07-24 14:16:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xecbc3d…
07-24 14:02:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xf4ba99…
07-24 13:48:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x53d9de…
07-24 13:42:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 13:40 UTC	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x43c53c…
07-24 13:32:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x0190c2…