Ethical-Pine — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$34

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$9.11K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$217

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 07-16 09:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

64% 0% $-34

Politics

36% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	2	$857	455	455	+0	open	—	07-16 09:31
israel withdraws from lebanon by september 30 2026	2	$855	450	450	+0	open	—	07-16 07:37
Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	3	$843	437	437	+0	open	—	04-23 07:25
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	5	$834	426	426	+0	open	—	04-24 10:05
will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952739	2	$818	435	435	+0	open	—	07-08 06:56
iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by july 31 20260624040209014	2	$817	425	425	+0	open	—	07-08 05:18
us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	2	$789	410	410	+0	open	—	06-29 07:33
putin and zelenskyy shake hands by august 31	2	$787	410	410	+0	open	—	06-27 06:44
will ukraine re enter kamianske by june 30	2	$773	420	420	+0	open	—	06-27 07:46
will russia enter khatnie by july 31 2026	2	$743	420	420	+0	open	—	06-29 08:45
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?	3	$608	325	325	+0	open	—	06-18 06:43
nor aal ffk 2026 04 07 spread home 2pt5	2	$204	219	0	+219	open	—	04-07 08:17
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	4	$84	992	992	+0	open	—	05-08 06:25
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	5	$61	998	998	+0	open	—	05-09 04:44
Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-2.5)	2	$20	987	0	+987	Sevilla FC	$-20	05-09 06:56
Spread: Sønderjyske Fodbold (-2.5)	2	$15	968	0	+968	Viborg FF	$-15	05-08 06:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-16 09:31:41	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	455	94¢	$429	0x4eb6b2…
07-16 07:46:58	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	455	94¢	$429	0x1ca8c5…
07-16 07:37:32	israel withdraws from lebanon by september 30 2026	No	SELL	450	95¢	$428	0x86a78d…
07-16 06:16:58	israel withdraws from lebanon by september 30 2026	No	BUY	450	95¢	$428	0xaae835…
07-08 06:56:13	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952739	No	SELL	435	94¢	$409	0x410425…
07-08 06:03:43	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952739	No	BUY	435	94¢	$409	0xaa2c2e…
07-08 05:18:56	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by july 31 20260624040209014	No	SELL	425	97¢	$411	0xfc4f7b…
07-08 03:14:11	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by july 31 20260624040209014	No	BUY	425	96¢	$406	0x966a86…
06-29 08:45:10	will russia enter khatnie by july 31 2026	No	SELL	420	88¢	$370	0x09d886…
06-29 07:36:20	will russia enter khatnie by july 31 2026	No	BUY	420	89¢	$374	0xef26cd…
06-29 07:33:23	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	SELL	410	96¢	$394	0x9e722c…
06-29 05:59:14	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	410	96¢	$394	0xe7bcbc…
06-27 07:46:29	will ukraine re enter kamianske by june 30	No	SELL	420	92¢	$386	0x381c42…
06-27 06:50:01	will ukraine re enter kamianske by june 30	No	BUY	420	92¢	$386	0x17d688…
06-27 06:44:55	putin and zelenskyy shake hands by august 31	No	SELL	410	96¢	$394	0xc8ff06…
06-27 03:11:11	putin and zelenskyy shake hands by august 31	No	BUY	410	96¢	$394	0x0d4e9e…
06-18 06:43:11	Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?	No	SELL	80	93¢	$74	0xc05aa5…
06-18 06:42:59	Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?	No	SELL	245	93¢	$228	0xa0bed3…
06-18 06:04:34	Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?	No	BUY	325	94¢	$306	0xa2d569…
05-09 06:56:51	Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-2.5)	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona	BUY	498	2¢	$10	0xad83f7…
05-09 06:56:05	Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-2.5)	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona	BUY	489	2¢	$10	0x453318…
05-09 04:44:48	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	415	3¢	$13	0x0fe260…
05-09 04:43:33	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	483	3¢	$14	0x6983dc…
05-09 04:43:23	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0x964e5a…
05-09 03:24:41	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	515	3¢	$16	0x36362d…
05-09 03:24:22	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	483	3¢	$15	0xce3184…
05-08 06:54:06	Spread: Sønderjyske Fodbold (-2.5)	Sønderjyske Fodbold	BUY	499	2¢	$7	0xd5668d…
05-08 06:53:33	Spread: Sønderjyske Fodbold (-2.5)	Sønderjyske Fodbold	BUY	469	2¢	$7	0x597388…
05-08 06:25:47	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	491	4¢	$20	0xfeda26…
05-08 06:25:17	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	501	4¢	$20	0x0806fc…
05-08 05:12:39	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	491	4¢	$22	0x1ee627…
05-08 05:12:22	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	501	5¢	$23	0x82ac75…
04-24 10:05:56	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x534f92…
04-24 10:02:50	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	326	98¢	$319	0x20513c…
04-24 10:02:38	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x521577…
04-24 07:43:56	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	326	98¢	$319	0x57437c…
04-24 07:43:00	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xf6f3ae…
04-23 07:25:42	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	437	96¢	$422	0x0cb552…
04-23 06:09:30	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	337	96¢	$325	0xb81805…
04-23 06:08:38	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xee64e8…
04-07 08:17:37	nor aal ffk 2026 04 07 spread home 2pt5	Fredrikstad FK	BUY	119	93¢	$111	0xa73caf…
04-07 08:17:15	nor aal ffk 2026 04 07 spread home 2pt5	Fredrikstad FK	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x268614…