Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$479

Unrealized P&L

+$140

Hit rate

79.3%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

213

701 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$7.82K

$16.6K lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

$1.48K

9 positions

First seen

2026-05-30

last 11-05 22:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Politics

53% 47% +$393

Other

38% 50% +$4

Sports

8% 48% -$168

Tech

1% 0% -$238

Crypto

0% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 85 trades/day

Open positions (9) Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	+598	$529	98¢	$585	+$56	11-04 17:01
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	+348	$323	93¢	$323	$0	11-05 20:37
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+227	$169	97¢	$220	+$51	11-05 22:42
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	+188	$150	97¢	$182	+$32	11-04 07:44
Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by December 31, 2026?	No	+104	$92	85¢	$89	-$3	11-05 22:43
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?	No	+52	$34	72¢	$38	+$4	11-05 07:48
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	+30	$21	84¢	$25	+$3	11-05 22:42
Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026?	Yes	+53	$11	18¢	$10	-$1	11-05 23:54
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	+10	$5	42¢	$4	-$1	11-05 21:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	15	$1.3K	830	603	+227	open	—	11-05 22:42
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	14	$1.2K	633	633	+0	open	—	11-05 19:33
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder?	16	$939	678	678	+0	open	—	09-18 22:44
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	11	$809	1,050	44	+1,006	Yes	+$259	11-03 13:17
will openais astra model be released by september 5 2026	6	$613	495	495	+0	Yes	-$93	09-04 18:45
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	4	$580	319	319	+0	No	+$57	09-16 19:29
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	23	$576	621	407	+214	Yes	+$57	11-04 01:21
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	10	$531	599	1	+598	open	—	11-04 17:01
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	10	$494	342	330	+11	Yes	-$10	11-04 00:17
Vikings vs. Lions	23	$493	621	391	+231	Lions	+$80	11-01 21:01
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	3	$450	336	270	+66	Yes	+$16	11-03 21:38
LoL: Fuego vs Zeu5 Esports (BO5) - LRN Playoffs	19	$446	311	311	+0	Zeu5 Esports	+$170	08-25 03:17
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	3	$362	201	201	+0	open	—	11-05 16:05
atp walton buse 2026 08 25	14	$355	227	227	+0	Ignacio Buse	+$99	08-25 20:13
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	5	$354	352	352	+0	Yes	-$15	09-22 18:26
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	2	$323	348	0	+348	open	—	11-05 20:37
will openais astra model be released by september 4 2026	9	$291	351	351	+0	Yes	-$214	09-04 19:01
trump renames ai by september 30	3	$259	164	164	+0	Yes	+$59	09-29 19:01
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	2	$250	300	0	+300	Yes	+$50	11-03 16:16
Nebraska vs. Oregon	26	$243	355	337	+18	Oregon	-$20	10-18 06:44
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	12	$239	190	190	+0	No	-$57	09-22 18:24
Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?	5	$238	305	0	+305	Yes	-$238	09-30 16:25
Utah vs. Colorado	5	$229	141	141	+0	Utah	+$49	10-18 05:47
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	15	$221	1,263	1,263	+0	open	—	09-22 19:13
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$201	203	0	+203	Yes	+$2	09-16 18:00
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	8	$186	255	255	+0	open	—	08-21 01:49
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?	4	$166	241	128	+113	Yes	+$6	09-22 18:24
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	3	$150	188	0	+188	open	—	11-04 07:44
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	2	$150	232	0	+232	Yes	+$82	11-03 22:56
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	4	$144	211	211	+0	open	—	11-03 09:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 23:54:54	Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	20¢	$11	0xcf9f00…
11-05 22:43:01	Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	104	88¢	$92	0x0ce3c8…
11-05 22:42:43	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	227	96¢	$219	0x5f68b0…
11-05 22:42:00	Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	BUY	2	84¢	$1	0x2cf517…
11-05 21:04:00	Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x6c3660…
11-05 20:37:03	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	BUY	70	93¢	$66	0x97efbc…
11-05 20:28:12	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	BUY	277	93¢	$258	0xf0d8fb…
11-05 19:34:44	Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0xcb236a…
11-05 19:33:29	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	360	97¢	$350	0xc1abce…
11-05 16:37:31	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	214	97¢	$208	0xd2dd13…
11-05 16:10:42	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	272	97¢	$263	0xae8363…
11-05 16:05:37	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	SELL	151	95¢	$143	0x66d578…
11-05 15:49:28	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	SELL	50	95¢	$48	0x5857f6…
11-05 07:48:13	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x8d3816…
11-05 06:48:40	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x3c247b…
11-05 06:47:58	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x705299…
11-05 05:06:13	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?	No	BUY	43	65¢	$28	0x5c8047…
11-05 03:44:51	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$19	0x26f014…
11-05 03:44:46	Will the Democrats sweep the House and Senate and the US-Iran ceasefire not hold through 2027?	Yes	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0xeaadb1…
11-05 03:44:28	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?	No	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xc9947a…
11-05 01:33:28	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	69	94¢	$65	0x1fe8f0…
11-05 01:33:10	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	360	94¢	$338	0x1a80cc…
11-04 17:14:13	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0x2d1f51…
11-04 17:01:00	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x5049cf…
11-04 17:00:58	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	92¢	$83	0xe0c352…
11-04 17:00:58	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	76	92¢	$69	0xb3c1f2…
11-04 17:00:58	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x8350ab…
11-04 17:00:58	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	92¢	$55	0x111d63…
11-04 17:00:45	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xbdedd4…
11-04 17:00:33	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	92¢	$30	0x9d7679…
11-04 16:50:09	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x57dd88…
11-04 16:34:21	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	108	92¢	$100	0xe62e42…
11-04 16:32:30	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	58	92¢	$54	0x8b8602…
11-04 16:29:24	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x1fc1bf…
11-04 16:27:19	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	107	93¢	$100	0x8a3440…
11-04 16:26:07	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x9fde83…
11-04 08:33:03	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	201	85¢	$171	0x1d3a6f…
11-04 08:10:10	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	SELL	12	69¢	$8	0xfc123d…
11-04 08:02:00	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x4ab653…
11-04 08:01:52	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x4aaa72…
11-04 08:01:25	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x946293…
11-04 07:47:30	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	72	83¢	$60	0x377336…
11-04 07:44:12	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	62	80¢	$50	0x917673…
11-04 07:43:49	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	162	79¢	$128	0xf2eaa8…
11-04 07:35:18	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	73¢	$31	0xf41ef0…
11-04 07:33:42	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0xae736b…
11-04 07:33:36	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	73¢	$36	0x7cd179…
11-04 07:32:33	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	63	80¢	$50	0x69f6f6…
11-04 06:33:48	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	24¢	$0	0xb58e40…
11-04 06:33:43	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	SELL	6	45¢	$3	0xc4b033…
11-04 05:52:42	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0x32a41a…
11-04 05:14:00	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	SELL	9	30¢	$3	0x80dc76…
11-04 05:13:58	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	SELL	11	30¢	$3	0xaf1045…
11-04 05:09:16	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	SELL	27	30¢	$8	0x02316b…
11-04 04:51:49	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	BUY	58	35¢	$20	0xb17484…
11-04 04:21:24	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$9	0x3dd861…
11-04 04:21:22	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$9	0xcb863b…
11-04 04:20:24	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	SELL	7	6¢	$0	0x54f85d…
11-04 04:04:24	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x4b2e9a…
11-04 03:35:04	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xbec3fd…
11-04 03:17:21	Will the Democratic Party win the TN-05 House seat?	Yes	SELL	16	20¢	$3	0x5988ec…
11-04 03:03:10	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x02ed12…
11-04 02:31:30	Will the Democratic Party win the TN-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x2057bd…
11-04 01:57:58	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	136	3¢	$4	0xebbd45…
11-04 01:54:24	Will the Democrats win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	1¢	$0	0x578b5e…
11-04 01:47:07	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	136	4¢	$6	0xa12a02…
11-04 01:41:31	Will the Democrats sweep the House and Senate and the US-Iran ceasefire not hold through 2027?	No	SELL	4	2¢	$0	0x0cde52…
11-04 01:21:00	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	116	87¢	$100	0x17f89d…
11-04 01:18:55	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	5¢	$0	0x178e81…
11-04 01:02:19	Will the Democrats sweep the House and Senate and the US-Iran ceasefire not hold through 2027?	Yes	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x62b291…
11-04 00:49:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x000c6b…
11-04 00:38:37	Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	364	4¢	$15	0xc2e67e…
11-04 00:22:22	Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	11¢	$3	0x921050…
11-04 00:22:22	Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x3ebedd…
11-04 00:22:21	Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	11¢	$1	0x9f1304…
11-04 00:17:58	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x79f34e…
11-04 00:09:37	Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	250	11¢	$28	0xc695cf…
11-04 00:08:27	Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	20¢	$50	0x17d001…
11-04 00:08:21	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	211	80¢	$168	0x783178…
11-04 00:03:22	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	105	86¢	$91	0xe8c326…
11-04 00:03:21	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	106	86¢	$91	0xf2d35b…
11-04 00:03:01	Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0xa685d4…
11-03 23:33:10	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	89	65¢	$57	0x028037…
11-03 22:56:48	Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0x77adcc…
11-03 22:51:07	Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x64b6e3…
11-03 21:38:55	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0x94ff27…
11-03 21:19:27	Will the Democrats win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0xfa7168…
11-03 21:06:51	Will the Democrats sweep the House and Senate and the US-Iran ceasefire not hold through 2027?	No	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x2c30bf…
11-03 20:58:49	Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x5db92e…
11-03 20:46:01	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	74	61¢	$45	0xa7e720…
11-03 20:42:39	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x194e69…
11-03 19:51:06	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	138	51¢	$70	0x52ea8e…
11-03 19:48:25	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x7edd5e…
11-03 19:43:40	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	102	51¢	$52	0xf961bc…
11-03 19:39:22	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x1bb134…
11-03 19:38:58	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	51¢	$1	0x4e0ec8…
11-03 19:35:49	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0xeb4837…
11-03 19:35:42	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0xda91a5…
11-03 19:34:57	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0xeab07b…
11-03 19:27:40	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0xfdf192…