Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$152

Unrealized P&L

+$61

Hit rate

65.5%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

676

756 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$17.1K

$17.9K lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

$446

8 positions

First seen

2026-05-30

last 11-14 00:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 42 days

Categories

Politics

52% 49% +$411

Other

39% 46% -$113

Sports

7% 48% -$168

Tech

2% 0% -$238

Crypto

0% 0% -$14

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 85 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+238	$200	99¢	$234	+$34	11-06 21:27
Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by December 31, 2026?	No	+104	$92	93¢	$97	+$5	11-05 22:43
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?	No	+66	$45	95¢	$63	+$18	11-06 16:36
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	+30	$21	94¢	$28	+$6	11-05 22:42
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?	No	+37	$20	50¢	$18	-$2	11-14 00:19
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+19	$5	26¢	$5	$0	11-13 21:03
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	+7	$1	14¢	$1	$0	11-11 16:43
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	Yes	+8	$1	6¢	$1	$0	11-11 16:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	16	$1.5K	830	830	+0	open	—	11-10 15:52
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	14	$1.2K	633	633	+0	Yes	+$33	11-05 19:33
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder?	16	$939	678	678	+0	open	—	09-18 22:44
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	11	$809	1,050	44	+1,006	Yes	+$259	11-03 13:17
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	14	$647	686	686	+0	No	-$82	11-12 03:31
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	5	$647	348	348	+0	Yes	+$0	11-06 16:29
will openais astra model be released by september 5 2026	6	$613	495	495	+0	Yes	-$93	09-04 18:45
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	4	$580	319	319	+0	No	+$57	09-16 19:29
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	23	$576	621	407	+214	Yes	+$57	11-04 01:21
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	10	$531	599	1	+598	No	+$68	11-04 17:01
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	10	$494	342	330	+11	Yes	-$10	11-04 00:17
Vikings vs. Lions	23	$493	621	391	+231	Lions	+$80	11-01 21:01
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	3	$450	336	270	+66	Yes	+$16	11-03 21:38
LoL: Fuego vs Zeu5 Esports (BO5) - LRN Playoffs	19	$446	311	311	+0	Zeu5 Esports	+$170	08-25 03:17
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	3	$362	201	201	+0	open	—	11-05 16:05
atp walton buse 2026 08 25	14	$355	227	227	+0	Ignacio Buse	+$99	08-25 20:13
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	5	$354	352	352	+0	Yes	-$15	09-22 18:26
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	4	$335	188	188	+0	open	—	11-10 15:52
will openais astra model be released by september 4 2026	9	$291	351	351	+0	Yes	-$214	09-04 19:01
trump renames ai by september 30	3	$259	164	164	+0	Yes	+$59	09-29 19:01
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	2	$250	300	0	+300	Yes	+$50	11-03 16:16
Nebraska vs. Oregon	26	$243	355	337	+18	Oregon	-$20	10-18 06:44
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	12	$239	190	190	+0	No	-$57	09-22 18:24
Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?	5	$238	305	0	+305	Yes	-$238	09-30 16:25
Utah vs. Colorado	5	$229	141	141	+0	Utah	+$49	10-18 05:47
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	15	$221	1,263	1,263	+0	open	—	09-22 19:13
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?	19	$204	256	256	+0	Yes	-$20	11-12 02:20
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$201	203	0	+203	Yes	+$2	09-16 18:00
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	4	$200	238	0	+238	open	—	11-06 21:27
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	10	$188	228	118	+109	No	-$32	11-07 01:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 00:19:24	Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?	No	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xbfb036…
11-14 00:19:24	Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?	No	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x1917b6…
11-14 00:19:22	Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?	No	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xa3be54…
11-14 00:19:22	Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?	No	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x70c27d…
11-13 21:03:39	Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x08c3fe…
11-13 07:07:18	Fourth Jensen Huang affair reported by November 13?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x45c041…
11-13 06:30:46	Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	32¢	$15	0x7f31b2…
11-12 19:03:15	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?	Yes	SELL	9	24¢	$2	0x7555db…
11-12 19:03:13	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	Yes	SELL	7	8¢	$1	0xa20377…
11-12 19:02:57	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	9¢	$7	0xb33939…
11-12 19:02:54	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	143	30¢	$42	0xd6e9db…
11-12 03:44:27	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xcd4e1e…
11-12 03:31:54	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	No	SELL	65	80¢	$52	0x2b254b…
11-12 03:26:48	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0xd74a78…
11-12 03:18:39	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	182	23¢	$42	0x055f65…
11-12 02:33:13	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	No	SELL	439	43¢	$189	0x3e270e…
11-12 02:27:19	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	55¢	$30	0x0b9805…
11-12 02:27:10	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x5141d5…
11-12 02:27:07	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x52625b…
11-12 02:27:00	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	121	55¢	$67	0x81005f…
11-12 02:24:06	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0xad4cb1…
11-12 02:23:57	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	25	50¢	$12	0x078053…
11-12 02:23:55	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	175	50¢	$88	0xdfbb47…
11-12 02:23:31	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x5f20ba…
11-12 02:20:39	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xc98178…
11-12 00:02:13	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x38e85c…
11-12 00:02:09	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xd0c09a…
11-11 23:32:52	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	122	20¢	$24	0xc3fed4…
11-11 22:47:49	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xae2147…
11-11 22:39:43	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x1c1b7d…
11-11 22:39:39	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	29¢	$0	0xc97c30…
11-11 22:39:37	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	29¢	$0	0xcaa970…
11-11 22:39:37	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	29¢	$0	0x175643…
11-11 22:29:21	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xb74d5f…
11-11 22:29:04	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	114	57¢	$65	0x583088…
11-11 22:07:57	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	71	71¢	$50	0x94993f…
11-11 22:07:36	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x6dec97…
11-11 22:07:36	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x3d5b71…
11-11 22:07:36	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x1f6bc6…
11-11 19:41:54	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	18¢	$5	0x08f020…
11-11 19:36:15	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	143	35¢	$50	0xe48ca3…
11-11 19:32:15	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	19¢	$6	0x925fd3…
11-11 19:32:12	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x3f583c…
11-11 18:00:49	Will Iran target Oman by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x3afc35…
11-11 16:43:43	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xa26832…
11-11 16:43:30	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xb1a536…
11-11 16:43:19	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x3b371f…
11-11 05:07:58	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 3:59 AM ET?	No	SELL	15	3¢	$0	0xc5fb6a…
11-10 23:14:13	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 3:59 AM ET?	No	BUY	15	43¢	$6	0xba8af5…
11-10 15:52:46	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	227	99¢	$224	0x4be215…
11-10 15:52:37	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	188	99¢	$185	0xd8d6af…
11-09 22:05:21	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?	Yes	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x0d41d7…
11-09 21:47:07	Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	53	12¢	$6	0x029015…
11-08 01:33:09	Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0x340f04…
11-07 19:04:48	Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0xb2cdf3…
11-07 01:17:30	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	No	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0xe47f95…
11-07 01:17:27	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	No	BUY	36	91¢	$32	0x4aec65…
11-07 00:59:48	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	112	18¢	$20	0xf62d39…
11-06 23:02:42	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	70¢	$18	0x411687…
11-06 23:01:25	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	71¢	$18	0x9edc0a…
11-06 22:23:00	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	41¢	$16	0x623b3d…
11-06 22:17:36	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x859880…
11-06 22:16:49	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	No	SELL	6	47¢	$3	0xe7659e…
11-06 21:27:54	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	84¢	$50	0x28e7f1…
11-06 20:39:51	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x4d2e40…
11-06 19:18:39	Bitcoin above 74,000 on November 6, 3PM ET?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xffbc04…
11-06 19:18:39	Bitcoin above 74,000 on November 6, 3PM ET?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xbf1e42…
11-06 19:18:34	Bitcoin above 74,000 on November 6, 3PM ET?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6e65ca…
11-06 19:18:34	Bitcoin above 74,000 on November 6, 3PM ET?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x610940…
11-06 19:18:34	Bitcoin above 74,000 on November 6, 3PM ET?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x43732c…
11-06 19:18:34	Bitcoin above 74,000 on November 6, 3PM ET?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x387520…
11-06 19:18:30	Bitcoin above 74,000 on November 6, 3PM ET?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd5ec47…
11-06 19:18:30	Bitcoin above 74,000 on November 6, 3PM ET?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6b0ab9…
11-06 19:18:27	Bitcoin above 74,000 on November 6, 3PM ET?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x07749a…
11-06 16:36:45	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?	No	BUY	14	78¢	$11	0x2ec10a…
11-06 16:29:00	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	SELL	116	93¢	$108	0xcd24d9…
11-06 16:28:57	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0xe384e4…
11-06 16:28:49	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	SELL	221	93¢	$205	0x0f6d6e…
11-05 23:54:54	Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	20¢	$11	0xcf9f00…
11-05 22:43:01	Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	104	88¢	$92	0x0ce3c8…
11-05 22:42:43	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	227	96¢	$219	0x5f68b0…
11-05 22:42:00	Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	BUY	2	84¢	$1	0x2cf517…
11-05 21:04:00	Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x6c3660…
11-05 20:37:03	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	BUY	70	93¢	$66	0x97efbc…
11-05 20:28:12	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	BUY	277	93¢	$258	0xf0d8fb…
11-05 19:34:44	Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0xcb236a…
11-05 19:33:29	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	360	97¢	$350	0xc1abce…
11-05 16:37:31	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	214	97¢	$208	0xd2dd13…
11-05 16:10:42	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	272	97¢	$263	0xae8363…
11-05 16:05:37	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	SELL	151	95¢	$143	0x66d578…
11-05 15:49:28	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	SELL	50	95¢	$48	0x5857f6…
11-05 07:48:13	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x8d3816…
11-05 06:48:40	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x3c247b…
11-05 06:47:58	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x705299…
11-05 05:06:13	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?	No	BUY	43	65¢	$28	0x5c8047…
11-05 03:44:51	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$19	0x26f014…
11-05 03:44:46	Will the Democrats sweep the House and Senate and the US-Iran ceasefire not hold through 2027?	Yes	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0xeaadb1…
11-05 03:44:28	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?	No	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xc9947a…
11-05 01:33:28	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	69	94¢	$65	0x1fe8f0…
11-05 01:33:10	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	360	94¢	$338	0x1a80cc…