Musty-People — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$142

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

5.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$15.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$252

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 11-03 01:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Other

54% 40% +$157

Politics

32% 25% +$8

Sports

13% 0% -$23

Crypto

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	3	$2.0K	1,030	1,030	+0	open	—	06-26 06:14
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	3	$2.0K	1,015	1,015	+0	open	—	06-26 06:15
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	4	$2.0K	992	992	+0	open	—	06-23 02:18
Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	4	$2.0K	987	987	+0	No	-$1	06-23 02:20
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	3	$1.9K	977	977	+0	No	-$1	06-17 11:42
Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	3	$1.8K	926	926	+0	No	-$1	06-17 11:42
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	2	$1.0K	0	2,044	-2,044	No	-$1	06-26 06:15
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$924	0	1,850	-1,850	open	—	06-23 02:21
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	2	$899	0	1,800	-1,800	No	-$1	06-17 11:42
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	$0	06-12 01:53
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?	1	$80	126	0	+126	Yes	+$47	06-22 03:46
fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 spread home 1pt5	1	$71	136	0	+136	Canada	+$65	06-17 08:18
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?	1	$46	64	0	+64	No	+$18	07-06 08:20
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?	2	$44	23	23	+0	No	$0	05-23 08:47
will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 115	2	$35	0	70	-70	No	$0	01-22 08:20
fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 spread away 1pt5	1	$32	72	0	+72	Qatar	+$41	06-12 01:52
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-16?	1	$24	35	0	+35	Yes	-$24	09-16 06:12
Kings vs. Mavericks	1	$22	31	0	+31	Kings	-$22	11-03 01:52
will trump say toyota during michigan remarks 20260724162420362	1	$20	28	0	+28	Yes	+$9	07-27 08:59
solana above 120 on february 28	1	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	02-27 01:48
xrp above 0pt7 on june 23 2026	2	$16	16	0	+16	Yes	+$0	06-23 02:21
will bitcoin reach 78k june 22 28 2026	2	$16	16	0	+16	No	+$0	06-26 06:13
Will the price of Solana be between $30 and $40 on July 8?	1	$16	16	0	+16	No	+$0	07-06 08:21
Liechtenstein vs. Lithuania: O/U 1.5	1	$16	53	0	+53	Over	-$16	09-23 02:03
will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	03-30 08:44
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24?	1	$15	62	0	+62	No	+$47	05-23 08:49
Will the price of Solana be less than $20 on June 19?	2	$14	14	0	+14	No	+$0	06-17 11:41
will xrp dip to 0pt8 in march 2026	1	$14	14	0	+14	No	+$0	03-30 08:44
ethereum above 2700 on january 16	2	$14	14	0	+14	Yes	+$0	01-14 01:52
ethereum above 1400 on june 24 2026	2	$13	13	0	+13	Yes	+$0	06-23 02:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 01:52:18	Kings vs. Mavericks	Mavericks	BUY	31	70¢	$22	0xd90a59…
09-23 02:03:20	Liechtenstein vs. Lithuania: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	53	30¢	$16	0x132f55…
09-16 06:12:52	Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-16?	No	BUY	35	69¢	$24	0xb13f72…
09-04 06:03:40	LoL: Team Vitality vs G2 Esports (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	Team Vitality	BUY	22	29¢	$6	0xf4b84c…
08-18 12:18:24	ucl din vf 2026 08 18 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	64	20¢	$13	0x93c339…
07-27 08:59:48	will trump say toyota during michigan remarks 20260724162420362	Yes	BUY	28	70¢	$20	0x2eceaf…
07-14 08:13:41	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	30	32¢	$9	0x125e52…
07-06 08:21:35	Will the price of Solana be between $30 and $40 on July 8?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x5179db…
07-06 08:20:52	Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?	No	BUY	64	72¢	$46	0x38bc02…
06-26 06:15:37	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	SELL	1,022	100¢	$1,020	0xeb4d95…
06-26 06:15:10	Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	63	100¢	$63	0x6fa0cf…
06-26 06:15:02	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,022	0¢	$1	0xde78fa…
06-26 06:14:46	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	45	99¢	$45	0x425563…
06-26 06:13:44	Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	952	100¢	$948	0xc7cd3b…
06-26 06:13:26	will bitcoin reach 78k june 22 28 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfdaa6d…
06-26 06:13:19	Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1,015	100¢	$1,012	0xfcefa0…
06-26 06:12:55	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	985	99¢	$979	0x6fc5f9…
06-26 06:12:40	will bitcoin reach 78k june 22 28 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x6b89d3…
06-26 06:12:26	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	1,030	100¢	$1,025	0xe8f891…
06-23 02:21:23	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	925	99¢	$919	0x574518…
06-23 02:21:14	xrp above 0pt7 on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x83919b…
06-23 02:21:02	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	925	1¢	$6	0x0e3eb8…
06-23 02:20:50	Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0xacea86…
06-23 02:19:58	Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	942	100¢	$939	0x4752e4…
06-23 02:19:44	xrp above 0pt7 on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xfdac38…
06-23 02:19:01	Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	346	100¢	$345	0xb17028…
06-23 02:18:44	Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	248	100¢	$247	0x910cc4…
06-23 02:18:32	Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	641	100¢	$640	0xf08ba2…
06-23 02:18:02	Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	744	100¢	$742	0xf3d533…
06-23 02:17:28	ethereum above 1400 on june 24 2026	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x39dde4…
06-23 02:17:19	Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	235	100¢	$235	0x9dcb41…
06-23 02:17:01	ethereum above 1400 on june 24 2026	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x2ca4ff…
06-23 02:16:46	Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	757	100¢	$755	0xfdcd70…
06-22 03:46:02	Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?	Yes	BUY	126	63¢	$80	0x000421…
06-17 11:42:32	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	SELL	900	100¢	$898	0x7306a8…
06-17 11:42:25	Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xb0e636…
06-17 11:42:16	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	900	0¢	$1	0xefeceb…
06-17 11:42:05	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x50d662…
06-17 11:41:16	Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	900	100¢	$898	0xdd7fbc…
06-17 11:41:01	Will the price of Solana be less than $20 on June 19?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7e66dc…
06-17 11:40:52	Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	926	100¢	$925	0xce2d0a…
06-17 11:40:31	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	941	100¢	$938	0x6c8175…
06-17 11:40:20	Will the price of Solana be less than $20 on June 19?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x180458…
06-17 11:39:10	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	977	100¢	$975	0xb93cf3…
06-17 08:18:19	fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 spread home 1pt5	Canada	BUY	136	52¢	$71	0x982e10…
06-12 01:53:13	Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x814276…
06-12 01:52:54	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 spread away 1pt5	Qatar	BUY	72	44¢	$32	0xd14bcf…
06-12 01:49:40	Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa637f1…
05-23 08:49:29	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24?	No	BUY	62	24¢	$15	0x09aa7e…
05-23 08:47:07	Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	23	97¢	$22	0xa707ca…
05-23 08:46:13	Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?	No	BUY	23	97¢	$22	0x35aed7…
05-19 03:22:14	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?	Yes	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0xe7f82d…
04-24 12:20:30	Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in April?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x60cf64…
04-24 12:20:10	Will Ethereum dip to $800 in April?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x00b362…
03-30 08:44:50	will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xe4ac75…
03-30 08:44:42	will xrp dip to 0pt8 in march 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x3e0190…
02-27 01:48:54	solana above 120 on february 28	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x337e4b…
01-22 08:20:20	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 115	Yes	SELL	35	0¢	$0	0x907349…
01-22 08:20:12	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 115	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x16a8ea…
01-14 01:52:34	ethereum above 2700 on january 16	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf523a2…
01-14 01:52:18	ethereum above 2700 on january 16	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xfd2cef…