Realized P&L (90d)
-$163
Unrealized P&L
-$8
Hit rate
8.8%
Resolved (90d)
136
Trades (90d)
342
898 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$2.21K
$7.21K lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$80
8 positions
First seen
2026-06-14
last 09-22 20:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 83 days
Categories
Other
72% 11% -$377
Politics
23% 19% -$87
Tech
3% 29% -$19
Sports
2% 0% -$18
Crypto
0% 0% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
19 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? Yes +20 $18 90¢ $18 +$0 09-03 23:03
Will FC Cajamarca be relegated from the 2026 Peru Liga 1? Yes +20 $6 85¢ $17 +$11 09-14 20:53
Will South African inflation be between 4.4% and 4.7% in 2026? No +20 $15 82¢ $16 +$1 09-14 20:45
Will the Christian Democrats (KD) be in the next Swedish government? Yes +20 $7 55¢ $11 +$4 09-14 03:12
Will the Christian Democrats (KD) be in the next Swedish government? No +20 $14 44¢ $9 -$5 09-14 03:31
Will South African inflation be between 4.4% and 4.7% in 2026? Yes +20 $9 18¢ $4 -$6 09-14 03:37
Will FC Cajamarca be relegated from the 2026 Peru Liga 1? No +20 $15 15¢ $3 -$12 09-14 21:45
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? No +20 $4 10¢ $2 -$2 09-03 23:01