Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$503

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

10.9%

Resolved

217

Trades

899

lifetime

Volume

$7.21K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$75

8 positions

First seen

2026-06-14

last 09-22 20:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 84 days

Categories

Other

72% 11% -$379

Politics

23% 19% -$87

Tech

3% 29% -$19

Sports

2% 0% -$18

Crypto

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?	Yes	+20	$18	90¢	$18	+$0	09-03 23:03
Will South African inflation be between 4.4% and 4.7% in 2026?	No	+20	$15	80¢	$16	+$1	09-14 20:45
Will the Christian Democrats (KD) be in the next Swedish government?	Yes	+20	$7	68¢	$14	+$7	09-14 03:12
Will Deportivo Moquegua be relegated from the 2026 Peru Liga 1?	No	+15	$11	66¢	$10	-$1	09-15 05:51
Will the Christian Democrats (KD) be in the next Swedish government?	No	+20	$14	32¢	$6	-$8	09-14 03:31
Will Deportivo Moquegua be relegated from the 2026 Peru Liga 1?	Yes	+15	$3	34¢	$5	+$2	09-14 03:17
Will South African inflation be between 4.4% and 4.7% in 2026?	Yes	+20	$9	20¢	$4	-$5	09-14 03:37
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?	No	+20	$4	10¢	$2	-$2	09-03 23:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	33	$311	488	168	+320	No	-$1	07-18 18:57
will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 17 2026 20260708165455692	4	$138	140	60	+81	No	+$1	07-14 03:37
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	7	$132	137	137	+0	No	-$4	07-13 13:14
will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 31 2026 20260708165455693	4	$126	100	100	+0	Yes	-$6	07-14 02:22
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July?	10	$120	169	169	+0	No	-$14	07-14 14:04
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 19?	9	$114	152	52	+100	Yes	-$6	06-18 17:16
iran military action against a gulf state on july 10 20260708212322935	14	$114	126	115	+10	No	-$1	07-09 14:10
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 900m by August 31?	13	$107	162	43	+119	Yes	-$8	08-11 20:23
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.8% in June?	9	$100	121	120	+1	No	-$5	07-14 12:00
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?	4	$97	100	100	+0	No	+$0	06-18 13:25
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	4	$93	150	50	+100	Yes	-$1	07-13 16:44
israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	12	$92	134	54	+80	No	$0	07-12 23:11
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	14	$89	88	88	+0	No	-$1	06-17 20:16
Will M80 Win North America ACE Stage 3	5	$86	100	100	+0	Yes	-$12	07-12 20:20
Who will win the gold medal in Men's BMX Street at X Games New Orleans 2026?	15	$86	210	125	+85	Yes	-$49	07-24 23:26
us charges hormuz fees by july 17 2026 20260713155039898	2	$86	50	50	+0	No	-$4	07-14 06:26
us charges hormuz fees by july 31 2026 20260713151243233	2	$85	50	50	+0	No	$0	07-14 01:50
Will There be 4-6 Knife Kills at Blast Bounty 2026 Season 2?	11	$80	103	63	+40	No	-$8	07-13 08:02
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 8?	7	$77	72	72	+0	Yes	-$1	07-08 08:10
Will John Healey be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?	8	$72	65	65	+0	No	-$15	07-18 08:59
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	7	$68	93	53	+40	No	-$5	07-14 13:50
israel military action against yemen by july 31 20260714001321877	4	$63	101	7	+93	No	-$8	07-19 13:06
Will Mary Peltola win the most votes in the Alaska Senate primary final round?	6	$63	60	60	+0	Yes	-$3	07-13 09:27
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 26 million views on day 3?	5	$60	60	60	+0	No	-$26	07-27 17:56
Will Andrea Pirlo be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?	6	$58	64	49	+15	No	-$9	07-19 03:07
iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	8	$58	70	60	+10	No	-$7	07-14 21:07
Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?	9	$55	73	28	+45	Yes	-$2	08-16 23:36
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in June 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	5	$52	41	39	+1	Yes	-$1	08-11 20:23
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1?	4	$52	60	20	+40	Yes	-$1	09-14 02:48
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?	6	$51	97	97	+0	Yes	-$8	07-14 14:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-22 20:13:51	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-01 House election by 40%-45%?	Yes	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0x253354…
09-22 18:35:09	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-09 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0x1de40a…
09-22 11:28:19	Will “A Song To Sing” by Miranda Lambert and Chris Stapleton win Musical Event of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?	Yes	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0x030446…
09-22 11:25:33	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-01 House election by 40%-45%?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x50e1c0…
09-22 11:25:12	Will “A Song To Sing” by Miranda Lambert and Chris Stapleton win Musical Event of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x76b634…
09-22 11:17:03	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MS-02 House election by 35%-40%?	Yes	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x67e5a3…
09-22 11:07:19	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-09 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xcfdfc3…
09-22 11:07:09	Will the VALORANT Champions 2026 Grand Final go to a deciding map?	Yes	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0x75c760…
09-22 11:01:21	Will the VALORANT Champions 2026 Grand Final go to a deciding map?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x97473e…
09-22 10:30:13	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0xf93cb8…
09-22 10:19:22	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	13	23¢	$3	0x9f2a2e…
09-22 10:05:48	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MS-02 House election by 35%-40%?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x44a78f…
09-22 10:04:27	Will Seattle have between 1 and 1.5 inches of precipitation in September?	No	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0x08b1d1…
09-22 10:02:03	Will Seattle have between 1 and 1.5 inches of precipitation in September?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x307390…
09-22 09:58:25	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on September 23?	Yes	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0xee91f0…
09-22 09:57:40	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x1d02b3…
09-22 09:55:51	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	13	25¢	$3	0x5e3709…
09-22 09:49:57	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 23?	Yes	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0x838c53…
09-22 09:49:19	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x95eebd…
09-22 09:46:06	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x249342…
09-22 09:44:28	Will Sal Stewart lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season?	No	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0xfdbffa…
09-16 09:27:30	Will Alex Padilla vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	Yes	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0x81c36a…
09-15 05:51:07	Will Deportivo Moquegua be relegated from the 2026 Peru Liga 1?	No	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0xb23bd6…
09-14 21:55:00	Will Andy Kim vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xf4468a…
09-14 21:53:00	Will Andy Kim vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xc3ee2c…
09-14 21:51:09	Will Alex Padilla vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xb24342…
09-14 21:45:58	Will FC Cajamarca be relegated from the 2026 Peru Liga 1?	No	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0x24d391…
09-14 21:45:39	Will FC Cajamarca be relegated from the 2026 Peru Liga 1?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xaba07b…
09-14 21:45:39	Will Sønderjyske be relegated from the 2026-27 Denmark Superliga?	No	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x58bc57…
09-14 21:34:21	Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	No	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0x11aa23…
09-14 21:32:24	Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xf10c16…
09-14 21:10:52	Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0xe48bee…
09-14 21:10:52	Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	27¢	$4	0x606758…
09-14 21:05:48	Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xf1a242…
09-14 20:53:30	Will FC Cajamarca be relegated from the 2026 Peru Liga 1?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x2d15fd…
09-14 20:45:27	Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	Yes	SELL	8	56¢	$4	0xbf70f5…
09-14 20:45:27	Will Jacky Rosen vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	Yes	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0xa6b598…
09-14 20:45:25	Will South African inflation be between 4.4% and 4.7% in 2026?	No	SELL	0	79¢	$0	0xf32762…
09-14 20:41:27	Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xf07abe…
09-14 20:40:33	Will Jacky Rosen vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x68d120…
09-14 20:40:33	Will Sønderjyske be relegated from the 2026-27 Denmark Superliga?	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x04eae1…
09-14 20:14:12	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x089e4e…
09-14 20:12:42	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0xbc5a70…
09-14 20:12:19	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 17, 2026?	No	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x071b9b…
09-14 20:11:54	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xb3e5eb…
09-14 10:58:43	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?	No	SELL	9	56¢	$5	0xe1733b…
09-14 10:02:24	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?	No	SELL	7	56¢	$4	0xf99b7f…
09-14 07:27:03	Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?	Yes	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0x1b1e5e…
09-14 06:24:55	Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x7866bd…
09-14 05:57:31	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40 and 45 million views in week 1?	Yes	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0x506d0b…
09-14 05:51:37	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40 and 45 million views in week 1?	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x490f72…
09-14 05:50:10	Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x3c8c27…
09-14 05:46:10	Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x0bf034…
09-14 05:45:25	Will Iran target Iraq by September 15, 2026?	No	SELL	7	86¢	$6	0x3e51ed…
09-14 05:30:06	Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0xaac59c…
09-14 05:26:54	Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	19	72¢	$14	0xd9c445…
09-14 05:14:42	Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x46d328…
09-14 05:07:30	Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x87a230…
09-14 04:32:00	Will South African inflation be between 4.4% and 4.7% in 2026?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xfcd2bb…
09-14 03:37:52	Will South African inflation be between 4.4% and 4.7% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x9a57f3…
09-14 03:31:51	Will the Green Party (MP) be in the next Swedish government?	No	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0xc3870e…
09-14 03:31:46	Will the Christian Democrats (KD) be in the next Swedish government?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x843db7…
09-14 03:26:31	Will the Green Party (MP) be in the next Swedish government?	No	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x493e6c…
09-14 03:25:52	Will Deportivo Moquegua be relegated from the 2026 Peru Liga 1?	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x7782bf…
09-14 03:17:42	Will Deportivo Moquegua be relegated from the 2026 Peru Liga 1?	Yes	BUY	15	21¢	$3	0xbd363d…
09-14 03:12:43	Will the Christian Democrats (KD) be in the next Swedish government?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x6f5e03…
09-14 03:06:10	Will South African inflation be between 4.4% and 4.7% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x7adff3…
09-14 03:04:57	Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	83¢	$12	0x2aee4c…
09-14 03:01:37	Will South African inflation be between 4.4% and 4.7% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x7bf271…
09-14 02:48:27	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1?	No	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0xad025d…
09-14 02:45:46	Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026?	No	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0x5feccc…
09-14 02:07:55	Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026?	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x2d76a1…
09-14 02:04:48	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xe95687…
09-14 01:54:24	Will the Moderate Party (M) be in the next Swedish government?	Yes	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x7a9080…
09-14 01:42:42	Will the Green Party (MP) be in the next Swedish government?	No	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0xd642a7…
09-14 01:42:22	Will the Green Party (MP) be in the next Swedish government?	No	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0xfd0bae…
09-14 00:27:16	Will Iran target Iraq by September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	7	80¢	$6	0x102e43…
09-14 00:18:18	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?	No	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x4a8bff…
09-13 23:32:24	Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.50 and $7.00 on September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0xf338ae…
09-13 23:26:54	Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.50 and $7.00 on September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x3e51cf…
09-13 23:18:42	Will Tom Aspinall be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	46¢	$3	0xca2133…
09-13 23:18:30	Will Tom Aspinall be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0xfc0686…
09-13 23:16:30	Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xc9da3d…
09-13 23:11:24	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.70 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0x353f6b…
09-13 23:06:34	Will the Moderate Party (M) be in the next Swedish government?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xdbdc79…
09-13 22:03:19	Will Mladost Lučani be relegated from the 2026-27 Serbian SuperLiga?	No	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0x55a574…
09-13 22:00:06	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.70 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x9ebeaa…
09-13 21:50:25	Will Mladost Lučani be relegated from the 2026-27 Serbian SuperLiga?	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x67ad53…
09-13 21:38:51	Will Deportivo Moquegua be relegated from the 2026 Peru Liga 1?	Yes	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x42a87b…
09-13 21:35:04	Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $900B and $1.00T at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	40¢	$8	0xba03d5…
09-13 21:29:54	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 35 and 40 million views in week 1?	No	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0xe5cd30…
09-13 21:29:31	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 35 and 40 million views in week 1?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xa501e7…
09-13 21:28:27	Will Shimizu S-Pulse be relegated from the 2026-27 Japan J. League?	Yes	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0x2d4491…
09-13 21:27:07	Will Deportivo Moquegua be relegated from the 2026 Peru Liga 1?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x7d2424…
09-13 21:02:10	Will Shimizu S-Pulse be relegated from the 2026-27 Japan J. League?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x607919…
09-13 20:48:55	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x937942…
09-13 20:19:30	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x42e403…
09-13 20:03:34	Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $900B and $1.00T at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	46¢	$9	0x44ecc9…
09-13 19:55:30	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40 and 45 million views in week 1?	Yes	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0x93a215…
09-13 17:30:42	Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	38¢	$0	0xd68c2e…