Lumpy-Windchime — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$945

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

29.6%

Resolved

Trades

142

lifetime

Volume

$27.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$192

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 07-19 21:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Sports

65% 23% $-945

Other

21% — —

Crypto

12% — —

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	2	$2.7K	1,712	1,664	+48	open	—	04-30 07:37
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Houston Astros	12	$2.2K	2,616	2,088	+529	open	—	04-19 21:20
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	3	$1.6K	2,330	0	+2,330	open	—	07-19 21:11
will michigan win the 2026 ncaa tournament	3	$1.6K	871	871	+0	open	—	04-07 04:26
nba hou lal 2026 04 18	5	$1.5K	1,539	592	+947	open	—	04-19 03:37
nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	2	$1.3K	739	739	+0	open	—	02-09 04:18
fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 team to advance	3	$1.2K	2,352	0	+2,352	open	—	06-30 03:05
nfl la sea 2026 01 25	2	$872	559	559	+0	open	—	01-26 03:03
Lakers vs. Rockets	2	$726	526	526	+0	open	—	05-02 04:35
fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 team to advance	1	$700	854	0	+854	open	—	06-30 04:04
nba min den 2026 04 18	4	$600	1,022	0	+1,022	open	—	04-18 20:55
nfl ne den 2026 01 25	2	$520	314	314	+0	open	—	01-25 23:25
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 total 2pt5	1	$500	979	0	+979	open	—	07-12 01:30
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	1	$500	748	0	+748	open	—	05-04 00:19
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	2	$500	1,330	0	+1,330	open	—	05-23 09:26
nba tor cle 2026 04 18	2	$458	260	258	+2	open	—	04-18 19:55
Raptors vs. Cavaliers	3	$450	614	0	+614	open	—	05-03 22:06
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	2	$437	1,066	0	+1,066	Cavaliers	$-437	05-11 05:12
New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros	2	$433	294	290	+4	open	—	04-26 19:51
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	2	$400	848	0	+848	open	—	07-11 21:46
nfl hou ne 2026 01 18	2	$392	242	242	+0	open	—	01-18 23:28
Magic vs. Pistons	2	$350	1,366	0	+1,366	open	—	05-03 01:50
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankees	2	$349	242	239	+3	open	—	04-19 20:48
Thunder vs. Lakers	2	$335	588	0	+588	Thunder	+$35	05-09 22:05
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	2	$300	649	0	+649	open	—	07-15 08:30
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 1pt5	2	$293	194	194	+0	open	—	07-19 21:09
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	2	$252	154	152	+2	open	—	04-26 22:34
fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	3	$207	158	158	+0	open	—	06-29 23:41
76ers vs. Knicks	1	$200	667	0	+667	Knicks	$-200	05-04 00:20
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	1	$200	952	0	+952	open	—	04-26 06:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 21:11:18	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	1,334	75¢	$1,000	0x39ccc3…
07-19 21:09:18	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 1pt5	Under	SELL	194	100¢	$193	0x697f47…
07-19 19:49:36	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	194	51¢	$100	0xca1994…
07-19 19:18:55	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	329	61¢	$200	0x30e763…
07-19 19:11:16	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	667	60¢	$400	0x5c721b…
07-15 08:30:08	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	432	46¢	$200	0x3677ef…
07-15 08:18:13	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	216	46¢	$100	0xfacbd0…
07-12 01:30:52	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	979	51¢	$500	0x267ca7…
07-11 21:46:16	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	BUY	538	56¢	$300	0xe3c0ee…
07-11 19:35:11	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	BUY	310	32¢	$100	0xbd8163…
07-09 07:40:25	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	Spain	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0x84daf2…
07-09 07:35:44	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	France	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0x04072e…
07-04 01:11:43	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	Mexico	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0xca8c0e…
07-04 01:07:32	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	United States	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x09ba6a…
06-30 04:04:31	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 team to advance	United States	BUY	854	82¢	$700	0xd5227c…
06-30 03:05:40	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 team to advance	Netherlands	BUY	1,731	52¢	$900	0x2fd993…
06-30 02:13:40	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 team to advance	Netherlands	BUY	264	55¢	$145	0xa08c4f…
06-30 02:13:04	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 team to advance	Netherlands	BUY	357	56¢	$200	0xf54bb9…
06-29 23:41:40	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Paraguay	SELL	158	100¢	$157	0x9d000b…
06-29 22:50:23	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Paraguay	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0x37fb24…
06-29 21:13:25	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Paraguay	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0xab2c6a…
06-09 11:45:34	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	BUY	395	38¢	$150	0xa45600…
06-09 11:45:13	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Knicks	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0xc0cb7e…
06-09 11:44:13	nhl car las 2026 06 09	Golden Knights	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x1e582a…
05-29 10:31:53	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0x4fd0ae…
05-23 09:26:53	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	683	29¢	$200	0x7ba37e…
05-23 09:06:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	647	46¢	$300	0x16ae38…
05-23 08:44:37	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	159	2¢	$3	0x711360…
05-23 04:31:25	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0xeb6248…
05-19 08:33:07	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0xf08634…
05-19 08:29:35	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0x64eef8…
05-17 04:29:36	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0x1b55ba…
05-17 03:55:37	MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano	Carano	BUY	554	18¢	$100	0x7dc4a0…
05-14 07:41:33	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0x17e5ca…
05-13 07:18:24	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0x697959…
05-13 07:18:14	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x5818bf…
05-11 05:12:22	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	578	41¢	$237	0x2cfc47…
05-11 05:11:25	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	263	19¢	$50	0xb58ea1…
05-10 20:59:27	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	395	19¢	$75	0xcf95c6…
05-10 20:58:10	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	488	41¢	$200	0xb5f42f…
05-09 22:05:55	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	371	77¢	$285	0x20c71f…
05-09 07:37:23	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	203	37¢	$75	0xb3221f…
05-08 06:26:20	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	217	23¢	$50	0x0ea115…
05-08 06:25:17	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0x568347…
05-07 06:15:19	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	225	44¢	$100	0x261591…
05-07 06:15:05	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	125	40¢	$50	0x11cbb8…
05-05 08:39:50	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0x01de31…
05-05 08:38:24	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	119	42¢	$50	0xa5a804…
05-05 08:38:02	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0xacf314…
05-04 00:20:40	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	208	12¢	$25	0x9c97a9…
05-04 00:20:22	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	BUY	667	30¢	$200	0x2c9e76…
05-04 00:19:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	748	67¢	$500	0x1a4ba2…
05-03 22:06:18	Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	203	74¢	$150	0x2c6d5f…
05-03 02:11:40	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	175	28¢	$50	0x24cfe4…
05-03 02:09:38	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	208	12¢	$25	0x0bd975…
05-03 02:08:16	Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	205	73¢	$150	0xd4544e…
05-03 01:50:50	Magic vs. Pistons	Magic	BUY	741	27¢	$200	0x45b329…
05-02 05:05:04	Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x9acea2…
05-02 05:04:42	Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox	Houston Astros	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x5a1650…
05-02 05:04:00	Magic vs. Pistons	Magic	BUY	625	24¢	$150	0xa10157…
05-02 05:02:04	Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	205	73¢	$150	0xbef23a…
05-02 05:01:54	76ers vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	208	72¢	$150	0x74f943…
05-02 04:35:40	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	SELL	526	100¢	$526	0x1d1744…
05-01 18:39:32	Cavaliers vs. Raptors	Cavaliers	BUY	238	63¢	$150	0xea9100…
05-01 18:38:08	Pistons vs. Magic	Magic	BUY	122	41¢	$50	0xacf49a…
04-30 08:22:16	Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Orioles	Houston Astros	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x89fdaf…
04-30 08:21:58	Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Orioles	Houston Astros	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0xe18b17…
04-30 07:48:28	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	526	38¢	$200	0xbe0cb4…
04-30 07:47:16	Celtics vs. 76ers	Celtics	BUY	257	68¢	$175	0x3990e2…
04-30 07:46:26	Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	455	33¢	$150	0x93dd23…
04-30 07:45:02	Knicks vs. Hawks	Knicks	BUY	268	56¢	$150	0x960677…
04-30 07:37:34	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	SELL	1,664	99¢	$1,639	0x49661e…
04-29 07:43:24	Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	147	34¢	$50	0x644217…
04-29 07:36:20	Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Raptors	BUY	417	24¢	$100	0x834db8…
04-29 07:24:42	Magic vs. Pistons	Magic	BUY	435	23¢	$100	0x8addec…
04-28 19:00:50	Hawks vs. Knicks	Hawks	BUY	161	31¢	$50	0xafedaf…
04-28 19:00:18	Magic vs. Pistons	Magic	BUY	208	24¢	$50	0x937084…
04-27 05:57:04	Rockets vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	333	60¢	$200	0x62b5a3…
04-27 05:50:42	Pistons vs. Magic	Magic	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0xc2ecff…
04-26 22:34:04	Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	Spurs	SELL	152	100¢	$152	0xab9d8d…
04-26 19:51:26	New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros	Houston Astros	SELL	290	98¢	$283	0x17a4fa…
04-26 17:45:10	Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	Spurs	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x6a0c19…
04-26 06:30:26	Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	Timberwolves	BUY	952	21¢	$200	0xd4424b…
04-26 06:30:08	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	256	39¢	$100	0xc82293…
04-24 08:44:32	New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros	Houston Astros	BUY	327	46¢	$150	0x7f29d5…
04-24 08:41:36	New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros	Houston Astros	BUY	294	51¢	$150	0x439c16…
04-24 08:31:40	Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	Spurs	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0xed7c49…
04-24 07:58:26	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	357	28¢	$100	0xd49ce1…
04-24 07:45:06	Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0xc6f956…
04-21 05:50:08	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	BUY	1,712	61¢	$1,044	0x6ce525…
04-20 03:53:32	Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardians	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0x6216fe…
04-20 03:52:12	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0x6e0613…
04-20 03:52:00	Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners	Athletics	BUY	122	41¢	$50	0xa3ec57…
04-20 03:51:46	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0x6140a8…
04-20 03:51:28	Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royals	Kansas City Royals	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0xd25b4e…
04-20 03:51:12	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs	Chicago Cubs	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x753933…
04-20 03:50:52	Cincinnati Reds vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xe0978c…
04-20 03:50:32	St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	109	46¢	$50	0x515f38…
04-20 03:50:04	Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Sox	Detroit Tigers	BUY	111	45¢	$50	0xdd7717…
04-19 21:36:18	Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Sox	Detroit Tigers	BUY	341	44¢	$150	0x26fa2d…