Spiffy-Spleen — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.8%

Resolved

120

Trades

261

lifetime

Volume

$1.67K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 08-31 04:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 49 days

Categories

Other

96% 62% +$6

Politics

4% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?	2	$46	23	23	+0	No	$0	06-29 02:51
Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?	1	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$0	06-21 16:32
Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	2	$29	15	15	+0	No	+$1	05-14 21:18
Will MrBeast's next video get between 46 and 47 million views on day 3?	2	$28	15	15	+0	No	+$1	06-16 13:41
Will "Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?	2	$26	13	13	+0	Yes	+$0	05-08 13:47
Will Huh Tae-jung win the 2026 Daejeon mayoral election?	2	$25	13	13	+0	Yes	+$1	06-04 01:34
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?	2	$25	13	13	+0	No	+$1	05-27 12:49
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	2	$25	13	13	+0	No	+$1	05-28 22:10
Will Christine Bish advance from the CA-03 primary election?	2	$24	12	12	+0	No	+$0	06-04 03:10
US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	06-25 12:57
Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	2	$22	11	11	+0	No	+$0	05-12 14:01
Will "Michael" be the highest grossing movie of this weekend?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-11 00:46
Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?	2	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$1	06-10 12:30
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 11?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-11 00:44
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on May 8?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-07 22:18
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 65°F or below on May 7?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-06 17:40
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on May 9?	4	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-09 14:53
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on May 1?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-30 14:56
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on June 12?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-12 14:28
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 13°C or below on May 10?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-10 07:19
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on May 27?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-27 00:46
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on May 7?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-06 16:00
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on June 7?	5	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-06 22:34
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 14?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-13 21:04
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on May 7?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	$0	05-06 23:05
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 30?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-29 20:38
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 30?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-30 07:26
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 8?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-08 04:32
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 1?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-30 23:13
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on May 9?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-08 12:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-31 04:10:07	Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 36 and 39 inclusive?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xb705cc…
07-28 05:33:46	will tsla reach 450 in july 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x183e5c…
06-30 00:48:26	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x6d4918…
06-29 12:01:32	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 30?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x830274…
06-29 02:51:28	Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x23455c…
06-29 02:51:13	Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x235dce…
06-29 00:55:16	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x549b87…
06-28 22:54:35	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x7f4d8f…
06-28 21:32:02	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 29?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xb9c51a…
06-28 04:38:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x099ad1…
06-28 04:16:20	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 28?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x0d501a…
06-27 13:52:50	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C or higher on June 28?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x0fd254…
06-27 12:23:58	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C or higher on June 28?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x1398b9…
06-26 18:17:10	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xb8da5a…
06-26 18:03:20	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 27?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x9ae54e…
06-25 19:16:14	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on June 26?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xecd0f5…
06-25 18:34:38	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on June 26?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x312b40…
06-25 12:57:46	US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xcb70b2…
06-24 17:52:44	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x2cb87d…
06-24 14:59:22	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on June 25?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x0b5c91…
06-24 11:32:38	Will the highest temperature in London be 37°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0xde615b…
06-23 22:43:37	Will the highest temperature in London be 37°C on June 24?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xca54fb…
06-23 01:27:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x68d2fc…
06-23 01:14:37	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 23?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x25509f…
06-21 16:32:34	Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x560cbd…
06-21 14:22:31	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x5f8f1a…
06-21 13:42:37	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 22?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xedba63…
06-20 14:06:56	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xa4bb4f…
06-20 14:05:04	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x1bcd4a…
06-20 12:18:25	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 21?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x07341e…
06-19 12:36:04	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on June 20?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0xfe0c67…
06-19 12:02:40	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on June 20?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x9f8ec8…
06-17 17:03:25	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C or higher on June 18?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x8b172c…
06-17 17:02:43	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C or higher on June 18?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0xd1f2a5…
06-17 12:11:22	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C or higher on June 18?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x491c7d…
06-17 12:02:26	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 41°C or higher on June 18?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x5d7b9c…
06-17 12:01:56	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 18?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xadab3a…
06-17 12:01:52	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on June 18?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x72b58c…
06-17 12:01:41	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on June 18?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x60e02e…
06-17 12:01:37	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C or higher on June 18?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x49bae1…
06-17 12:01:08	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C or higher on June 18?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa58e85…
06-17 12:01:02	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on June 18?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1e2ad6…
06-17 09:37:05	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on June 17?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x96c73b…
06-16 13:41:40	Will MrBeast's next video get between 46 and 47 million views on day 3?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x1a8d8d…
06-16 02:20:40	Will MrBeast's next video get between 46 and 47 million views on day 3?	No	BUY	15	90¢	$14	0x3e3443…
06-15 00:03:40	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on June 15?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x83da76…
06-14 19:03:07	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on June 15?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x49badf…
06-14 18:40:12	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 15?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x43f558…
06-13 20:36:19	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on June 14?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x69d92e…
06-13 18:19:46	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on June 14?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x64d0ab…
06-13 06:09:51	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x6ded42…
06-13 03:46:00	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x573bb1…
06-13 03:09:04	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 13?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6de02e…
06-12 14:28:12	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on June 12?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xf66f90…
06-12 00:55:54	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on June 12?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xcf4937…
06-11 00:44:21	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xdd494f…
06-10 23:59:49	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 11?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xc00bd4…
06-10 12:30:27	Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x46df10…
06-09 08:26:19	Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x70f763…
06-09 00:25:42	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 9?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x40dda5…
06-08 12:04:37	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 9?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x434ca6…
06-08 00:00:25	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 8?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x13105a…
06-07 20:59:12	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 8?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xec87eb…
06-07 15:59:15	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xc9d684…
06-07 10:46:19	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 7?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe3b171…
06-06 22:34:33	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on June 7?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x948fff…
06-06 22:34:04	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on June 7?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xbec941…
06-06 22:34:04	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on June 7?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x3c6a90…
06-06 22:33:49	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on June 7?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb65d4a…
06-06 13:42:39	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on June 7?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x2928b2…
06-06 02:13:27	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on June 6?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x1a3835…
06-06 02:13:19	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on June 6?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa59f0b…
06-05 14:01:39	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x4b4068…
06-05 13:01:33	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x54df38…
06-05 12:01:58	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 6?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xfd3110…
06-05 08:37:40	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x2ea4d2…
06-04 12:03:04	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 5?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x31e7c9…
06-04 03:10:33	Will Christine Bish advance from the CA-03 primary election?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xa2d97e…
06-04 01:34:55	Will Huh Tae-jung win the 2026 Daejeon mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x9c1e6d…
06-03 07:36:20	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x6bb86c…
06-03 06:51:33	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on June 3?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x6ad9ed…
06-02 15:34:09	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x4dc209…
06-02 12:06:06	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on June 3?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xed2f2e…
06-02 00:30:01	Will Huh Tae-jung win the 2026 Daejeon mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	13	96¢	$12	0xfd0d8c…
06-01 12:14:03	Will Christine Bish advance from the CA-03 primary election?	No	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x3fa9c7…
06-01 08:09:08	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xce6ab5…
06-01 08:01:12	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0x868da9…
05-31 23:10:34	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 1?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x2178dc…
05-31 23:10:22	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 1?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xf4cc9c…
05-31 23:09:26	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 1?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x1babd9…
05-31 22:28:52	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 1?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x18f156…
05-31 14:39:40	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 1?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x5c3533…
05-31 06:00:16	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x6a9371…
05-30 22:42:33	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on May 31?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xc4b775…
05-30 07:26:08	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 30?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x71028e…
05-30 06:44:24	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 30?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x627ead…
05-29 20:38:56	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x7a0343…
05-29 16:52:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 30?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x90a8d5…
05-29 09:04:35	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 29?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0xbc7a59…
05-29 06:31:56	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 29?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xd1cea1…