Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6.48K

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

60.7%

Resolved

9,723

Trades

66,964

lifetime

Volume

$387.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

12 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-06 23:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 161 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 64% -$5,110

Other

7% 47% -$1,139

Sports

1% 42% -$44

Politics

1% 27% -$186

Tech

0% 43% -$5

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 1797 trades/day

Open positions (12) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will PP win the most seats in Cantabria in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	—	+0	$0	94¢	$0	$0	10-22 12:33
Will PP win the most seats in Salamanca in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes		+0	$0	98¢	$0	+$0	10-22 12:32
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	Yes		+0	$0	88¢	$0	$0	09-28 13:05
Will PP win the most seats in Santa Cruz de Tenerife in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes		+0	$0	63¢	$0	$0	10-22 12:33
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+0	$0	82¢	$0	$0	09-24 06:48
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+0	$0	92¢	$0	$0	09-24 02:50
us announces end of iranian blockade by march 31 2027	Yes		+0	$0	66¢	$0	$0	09-26 12:48
Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31?	No		+0	$0	57¢	$0	$0	09-28 13:06
us announces end of iranian blockade by november 30 2026	Yes		+0	$1	20¢	$0	-$1	09-26 12:48
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes		+0	$0	9¢	$0	$0	09-29 19:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes		+0	$0	10¢	$0	$0	09-24 06:45
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota Senate election by 20%-25%?	No		+0	$0	6¢	$0	$0	09-27 19:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	18	$1.3K	2,182	0	+2,182	Down	-$1,330	09-23 15:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	51	$1.3K	1,926	269	+1,658	Up	-$61	09-13 11:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 22:30 UTC	54	$1.3K	1,441	27	+1,414	Down	-$9	09-14 22:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	62	$1.2K	1,672	822	+850	Down	+$380	09-12 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	49	$1.1K	1,320	60	+1,260	Down	-$21	09-18 18:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-21 21:00 UTC	296	$980	1,273	820	+454	Up	-$7	02-21 21:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 19:30 UTC	220	$970	869	937	-68	Up	+$74	02-14 19:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	39	$968	1,062	123	+939	Down	-$199	09-03 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	22	$960	2,195	0	+2,195	Up	+$235	09-22 23:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	17	$956	1,146	279	+866	Down	-$27	09-23 19:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 00:00 UTC	194	$952	809	588	+221	Up	+$3	02-13 00:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 22:00 UTC	38	$950	1,444	0	+1,444	Down	-$117	09-14 22:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	17	$916	1,126	707	+419	Down	-$465	09-23 19:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	18	$892	559	559	+0	Up	+$216	10-23 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	33	$889	881	326	+555	Down	-$327	09-03 21:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	11	$877	1,284	402	+882	Up	+$359	11-04 18:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 16:30 UTC	387	$838	1,687	0	+1,687	Down	-$6	02-01 16:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 22:10 UTC	33	$825	841	0	+841	Up	+$16	09-14 22:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	50	$805	883	0	+883	Up	-$57	09-09 03:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	43	$799	965	0	+965	Down	-$34	09-03 22:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 13:15 UTC	354	$790	1,561	0	+1,561	Up	-$19	02-01 13:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 21:45 UTC	65	$780	502	399	+103	Up	+$10	01-05 22:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	34	$755	2,164	0	+2,164	Up	+$227	09-04 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	22	$744	630	630	+0	Up	+$38	10-09 19:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	26	$739	896	201	+695	Up	+$358	10-23 23:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	23	$724	1,031	485	+546	Down	-$201	11-04 21:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 00:15 UTC	32	$712	798	681	+117	Up	+$62	01-13 00:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 22:15 UTC	43	$711	1,656	0	+1,656	Down	+$68	09-14 22:18
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 23:45 UTC	326	$704	1,408	0	+1,408	Down	-$2	01-31 23:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 23:45 UTC	294	$694	1,750	0	+1,750	Down	-$11	02-03 23:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 23:21:46	LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 - Game 2 Winner	Karmine Corp	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0xcedb89…
11-06 20:49:31	Will Willem II Tilburg vs. PEC Zwolle end in a draw?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x25da6b…
11-06 19:18:30	SG Dynamo Dresden vs. SpVgg Greuther Fürth: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xdf0c9c…
11-06 18:10:13	Set 2 Winner: Anastasia Zakharova vs Lucrezia Stefanini	Lucrezia Stefanini	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0x067425…
11-05 16:29:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x9f68a2…
11-05 16:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x6c7249…
11-05 16:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x5cafd5…
11-05 16:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb89e06…
11-05 16:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x240fc1…
11-05 16:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa814ac…
11-05 16:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x909bb5…
11-05 16:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x49592a…
11-05 16:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x580735…
11-05 16:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x4c4c16…
11-05 16:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xeae1b1…
11-05 16:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x604ab8…
11-05 16:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x31458e…
11-05 16:28:21	Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x075ac3…
11-05 16:28:15	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B	G2	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0xbc01a8…
11-05 16:28:10	Will the announcers say "No Good" during the Cowboys vs Packers game?	No	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xafbed3…
11-05 16:28:01	W50 Heraklion: Lucie Petruzelova vs Maria Eleni Poulka	Lucie Petruzelova	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xbe4dc1…
11-05 16:27:55	Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	No	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0xcf33a9…
11-05 16:27:52	UFC Fight Night: Wellington Turman vs. Seokhyeon Ko (Welterweight, Main Card)	Wellington Turman	SELL	10	15¢	$1	0x100292…
11-05 16:27:48	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 28m?	Yes	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0xbe1b5d…
11-05 16:27:43	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0xcde08f…
11-05 16:27:36	Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the #1 song this week?	Yes	SELL	4	95¢	$3	0xdd4df2…
11-05 16:27:31	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on November 5?	No	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0xf5da5a…
11-05 16:27:27	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0x09c6e2…
11-05 16:27:21	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 28m and 31m?	Yes	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0xb54b62…
11-05 16:27:16	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on November 5?	No	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x75b02d…
11-05 16:27:10	Spread: Texans (-4.5)	Texans	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0xb000f5…
11-05 16:27:04	Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?	No	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0xdb5af6…
11-05 16:26:55	Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0x887edb…
11-05 16:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x73aa76…
11-05 16:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x6a994f…
11-05 16:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xc60719…
11-05 16:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x7e5b7f…
11-05 16:25:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0x96af02…
11-05 16:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0xd32086…
11-05 15:57:39	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on November 5?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x8d9bee…
11-05 15:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xd52330…
11-05 15:43:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xe6958c…
11-05 15:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	25	30¢	$7	0xfd2eb7…
11-05 15:42:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	31	22¢	$7	0xd88df8…
11-05 15:40:19	Mohun Bagan Super Giant vs. Odisha FC: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x025fa2…
11-05 15:16:06	Will Mohun Bagan Super Giant win on 2026-11-05?	No	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x3df1d2…
11-05 15:13:15	Mohun Bagan Super Giant vs. Odisha FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x529769…
11-05 15:12:42	Will Mohun Bagan Super Giant win on 2026-11-05?	No	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x311089…
11-05 15:03:10	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on November 5?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x0d74c0…
11-05 14:45:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on November 6?	No	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0x16956b…
11-05 14:43:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on November 6?	No	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0x942666…
11-05 14:42:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on November 6?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x873422…
11-05 14:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	22	30¢	$7	0x993417…
11-05 14:05:42	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 5?	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x70325d…
11-05 13:56:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x6459ae…
11-05 13:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	21	45¢	$10	0x9a46f2…
11-05 13:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	23	42¢	$10	0x5fdd53…
11-05 13:56:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	21	45¢	$9	0x70f883…
11-05 13:56:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	21	45¢	$9	0x148c60…
11-05 13:33:19	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on November 5?	Yes	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0x7ad477…
11-05 13:32:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xc5b4b2…
11-05 13:25:24	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on November 5?	Yes	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0xdd43df…
11-05 13:24:30	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 5?	Yes	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0xf05a19…
11-05 13:12:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	21	51¢	$11	0xbe18b4…
11-05 13:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x3d809e…
11-05 13:06:09	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x2e3940…
11-05 12:57:31	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xe8210a…
11-05 12:39:28	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on November 5?	Yes	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x693b4e…
11-05 12:38:40	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on November 5?	Yes	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xa51a2f…
11-05 11:47:16	M15 Fergana: Aristarkh Safonov vs Nikita Ianin	Aristarkh Safonov	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x283e62…
11-05 11:46:28	Kitchee vs. Phnom Penh Crown FC: Phnom Penh Crown FC O/U 0.5	Over	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xccb4ff…
11-05 11:43:18	M15 Fergana: Aristarkh Safonov vs Nikita Ianin	Aristarkh Safonov	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x295079…
11-05 11:42:46	Kitchee vs. Phnom Penh Crown FC: Phnom Penh Crown FC O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x44ebc7…
11-05 11:20:15	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on November 5?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x86a7a5…
11-05 11:03:36	M15 Fergana: Aristarkh Safonov vs Nikita Ianin	Aristarkh Safonov	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x96513d…
11-05 11:01:16	Set 2 Winner: Matteo Berrettini vs Carlos Alcaraz	Matteo Berrettini	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x2f912a…
11-05 11:00:28	Matteo Berrettini vs. Carlos Alcaraz: Total Sets O/U 2.5	Over 2.5	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x38317b…
11-05 10:56:51	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x8cefe6…
11-05 10:44:42	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B	G2	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xa27197…
11-05 10:31:15	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on November 5?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x415970…
11-05 10:11:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0xe96f02…
11-05 10:11:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0xe70037…
11-05 10:11:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0x9371a8…
11-05 10:11:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0x8a081e…
11-05 10:11:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0x2190fc…
11-05 10:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	42¢	$2	0xe2ed70…
11-05 10:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x79e37a…
11-05 07:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0xf31d83…
11-05 05:40:12	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 14°C on November 5?	Yes	SELL	0	17¢	$0	0xe442ef…
11-05 05:40:12	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 14°C on November 5?	Yes	SELL	10	17¢	$2	0x7ce4b6…
11-05 04:31:07	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on November 5?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x9a9363…
11-05 04:01:04	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on November 5?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe1a9bd…
11-05 03:42:10	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on November 5?	No	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0x431086…
11-05 03:33:03	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x4a08cc…
11-05 03:28:39	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on November 5?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x58a03e…
11-05 03:28:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on November 5?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x1a4b5d…
11-05 03:14:09	Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 213.5	Over	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x39c3bb…
11-05 03:11:01	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on November 5?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x0f6a7a…
11-05 03:05:19	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 14°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	10	45¢	$5	0xa72f0f…
11-05 03:03:18	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on November 5?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa7b972…