Unwilling-Average — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$180

Unrealized P&L

+$520

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

319

lifetime

Volume

$86.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$271

Open exposure

$6.52K

1 position

First seen

2026-04-10

last 06-11 05:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

80% 100% +$180

Other

10% — —

Crypto

10% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No		+8,000	$6,000	82¢	$6.5K	+$520	06-07 22:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	18	$12.9K	11,520	4,745	+6,775	open	—	06-01 06:14
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	42	$9.2K	4,747	4,747	+0	open	—	06-06 22:47
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	27	$8.2K	1,001,609	1,001,809	-200	open	—	06-03 05:23
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	30	$8.2K	4,920	4,027	+893	open	—	05-15 06:09
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	6	$6.4K	4,690	2,361	+2,329	open	—	06-11 05:48
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	40	$6.0K	8,000	0	+8,000	open	—	06-07 22:23
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	21	$4.7K	3,910	3,910	+0	open	—	05-29 03:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	10	$3.9K	2,100	2,100	+0	open	—	05-08 07:56
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	5	$3.7K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	05-12 07:25
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	15	$2.7K	1,600	1,600	+0	open	—	05-10 01:42
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	1	$2.5K	2,625	0	+2,625	open	—	04-28 04:38
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	3	$2.3K	1,200	1,200	+0	No	+$107	05-11 20:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	06-07 07:28
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	2	$1.7K	1,900	0	+1,900	open	—	06-11 02:07
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	8	$1.7K	1,380	700	+680	open	—	05-19 08:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	11	$1.4K	1,900	0	+1,900	open	—	05-23 20:17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	4	$1.2K	660	660	+0	open	—	04-27 04:52
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	8	$1.1K	1,700	1,162	+538	open	—	05-28 02:33
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	4	$1.1K	1,200	0	+1,200	No	+$74	05-03 23:16
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	8	$1.1K	635	645	-10	open	—	06-01 04:31
congress passes iran war powers resolution by june 30	6	$835	500	500	+0	open	—	06-07 05:02
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	15	$829	450	450	+0	open	—	05-08 08:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$795	500	500	+0	open	—	05-04 07:16
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	3	$519	290	290	+0	open	—	04-23 03:58
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	4	$410	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	06-10 23:06
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	3	$324	360	0	+360	open	—	04-27 04:58
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	1	$316	330	0	+330	open	—	04-27 04:56
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	3	$238	280	0	+280	open	—	04-21 08:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$62	50	50	+0	open	—	04-18 05:14
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	4	$61	220	0	+220	open	—	06-01 08:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 05:48:00	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	696	96¢	$670	0x7476a0…
06-11 02:07:33	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	BUY	800	93¢	$744	0xa65cdb…
06-10 23:06:30	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,000	23¢	$230	0x41d74a…
06-10 08:36:10	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	BUY	1,100	90¢	$990	0x61d818…
06-10 08:35:34	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	1,008	95¢	$958	0xac139e…
06-09 20:23:46	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	657	94¢	$617	0x8d1689…
06-07 22:23:27	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	325	75¢	$244	0xe38bba…
06-07 22:16:13	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xefddf2…
06-07 22:16:10	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xe65e04…
06-07 22:13:36	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x0e3591…
06-07 21:21:21	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x2bd4f6…
06-07 21:17:54	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xef10a1…
06-07 21:17:54	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x3bf6df…
06-07 21:17:52	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x42bf46…
06-07 21:17:52	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x21ca2e…
06-07 17:25:36	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	9	75¢	$7	0x41211d…
06-07 17:05:34	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xdb2c1f…
06-07 16:33:10	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0x3c3eed…
06-07 16:25:34	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	79	75¢	$59	0xf398ac…
06-07 16:20:00	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	79	75¢	$59	0xf9f4da…
06-07 16:18:52	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	145	75¢	$109	0xbab9b3…
06-07 16:17:42	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	106	75¢	$80	0x480836…
06-07 15:33:34	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x4323b1…
06-07 15:31:22	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xb6d424…
06-07 15:22:33	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x7148be…
06-07 15:15:13	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	15	75¢	$12	0x2cc74d…
06-07 15:13:55	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	113	75¢	$85	0xc37a47…
06-07 14:53:45	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	21	75¢	$16	0x79a2c4…
06-07 14:27:42	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	185	75¢	$138	0x8fe09d…
06-07 14:26:01	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	56	75¢	$42	0x74fca1…
06-07 14:22:12	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	134	75¢	$100	0x94d824…
06-07 14:14:39	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	200	75¢	$150	0x5a7a6b…
06-07 14:09:21	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0xb9364b…
06-07 13:54:31	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x4c87ba…
06-07 13:53:52	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	30	75¢	$23	0xca97e9…
06-07 13:53:52	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0xc4d80f…
06-07 13:44:33	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	14	75¢	$10	0xc8c6a7…
06-07 13:10:16	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0xee78be…
06-07 12:13:07	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	298	75¢	$224	0xd595b8…
06-07 07:28:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	1,000	99¢	$987	0x35a4d5…
06-07 05:02:12	congress passes iran war powers resolution by june 30	No	SELL	404	89¢	$360	0xdb13bf…
06-07 03:16:57	congress passes iran war powers resolution by june 30	No	SELL	36	88¢	$32	0xf1da40…
06-07 03:06:00	congress passes iran war powers resolution by june 30	No	SELL	15	88¢	$13	0xf5054d…
06-07 02:57:22	congress passes iran war powers resolution by june 30	No	SELL	25	88¢	$22	0xf4eb60…
06-07 01:29:55	congress passes iran war powers resolution by june 30	No	SELL	20	88¢	$17	0x500de2…
06-06 22:56:51	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	5,739	75¢	$4,304	0x7b7f4c…
06-06 22:52:12	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x260fc5…
06-06 22:51:18	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xf97a3b…
06-06 22:50:48	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x6474ba…
06-06 22:50:24	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x26cedc…
06-06 22:49:36	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x1f90f7…
06-06 22:48:31	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	218	75¢	$163	0xfb7477…
06-06 22:47:28	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	SELL	4,747	99¢	$4,709	0x830641…
06-05 22:48:27	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	2,690	91¢	$2,448	0x422653…
06-05 10:23:46	congress passes iran war powers resolution by june 30	No	BUY	500	78¢	$390	0x7c81c7…
06-04 20:32:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	272	96¢	$261	0x7e2abc…
06-04 20:31:55	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	128	96¢	$123	0x9c10a2…
06-04 20:24:46	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0xeee0c7…
06-04 20:24:43	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0xe713a7…
06-04 20:24:43	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x9d945b…
06-04 20:24:43	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x23b022…
06-04 20:24:19	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	347	96¢	$333	0x2953cc…
06-03 21:48:19	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	1,000	86¢	$860	0x207d8a…
06-03 05:33:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	86¢	$860	0xf4bbf4…
06-03 05:30:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	1,533	95¢	$1,456	0x00e31e…
06-03 05:30:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0x63c2e5…
06-03 05:30:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0x4dc9e9…
06-03 05:28:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	45	95¢	$42	0x397a72…
06-03 05:23:35	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100,000	0¢	$300	0x5af76a…
06-03 05:21:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	75	95¢	$71	0xfd5a7b…
06-03 05:14:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	220	95¢	$209	0xcf71af…
06-03 05:09:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0xdab99c…
06-03 05:08:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x755221…
06-03 05:05:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0xf68388…
06-03 05:05:41	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0x37891d…
06-03 05:02:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	55	95¢	$52	0x7d4d1c…
06-03 05:02:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0x675a05…
06-03 05:01:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	66	95¢	$62	0x48b887…
06-03 04:58:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$5	0x716bef…
06-03 04:58:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x02201a…
06-03 04:54:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0xfc52be…
06-03 04:54:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0xc2bd1f…
06-03 04:51:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0x0c3fcd…
06-03 04:49:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	57	95¢	$54	0xce2aa7…
06-03 04:48:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0xa72c1d…
06-03 04:47:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x31683f…
06-03 04:46:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0xc6e2d3…
06-03 04:46:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0x64bc6c…
06-03 04:46:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0x3ede6f…
06-03 04:46:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0x95ccac…
06-03 04:46:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0x263d2d…
06-03 04:45:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0xfff2d5…
06-03 04:39:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0xfca13f…
06-03 04:39:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0xe06dd8…
06-03 04:36:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0x785bd9…
06-03 04:34:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0xf15358…
06-03 04:33:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0xf0b176…
06-03 04:31:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	33	95¢	$31	0x656876…
06-03 04:30:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	1,804	95¢	$1,713	0xce23ae…
06-03 04:27:09	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	400,000	0¢	$1,200	0xbede8d…