Posh-Bay — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

-$53

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

45.3%

Resolved (24h)

219

Trades (24h)

395

7,754 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$777

$86.1K lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-30

last 10-29 00:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 110 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 81% -$540

Other

2% 90% -$78

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 1022 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 08:45 UTC	12	$513	300	299	+1	Up	-$3	02-06 08:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 02:00 UTC	8	$485	300	298	+2	Down	+$16	02-05 02:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 08:15 UTC	6	$391	360	199	+161	Down	-$9	02-06 08:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 06:15 UTC	4	$333	200	199	+1	Down	+$18	02-06 06:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 02:30 UTC	7	$308	190	189	+1	Up	+$3	02-06 02:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 05:00 UTC	7	$290	310	237	+73	Up	-$63	02-07 05:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 03:45 UTC	7	$287	170	169	+1	Down	+$5	02-05 03:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 12:15 UTC	4	$282	200	199	+1	Down	-$34	02-06 12:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 07:15 UTC	7	$253	150	149	+1	Down	-$4	02-13 07:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 08:15 UTC	4	$241	160	159	+1	Up	-$1	02-05 08:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 02:00 UTC	4	$223	140	140	+0	Down	-$21	02-04 02:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 02:15 UTC	5	$215	140	139	+1	Down	-$10	02-06 02:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 02:45 UTC	3	$214	190	100	+90	Down	$0	02-06 02:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 05:45 UTC	6	$213	122	121	+0	Up	+$8	02-06 05:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 09:30 UTC	3	$209	180	89	+91	Down	+$18	02-05 09:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 01:30 UTC	9	$207	140	140	+0	Down	-$21	02-02 01:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 04:15 UTC	15	$204	120	119	+1	Down	+$6	02-04 04:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 01:15 UTC	4	$201	110	109	+1	Down	+$17	02-05 01:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 03:15 UTC	4	$199	120	120	+0	Up	-$12	02-03 03:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 06:30 UTC	4	$196	110	110	+0	Down	$0	02-03 06:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 06:45 UTC	10	$195	110	110	+0	Up	+$1	02-03 06:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 02:30 UTC	8	$193	100	100	+0	Up	+$6	02-12 02:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 02:45 UTC	6	$193	100	100	+0	Down	+$5	02-12 02:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 02:30 UTC	2	$193	100	100	+0	Down	+$7	02-10 02:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 03:00 UTC	2	$189	100	100	+0	Down	+$11	02-10 03:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 03:15 UTC	2	$188	100	100	+0	Down	+$12	02-10 03:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 04:30 UTC	4	$187	130	129	+1	Down	-$15	02-04 04:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 05:15 UTC	4	$185	120	120	+0	Down	-$22	02-03 05:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 08:45 UTC	3	$184	160	90	+70	Down	-$4	02-05 08:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 01:30 UTC	2	$183	100	100	+0	Up	+$16	02-13 01:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 00:08:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x0fd3fa…
10-29 00:08:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0x6b327a…
10-29 00:02:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xb83eb7…
10-29 00:02:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x7daacc…
10-29 00:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x31131f…
10-29 00:00:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x4b971c…
10-28 23:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x473bbb…
10-28 23:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x46fd14…
10-28 23:53:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x63db41…
10-28 23:53:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xc924e2…
10-28 23:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x908af4…
10-28 23:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xb8751c…
10-28 23:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x1c7a42…
10-28 23:36:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xfc0156…
10-28 23:36:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x0aaca8…
10-28 23:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xe7f813…
10-28 23:29:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x778bed…
10-28 23:29:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	4¢	$1	0xaf37b3…
10-28 23:26:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x10511f…
10-28 23:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	21	4¢	$1	0xb48f55…
10-28 23:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0x88c0ed…
10-28 23:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0x759a26…
10-28 23:21:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xdfb765…
10-28 23:19:28	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x685392…
10-28 23:18:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0xe9f600…
10-28 23:15:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xb53a8e…
10-28 23:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xb4315c…
10-28 23:06:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xa62228…
10-28 23:06:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x54f370…
10-28 23:03:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x9aea37…
10-28 23:03:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf1eb0f…
10-28 23:01:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	28	3¢	$1	0x5567dc…
10-28 22:58:37	Solana Up or Down on October 29?	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x788d55…
10-28 22:58:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x81be22…
10-28 22:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0xf392bb…
10-28 22:56:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xfd2775…
10-28 22:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xb5cf56…
10-28 22:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x7b77e7…
10-28 22:51:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x97f4db…
10-28 22:46:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x9acb81…
10-28 22:41:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xe48829…
10-28 22:38:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x892936…
10-28 22:38:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x4e74b8…
10-28 22:37:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x6a6d7d…
10-28 22:35:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x376ae4…
10-28 22:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x34198f…
10-28 22:33:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x877797…
10-28 22:27:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x63296f…
10-28 22:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	24	2¢	$0	0x7ffd72…
10-28 22:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xf97be5…
10-28 22:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x3a8184…
10-28 22:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x3e1d55…
10-28 22:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x4545c1…
10-28 22:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xd30ec4…
10-28 22:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	28	3¢	$1	0x656316…
10-28 22:22:05	Ethereum Up or Down on October 29?	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xf565b9…
10-28 22:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x6fd507…
10-28 22:20:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xfb463f…
10-28 22:20:07	BNB Up or Down - October 28, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x27e09e…
10-28 22:17:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0xfefc07…
10-28 22:13:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x63f9da…
10-28 22:06:44	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x179614…
10-28 22:06:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xa0a17d…
10-28 22:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x1697ee…
10-28 22:06:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xfc4c9a…
10-28 22:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x700bab…
10-28 21:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	31¢	$1	0x83dbec…
10-28 21:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x6bac2e…
10-28 21:57:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x37677c…
10-28 21:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x529d95…
10-28 21:54:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x6b15fb…
10-28 21:52:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x6a5bf6…
10-28 21:52:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xd80ca0…
10-28 21:48:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x5cf36d…
10-28 21:46:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0xc0e74d…
10-28 21:44:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0x9fb00d…
10-28 21:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	13	6¢	$1	0xf83f30…
10-28 21:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x1c2cf9…
10-28 21:42:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xa562fd…
10-28 21:37:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	84¢	$4	0x832750…
10-28 21:37:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$0	0x7a05ad…
10-28 21:36:31	XRP Up or Down on October 29?	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x53a6b5…
10-28 21:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x0c6f13…
10-28 21:30:37	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x07db9c…
10-28 21:16:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x4b2b45…
10-28 21:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x556bcb…
10-28 21:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x5538aa…
10-28 21:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x2fa9ba…
10-28 21:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x2f27fd…
10-28 21:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0x0b66ac…
10-28 21:13:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x2c397e…
10-28 21:06:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x401774…
10-28 21:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x528d27…
10-28 21:03:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xfeaa4c…
10-28 21:03:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	0	62¢	$0	0xeaf0c1…
10-28 21:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xf3f57c…
10-28 20:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x560d27…
10-28 20:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x2ab1ec…
10-28 20:46:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x079903…
10-28 20:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x9978a5…