Posh-Bay — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$71

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.8%

Resolved (90d)

1,532

Trades (90d)

2,474

7,278 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$5.96K

$85.1K lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-30

last 10-28 05:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 109 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 83% -$492

Other

2% 91% -$75

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 1022 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 08:45 UTC	12	$513	300	299	+1	Up	-$3	02-06 08:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 02:00 UTC	8	$485	300	298	+2	Down	+$16	02-05 02:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 08:15 UTC	6	$391	360	199	+161	Down	-$9	02-06 08:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 06:15 UTC	4	$333	200	199	+1	Down	+$18	02-06 06:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 02:30 UTC	7	$308	190	189	+1	Up	+$3	02-06 02:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 05:00 UTC	7	$290	310	237	+73	Up	-$63	02-07 05:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 03:45 UTC	7	$287	170	169	+1	Down	+$5	02-05 03:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 12:15 UTC	4	$282	200	199	+1	Down	-$34	02-06 12:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 07:15 UTC	7	$253	150	149	+1	Down	-$4	02-13 07:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 08:15 UTC	4	$241	160	159	+1	Up	-$1	02-05 08:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 02:00 UTC	4	$223	140	140	+0	Down	-$21	02-04 02:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 02:15 UTC	5	$215	140	139	+1	Down	-$10	02-06 02:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 02:45 UTC	3	$214	190	100	+90	Down	$0	02-06 02:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 05:45 UTC	6	$213	122	121	+0	Up	+$8	02-06 05:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 09:30 UTC	3	$209	180	89	+91	Down	+$18	02-05 09:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 01:30 UTC	9	$207	140	140	+0	Down	-$21	02-02 01:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 04:15 UTC	15	$204	120	119	+1	Down	+$6	02-04 04:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 01:15 UTC	4	$201	110	109	+1	Down	+$17	02-05 01:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 03:15 UTC	4	$199	120	120	+0	Up	-$12	02-03 03:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 06:30 UTC	4	$196	110	110	+0	Down	$0	02-03 06:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 06:45 UTC	10	$195	110	110	+0	Up	+$1	02-03 06:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 02:30 UTC	8	$193	100	100	+0	Up	+$6	02-12 02:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 02:45 UTC	6	$193	100	100	+0	Down	+$5	02-12 02:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 02:30 UTC	2	$193	100	100	+0	Down	+$7	02-10 02:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 03:00 UTC	2	$189	100	100	+0	Down	+$11	02-10 03:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 03:15 UTC	2	$188	100	100	+0	Down	+$12	02-10 03:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 04:30 UTC	4	$187	130	129	+1	Down	-$15	02-04 04:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 05:15 UTC	4	$185	120	120	+0	Down	-$22	02-03 05:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 08:45 UTC	3	$184	160	90	+70	Down	-$4	02-05 08:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 01:30 UTC	2	$183	100	100	+0	Up	+$16	02-13 01:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 05:00:55	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x244a1a…
10-28 05:00:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x38d249…
10-28 04:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x95b667…
10-28 04:53:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x2dddc8…
10-28 04:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x030918…
10-28 04:46:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x3746f2…
10-28 04:46:16	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x91354f…
10-28 04:43:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xb39cd5…
10-28 04:43:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x712fe5…
10-28 04:43:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0x3fd150…
10-28 04:36:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x5dfe90…
10-28 04:30:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x819819…
10-28 04:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xb19139…
10-28 04:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x5a6eaa…
10-28 04:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0xbe78dc…
10-28 04:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	0	47¢	$0	0xa7b251…
10-28 04:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	0	47¢	$0	0x7e9850…
10-28 04:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x407ce5…
10-28 04:12:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x98938f…
10-28 04:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x667d0e…
10-28 04:04:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	14	5¢	$1	0xb880f8…
10-28 04:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0x3a00f6…
10-28 03:59:52	Ethereum Up or Down on October 28?	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x93cf3b…
10-28 03:58:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0xbd1930…
10-28 03:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x4b7737…
10-28 03:56:04	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xa7a6c1…
10-28 03:51:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x686e43…
10-28 03:45:01	Solana Up or Down on October 28?	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x57d257…
10-28 03:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	0	6¢	$0	0xe325dc…
10-28 03:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	19	6¢	$1	0x859b87…
10-28 03:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	0	6¢	$0	0x7a5dec…
10-28 03:37:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xc524cd…
10-28 03:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x076370…
10-28 03:22:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0xe753ec…
10-28 03:19:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xfd69db…
10-28 03:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x447884…
10-28 03:14:49	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	19	6¢	$1	0xd20d7f…
10-28 03:13:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0x8d90c3…
10-28 03:10:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x87bcd1…
10-28 03:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x1bdb3a…
10-28 03:01:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x16d636…
10-28 03:00:24	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	13¢	$1	0x450990…
10-28 03:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x127c21…
10-28 02:59:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	5¢	$1	0x088361…
10-28 02:51:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	37	1¢	$0	0x48c34c…
10-28 02:50:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x574c7d…
10-28 02:45:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xa5d62d…
10-28 02:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xecc6f5…
10-28 02:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x535732…
10-28 02:42:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x27d590…
10-28 02:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x6b7d05…
10-28 02:39:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xcfdd75…
10-28 02:39:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0x0d78db…
10-28 02:39:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0x0afa74…
10-28 02:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x2e7e26…
10-28 02:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x0e6b4c…
10-28 02:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x9560e1…
10-28 02:25:14	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x728dcf…
10-28 02:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x4f524d…
10-28 02:15:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x2fa000…
10-28 02:10:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xbf2fb0…
10-28 02:09:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	0	6¢	$0	0xb22673…
10-28 02:09:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x9a4247…
10-28 02:09:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x77dd5b…
10-28 02:09:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x679084…
10-28 02:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0xb02c12…
10-28 02:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x9fc60f…
10-28 01:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x90eb0f…
10-28 01:52:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x47e7d7…
10-28 01:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x722a43…
10-28 01:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0x453082…
10-28 01:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xf9514b…
10-28 01:36:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xadc6df…
10-28 01:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xadba08…
10-28 01:35:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xdfc1c7…
10-28 01:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x5edbb3…
10-28 01:30:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x62740b…
10-28 01:20:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x4efc85…
10-28 01:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xfc9de2…
10-28 01:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	9¢	$1	0x15a9de…
10-28 01:10:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x6d6486…
10-28 01:06:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xc5f74e…
10-28 01:02:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x1956df…
10-28 01:00:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	29¢	$1	0xd77b40…
10-28 01:00:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x4a5ad4…
10-28 00:50:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x2566de…
10-28 00:49:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x784c03…
10-28 00:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0xea78cb…
10-28 00:47:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x38b868…
10-28 00:46:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x0042e4…
10-28 00:42:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xb647ec…
10-28 00:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x876158…
10-28 00:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0xc2c7e9…
10-28 00:40:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0x9d971c…
10-28 00:37:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xd76448…
10-28 00:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xce42a9…
10-28 00:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0xb2cd5c…
10-28 00:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xaddfef…
10-28 00:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x847ba7…
10-28 00:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	16	3¢	$0	0x64ca87…