Posh-Bay — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$27

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

51.4%

Resolved (7d)

945

Trades (7d)

1,546

7,359 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$3.31K

$85.3K lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-30

last 10-28 09:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 109 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 82% -$493

Other

2% 91% -$72

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 1022 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up		+5	$4	98¢	$5	+$1	10-28 08:46
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 28?	Down	—	+7	$1	12¢	$1	$0	10-28 08:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	—	+5	$2	1¢	$0	-$2	10-28 10:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 08:45 UTC	12	$513	300	299	+1	Up	-$3	02-06 08:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 02:00 UTC	8	$485	300	298	+2	Down	+$16	02-05 02:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 08:15 UTC	6	$391	360	199	+161	Down	-$9	02-06 08:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 06:15 UTC	4	$333	200	199	+1	Down	+$18	02-06 06:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 02:30 UTC	7	$308	190	189	+1	Up	+$3	02-06 02:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 05:00 UTC	7	$290	310	237	+73	Up	-$63	02-07 05:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 03:45 UTC	7	$287	170	169	+1	Down	+$5	02-05 03:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 12:15 UTC	4	$282	200	199	+1	Down	-$34	02-06 12:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 07:15 UTC	7	$253	150	149	+1	Down	-$4	02-13 07:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 08:15 UTC	4	$241	160	159	+1	Up	-$1	02-05 08:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 02:00 UTC	4	$223	140	140	+0	Down	-$21	02-04 02:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 02:15 UTC	5	$215	140	139	+1	Down	-$10	02-06 02:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 02:45 UTC	3	$214	190	100	+90	Down	$0	02-06 02:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 05:45 UTC	6	$213	122	121	+0	Up	+$8	02-06 05:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 09:30 UTC	3	$209	180	89	+91	Down	+$18	02-05 09:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 01:30 UTC	9	$207	140	140	+0	Down	-$21	02-02 01:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 04:15 UTC	15	$204	120	119	+1	Down	+$6	02-04 04:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 01:15 UTC	4	$201	110	109	+1	Down	+$17	02-05 01:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 03:15 UTC	4	$199	120	120	+0	Up	-$12	02-03 03:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 06:30 UTC	4	$196	110	110	+0	Down	$0	02-03 06:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 06:45 UTC	10	$195	110	110	+0	Up	+$1	02-03 06:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 02:30 UTC	8	$193	100	100	+0	Up	+$6	02-12 02:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 02:45 UTC	6	$193	100	100	+0	Down	+$5	02-12 02:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 02:30 UTC	2	$193	100	100	+0	Down	+$7	02-10 02:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 03:00 UTC	2	$189	100	100	+0	Down	+$11	02-10 03:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 03:15 UTC	2	$188	100	100	+0	Down	+$12	02-10 03:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 04:30 UTC	4	$187	130	129	+1	Down	-$15	02-04 04:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 05:15 UTC	4	$185	120	120	+0	Down	-$22	02-03 05:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 08:45 UTC	3	$184	160	90	+70	Down	-$4	02-05 08:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 01:30 UTC	2	$183	100	100	+0	Up	+$16	02-13 01:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 10:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xc691ea…
10-28 10:53:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x37500e…
10-28 10:48:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0x46912c…
10-28 10:42:37	XRP Up or Down on October 28?	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x945482…
10-28 10:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x81dce0…
10-28 10:40:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x44614d…
10-28 10:36:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x30e842…
10-28 10:32:56	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x977d78…
10-28 10:27:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x484002…
10-28 10:25:55	BNB Up or Down on October 28?	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xf455c0…
10-28 10:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x63c714…
10-28 10:20:53	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf85276…
10-28 10:16:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x3f1364…
10-28 10:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xebaef4…
10-28 10:12:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x094f58…
10-28 10:11:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x934e44…
10-28 10:10:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xa46a54…
10-28 10:06:28	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xa39b84…
10-28 10:02:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x326598…
10-28 10:02:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x29efa9…
10-28 10:02:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x44db74…
10-28 10:00:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xd601a7…
10-28 10:00:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0xd56843…
10-28 09:59:23	BNB Up or Down - October 28, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x85b634…
10-28 09:52:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x2b1d2e…
10-28 09:50:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xffdac3…
10-28 09:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xc157db…
10-28 09:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0xbd2efc…
10-28 09:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xa620bf…
10-28 09:28:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x82218a…
10-28 09:26:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xbf0ebb…
10-28 09:23:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x531214…
10-28 09:18:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xdc09a8…
10-28 09:16:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x31ac76…
10-28 09:11:52	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x93ffdc…
10-28 09:11:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x4cc370…
10-28 09:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xdda6f7…
10-28 09:11:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x9fac28…
10-28 09:08:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x774895…
10-28 09:08:35	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xcd13b8…
10-28 09:07:35	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x7fab8e…
10-28 09:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x60f854…
10-28 09:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xaf11d9…
10-28 08:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xb55a10…
10-28 08:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xbeef83…
10-28 08:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	86¢	$3	0x145117…
10-28 08:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x498cfa…
10-28 08:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x24e236…
10-28 08:43:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x056aac…
10-28 08:40:44	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xd4b176…
10-28 08:40:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x614b5b…
10-28 08:40:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x3801f2…
10-28 08:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x9849b4…
10-28 08:37:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0xef03d2…
10-28 08:34:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	4¢	$0	0x80eb72…
10-28 08:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	19	4¢	$1	0x8edfe3…
10-28 08:30:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xb27bc1…
10-28 08:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x026e75…
10-28 08:27:05	Solana Up or Down on October 28?	Down	BUY	9	13¢	$1	0xc7862f…
10-28 08:26:55	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 28?	Down	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0x8b67c5…
10-28 08:26:43	Ethereum Up or Down on October 28?	Down	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0xc0d875…
10-28 08:23:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x02e718…
10-28 08:22:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0xabe4f0…
10-28 08:18:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	11¢	$1	0x0d4b8c…
10-28 08:18:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x675266…
10-28 08:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x598aa6…
10-28 08:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xd63c7e…
10-28 08:10:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xc8c140…
10-28 08:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	19	6¢	$1	0x1eed4c…
10-28 08:08:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x5b0fdb…
10-28 08:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xec944d…
10-28 08:01:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xe058e5…
10-28 08:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0x76ea32…
10-28 08:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x3d9f7f…
10-28 08:00:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x3bbd64…
10-28 07:58:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	13¢	$1	0x87f3f4…
10-28 07:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	28	2¢	$1	0xd3331c…
10-28 07:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xa9b8bd…
10-28 07:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xc08ff6…
10-28 07:51:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0xfeb268…
10-28 07:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	28	3¢	$1	0x8e4c4d…
10-28 07:45:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x1f94d3…
10-28 07:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x0febec…
10-28 07:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0x2a2a6e…
10-28 07:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0x23b97b…
10-28 07:38:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x201517…
10-28 07:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xf276f3…
10-28 07:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xd6cbaf…
10-28 07:30:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xeab65e…
10-28 07:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x92c6d4…
10-28 07:27:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x6393c5…
10-28 07:25:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x51efdc…
10-28 07:23:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x7e192c…
10-28 07:21:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x96df8b…
10-28 07:17:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x6509dc…
10-28 07:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x2c7506…
10-28 07:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xf6cdc8…
10-28 07:10:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x092e5b…
10-28 07:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0x20365c…
10-28 07:05:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xfe2333…