Solid-Defense — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.97K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$68

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-24

last 10-17 14:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Crypto

46% 80% +$2

Other

41% 100% +$3

Politics

13% 100% +$1

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will silver si hit high 190 by end of february 182	1	$255	257	0	+257	No	+$2	02-09 09:06
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	1	$247	248	0	+248	No	+$1	04-02 15:30
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	1	$247	247	0	+247	No	+$0	06-07 12:02
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$243	243	0	+243	No	+$0	05-13 02:27
trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	1	$235	236	0	+236	No	+$1	07-16 14:02
will xrp dip to 0pt2 in march 2026	1	$222	222	0	+222	No	+$0	03-08 16:05
will solana dip to 30 in january 2026	2	$131	63	68	-5	No	$0	01-24 06:40
will bnb dip to 200 in august	1	$130	130	0	+130	No	+$0	08-11 11:55
Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	1	$64	64	0	+64	No	+$0	09-14 09:29
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?	1	$62	62	0	+62	No	+$0	10-13 06:00
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	10-17 14:43
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	10-13 06:01
will silver si hit high 200 by end of march	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	03-15 13:06
Trump out as President by September 30?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	09-14 09:30
Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	03-08 16:04
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	07-16 14:03
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	08-11 11:56
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	08-21 11:00
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$6	6	0	+6	Yes	+$0	05-23 16:11
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 140 159	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	04-19 05:53
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 580plus	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	03-21 13:03
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-30 08:23
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 40 59	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	02-09 09:07
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	06-21 11:22
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	08-21 11:01
2026 Balance of Power: Other	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	10-13 06:02
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	06-14 07:36
Trump out as President by June 30?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	06-07 12:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-17 14:43:24	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x311c68…
10-13 06:02:01	2026 Balance of Power: Other	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd77134…
10-13 06:01:28	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xfd76cb…
10-13 06:00:22	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0xd43634…
09-14 09:30:54	Trump out as President by September 30?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x407d74…
09-14 09:29:49	Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0x2f491c…
08-21 11:01:04	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xadcfe7…
08-21 11:00:25	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xea1fa6…
08-11 11:56:42	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x0d5b4e…
08-11 11:55:45	will bnb dip to 200 in august	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x61f617…
07-16 14:03:37	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x03db8c…
07-16 14:02:19	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	236	100¢	$235	0xe2ff65…
06-21 11:22:10	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x949b6a…
06-14 07:36:33	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3e6849…
06-07 12:03:19	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1c3d76…
06-07 12:02:06	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	247	100¢	$247	0xd58bf0…
05-30 08:23:36	Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x35d158…
05-23 16:11:51	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xc9cba3…
05-13 02:27:05	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	243	100¢	$243	0x286352…
04-19 05:53:00	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 140 159	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xec4808…
04-02 15:30:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	BUY	248	100¢	$247	0xe9fa07…
03-21 13:03:11	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 580plus	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa6145e…
03-15 13:06:43	will silver si hit high 200 by end of march	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x8841c3…
03-08 16:05:21	will xrp dip to 0pt2 in march 2026	No	BUY	222	100¢	$222	0x2d64bf…
03-08 16:04:41	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf2df64…
02-09 09:07:07	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 40 59	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2bea1f…
02-09 09:06:19	will silver si hit high 190 by end of february 182	No	BUY	257	99¢	$255	0x0ed5e7…
01-24 06:40:12	will solana dip to 30 in january 2026	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0x493d7d…
01-24 06:38:48	will solana dip to 30 in january 2026	No	SELL	68	100¢	$68	0xdc5a58…