Jittery-Trance-Misplacement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$188

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.1%

Resolved

398

Trades

887

lifetime

Volume

$2.38K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-29

last 10-29 05:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 90 days

Categories

Other

72% 41% -$162

Politics

13% 47% -$18

Sports

8% 45% -$1

Crypto

6% 43% -$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 87 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?	11	$75	128	128	+0	No	-$5	06-21 22:38
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	4	$56	37	37	+0	Yes	+$6	06-07 20:59
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	5	$54	31	31	+0	Yes	+$6	07-20 01:17
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?	2	$34	23	23	+0	Yes	+$5	06-22 02:41
Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 4 - 1 Sevilla FC?	4	$30	17	17	+0	Yes	$0	10-18 20:54
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 15?	2	$27	38	38	+0	No	+$2	08-15 11:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	3	$27	18	18	+0	Down	+$7	10-19 00:28
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	3	$26	24	24	+0	Yes	+$7	06-08 04:52
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on August 14?	2	$25	35	35	+0	Yes	+$1	08-13 11:57
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 16?	5	$25	68	68	+0	No	+$3	08-16 09:04
Will Club The Strongest win on 2026-10-18?	4	$24	12	12	+0	Yes	+$0	10-18 23:07
Will voter turnout be 60-64% in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	2	$23	15	15	+0	Yes	+$7	06-21 23:09
ACF Fiorentina vs. Como 1907: O/U 6.5	2	$22	12	12	+0	Under	+$0	10-18 14:23
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$21	186	186	+0	No	-$1	06-21 13:14
Exact Score: Red Bull Bragantino 5 - 2 Cruzeiro EC?	2	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$0	10-13 01:31
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	2	$21	19	19	+0	No	$0	06-05 17:14
Exact Score: Botafogo FC 2 - 1 Ceará SC?	3	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$0	10-13 01:18
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	3	$21	61	61	+0	No	+$1	08-27 07:07
wnba phx la 2026 08 11	7	$19	22	22	+0	Phoenix Mercury	+$3	08-12 03:56
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 25?	5	$19	23	16	+6	No	+$2	07-25 04:51
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 8?	3	$18	10	10	+0	No	$0	08-07 14:36
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on August 17?	2	$18	61	61	+0	No	+$2	08-15 19:02
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$18	18	18	+0	No	+$8	07-19 21:09
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 5?	2	$17	18	18	+0	Yes	+$11	08-05 22:04
mlb chc wsh 2026 08 12	2	$17	13	13	+0	Chicago Cubs	+$3	08-12 23:56
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 27?	4	$17	26	26	+0	No	+$4	07-27 08:47
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?	3	$16	54	14	+40	No	-$10	06-18 17:21
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 22?	3	$16	12	12	+0	Yes	+$7	08-22 16:27
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?	2	$16	18	18	+0	No	+$4	06-17 02:51
CA Bucaramanga vs. América de Cali: CA Bucaramanga O/U 1.5	2	$15	10	10	+0	Under	+$0	10-18 22:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 05:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x5f51aa…
10-29 05:02:37	Will the US grant Flávio Bolsonaro political asylum in 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	20¢	$3	0x81de85…
10-28 14:06:07	Will the US grant Flávio Bolsonaro political asylum in 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x41f7b0…
10-26 21:09:53	Will Xavi Hernandez attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x20bd06…
10-26 04:33:44	Will Rodri finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x7e1866…
10-26 02:22:48	Will Rodri finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x20f70f…
10-26 02:10:32	Will Ousmane Dembélé finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x20b894…
10-26 02:10:08	Will Michael Olise finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0x3683fc…
10-26 02:09:27	Will Michael Olise finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	117	1¢	$1	0x970522…
10-26 02:09:08	Will Ousmane Dembélé finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	107	3¢	$3	0xcc5397…
10-25 15:07:57	Will "Street Fighter" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than $8M?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0xb5415a…
10-25 15:07:15	Will "Street Fighter" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than $8M?	Yes	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0x977e37…
10-24 18:15:42	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	Yes	BUY	80	1¢	$1	0x5d0a72…
10-24 17:44:03	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xa2fcc7…
10-24 17:41:48	Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $50M and $75M by November 30?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0xcfc311…
10-24 17:39:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xb9ecc1…
10-24 17:33:15	Will "Street Fighter" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than $8M?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x38fe2a…
10-22 17:27:30	Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	9	13¢	$1	0xa43d57…
10-22 17:22:56	Will "Street Fighter" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $17M and $20M?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xed4ac8…
10-22 17:22:54	Will "Street Fighter" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $17M and $20M?	Yes	BUY	59	0¢	$0	0x07ba24…
10-22 17:20:38	Will "Street Fighter" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $14M and $17M?	Yes	BUY	34	1¢	$0	0xf5ca26…
10-22 17:20:23	Will "Street Fighter" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $14M and $17M?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xd26579…
10-22 17:19:21	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $9M and $11M?	Yes	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0xd59457…
10-22 17:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xc3ac28…
10-22 17:12:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x1dc254…
10-22 17:07:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	6	27¢	$2	0x294d98…
10-22 17:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xb85d33…
10-22 17:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x4b9b73…
10-22 16:56:44	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0xe1fad5…
10-21 11:14:11	Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be less than $50M by November 30?	Yes	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0xbb1ace…
10-21 11:11:45	Will Xavi Hernandez attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x184355…
10-21 08:34:41	Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $50M and $75M by November 30?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xecbc5a…
10-21 05:50:47	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $9M and $11M?	Yes	BUY	19	1¢	$0	0xc0ce85…
10-21 04:19:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xf6dbc7…
10-21 04:07:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0xc402b1…
10-21 04:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x4bf7bf…
10-21 03:43:30	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $7M and $9M?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0xb9d76d…
10-21 03:41:35	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $9M and $11M?	Yes	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0xa2eea5…
10-21 03:40:26	Will "Street Fighter" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $17M and $20M?	Yes	BUY	9	4¢	$0	0xda87f8…
10-21 03:39:53	Will "Street Fighter" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $14M and $17M?	Yes	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0x01215d…
10-21 02:18:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x0b34bb…
10-21 01:43:45	Exact Score: CR Vasco da Gama 1 - 2 CA Boca Juniors?	Yes	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x6b9ab2…
10-21 01:41:17	Exact Score: CR Vasco da Gama 1 - 2 CA Boca Juniors?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x1e914c…
10-21 01:27:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0x567d09…
10-21 01:27:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xe9acf1…
10-21 01:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x570f29…
10-21 01:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	92¢	$5	0xabff99…
10-21 01:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x00ecf1…
10-21 01:00:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xfc4588…
10-20 22:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	7	73¢	$5	0x3850f7…
10-20 22:51:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x933d06…
10-20 22:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x5b05ea…
10-20 22:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	12	14¢	$2	0x62a84a…
10-20 22:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x6e3199…
10-20 22:04:44	Will Michael Olise finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	117	0¢	$0	0x1eea03…
10-20 21:49:36	Will Jude Bellingham finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$1	0xeda342…
10-20 21:49:36	Will Jude Bellingham finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xb839c4…
10-20 21:48:41	Will Ousmane Dembélé finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	107	0¢	$0	0x55349c…
10-19 18:47:18	Will Lamine Yamal finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x5dc8b3…
10-19 14:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	9	43¢	$4	0xca9420…
10-19 14:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0xbd7dfe…
10-19 14:31:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xbbc296…
10-19 14:25:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x396f8b…
10-19 14:19:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x313b15…
10-19 13:56:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	14	23¢	$3	0x749817…
10-19 13:56:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xf94258…
10-19 13:56:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xba683b…
10-19 13:52:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xd88d97…
10-19 13:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	6	29¢	$2	0x3f89a5…
10-19 13:45:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x883eb9…
10-19 13:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	44¢	$3	0xcb2fb2…
10-19 13:41:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xf29af0…
10-19 13:41:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x934191…
10-19 12:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x1915ad…
10-19 12:06:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xbde128…
10-19 11:38:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0xbd61bc…
10-19 11:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x46e441…
10-19 11:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x7cb4a9…
10-19 11:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x706452…
10-19 11:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x634ae1…
10-19 05:59:41	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	SELL	7	64¢	$4	0x7f34f4…
10-19 02:30:39	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x8e2e8f…
10-19 00:28:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	18	96¢	$17	0x347d63…
10-19 00:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x1ac1ea…
10-19 00:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x69a7d4…
10-19 00:03:48	Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x21cba6…
10-18 23:36:12	Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x364bcc…
10-18 23:07:21	Will Club The Strongest win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xd8e018…
10-18 23:07:20	Will Club The Strongest win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xadf41f…
10-18 23:06:30	Will Club The Strongest win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x1c4696…
10-18 22:48:53	Will Club The Strongest win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x3ef0d6…
10-18 22:19:29	CA Bucaramanga vs. América de Cali: CA Bucaramanga O/U 1.5	Under	SELL	10	78¢	$8	0x6f048c…
10-18 22:12:29	CA Bucaramanga vs. América de Cali: CA Bucaramanga O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x1af1d4…
10-18 20:54:51	Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 4 - 1 Sevilla FC?	Yes	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x971561…
10-18 20:51:14	Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 4 - 1 Sevilla FC?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x8f7de7…
10-18 20:38:33	Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 4 - 1 Sevilla FC?	No	SELL	12	92¢	$11	0x9a26c5…
10-18 20:24:45	Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 45m?	Yes	SELL	177	0¢	$0	0xd72b2a…
10-18 19:31:51	Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 4 - 1 Sevilla FC?	No	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0xb276ff…
10-18 18:15:05	Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x1af30e…
10-18 17:23:17	Exact Score: Borussia Mönchengladbach 3 - 3 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x06bfb7…