Prime-Analogue — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$40

Unrealized P&L

-$26

Hit rate

45.9%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

77 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$699

$699 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$34

6 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 22:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 46% +$40

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 72 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	+21	$10	99¢	$21	+$11	05-05 22:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	+20	$10	56¢	$11	+$1	05-05 22:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	+24	$10	4¢	$1	$-9	05-05 22:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	+20	$10	4¢	$1	$-9	05-05 22:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	+22	$10	1¢	$0	$-10	05-05 22:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	+21	$10	0¢	$0	$-10	05-05 22:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 22:45:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xe583b5…
05-05 22:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xc60e49…
05-05 22:15:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xf80220…
05-05 22:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x4b8d10…
05-05 22:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x1207a5…
05-05 22:00:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x8a720d…
05-05 21:45:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	23	39¢	$9	0x17d62c…
05-05 21:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x90915d…
05-05 21:45:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x5e97ba…
05-05 21:30:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x3411d5…
05-05 21:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xa4c226…
05-05 21:15:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	18	40¢	$7	0x3711cf…
05-05 21:15:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x02bc75…
05-05 21:00:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x9c1721…
05-05 20:45:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xb7f426…
05-05 20:30:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x1a688a…
05-05 20:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xdb4069…
05-05 20:20:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x184205…
05-05 19:48:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x0daa44…
05-05 19:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xd547b2…
05-05 19:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x3af43b…
05-05 18:43:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xccbef8…
05-05 18:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0xc95369…
05-05 18:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x09859f…
05-05 18:15:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xef3c34…
05-05 17:02:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	12	47¢	$6	0x0d473c…
05-05 17:02:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	17	50¢	$8	0x97b1c0…
05-05 15:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x32d7a1…
05-05 13:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0x039f6a…
05-05 12:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	24	37¢	$9	0x53ca07…
05-05 12:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x4e3a14…
05-05 12:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x58ffd2…
05-05 11:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x166a07…
05-05 10:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xe288af…
05-05 10:45:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x8cb2b5…
05-05 10:05:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xc64123…
05-05 09:15:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x209ed0…
05-05 09:15:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x8e67e0…
05-05 08:16:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	15	40¢	$6	0x1f1ff6…
05-05 08:15:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x476cbd…
05-05 08:05:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	22	42¢	$9	0x7c5d00…
05-05 07:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0xc35cbc…
05-05 07:46:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0x91cb75…
05-05 07:45:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x83412a…
05-05 07:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0x911353…
05-05 07:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x4ba544…
05-05 07:15:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x72102f…
05-05 07:15:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xc33aa1…
05-05 07:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xb648fa…
05-05 06:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x8d7542…
05-05 06:15:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xf72e1c…
05-05 06:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x01041e…
05-05 05:45:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x3d9d45…
05-05 05:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x8baf3d…
05-05 04:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xdf0fa4…
05-05 03:45:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x7fff9c…
05-05 03:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x3c77bd…
05-05 03:30:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xfeb618…
05-05 03:15:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	21	42¢	$9	0x63a25a…
05-05 03:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xf3f5cf…
05-05 03:15:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x3ab47d…
05-05 03:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xbdffe2…
05-05 02:30:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x943bbf…
05-05 02:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xa1adbe…
05-05 02:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xf31c7d…
05-05 02:24:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xb35974…
05-05 01:15:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x7b75ac…
05-05 01:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xbaf15e…
05-05 01:00:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	40¢	$0	0xa83905…
05-05 00:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x9c2139…
05-05 00:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0xcb7ec2…
05-05 00:00:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x67edb6…
05-04 23:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x8202e7…
05-04 23:45:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x070456…
05-04 23:30:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xc53169…
05-04 23:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x150918…
05-04 20:14:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x7e39bb…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	58	$11.1K	551	05-05 22:45
Subtle-Commotion 0xc3df…f3fb	58	$609	69	05-05 22:45
Colorless-Validate 0xdc34…44c5	56	$613	67	05-05 22:45
Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc	47	$8.24K	324	05-05 22:55
Minty-Complicity 0xee55…7b04	47	$1.75K	203	05-05 22:55
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	47	$698	152	05-05 22:25
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	45	$9.07K	230	05-05 22:55
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	37	$1.11K	110	05-05 22:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	2	$20	43	0	+43	open	—	05-05 19:48
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	2	$19	23	23	+0	open	—	05-05 21:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	2	$19	23	24	-1	open	—	05-05 12:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	2	$19	20	20	-0	Up	$-2	05-05 00:50
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	2	$19	21	21	+0	Up	$-1	05-05 03:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	2	$17	22	18	+4	open	—	05-05 21:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	2	$17	23	20	+3	open	—	05-05 09:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	2	$16	20	15	+5	open	—	05-05 08:16
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	2	$14	17	12	+5	open	—	05-05 17:02
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	2	$12	22	5	+17	open	—	05-05 07:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	2	$11	22	2	+20	open	—	05-05 07:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	05-05 19:38
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	05-05 06:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	Down	+$10	05-04 23:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	1	$10	25	0	+25	Up	+$15	05-05 02:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	05-05 10:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	05-05 20:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	05-05 10:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	Up	+$10	05-05 02:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	05-05 22:10
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	1	$10	21	0	+21	open	—	05-05 22:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	1	$10	22	0	+22	open	—	05-05 18:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	05-05 20:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	05-05 22:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	05-05 15:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	1	$10	24	0	+24	Down	$-10	05-05 03:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	1	$10	24	0	+24	open	—	05-05 07:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	1	$10	21	0	+21	open	—	05-05 18:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	1	$10	21	0	+21	open	—	05-05 22:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	1	$10	22	0	+22	Up	+$12	05-05 02:30