Flickering-Accord — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

118

lifetime

Volume

$1.06K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 07-02 03:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

49% 100% +$0

Crypto

30% 100% +$0

Sports

14% — —

Politics

6% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Egypt advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$144	145	+145	open	—	06-26 07:45
Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$108	108	+108	Yes	+$0	05-04 14:40
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	1	$86	86	+86	open	—	05-30 11:38
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	1	$62	64	+64	open	—	05-15 04:33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	1	$62	64	+64	open	—	05-19 03:26
Will Bulgaria advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$61	62	+62	open	—	05-14 20:56
Will Greece advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$61	61	+61	Yes	+$0	05-11 19:16
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	1	$52	52	+52	open	—	04-30 18:04
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	1	$48	48	+48	open	—	05-01 00:00
Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,800 on the final trading day of June 2026?	1	$33	33	+33	open	—	06-28 21:04
will spy dip to 700 in june 2026	1	$26	27	+27	open	—	06-29 20:20
Genius FDV above $300M one day after launch?	2	$20	21	+21	open	—	04-14 13:47
will wti reach 95 in june 2026 from june 10	1	$17	17	+17	open	—	06-29 12:10
Will Solana reach $100 in April?	1	$14	14	+14	open	—	04-29 17:07
will openais valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	1	$11	11	+11	open	—	06-29 12:28
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in May?	2	$10	10	+10	open	—	05-11 11:57
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	3	$9	9	+9	open	—	05-04 01:53
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in May?	2	$8	8	+8	open	—	05-11 10:42
will zai have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$8	8	+8	open	—	02-20 22:57
will gold gc hit low 4200 by end of february 891 227 734 585 416 787 933 185 752 713 424	1	$7	7	+7	open	—	02-23 22:48
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in April?	1	$7	7	+7	open	—	04-29 11:23
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$7	7	+7	open	—	04-12 00:25
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	1	$6	6	+6	open	—	01-24 08:32
msft above 570 on january 30 2026	1	$6	6	+6	open	—	01-08 02:02
will silver si hit high 160 by end of february 597 366 984 937	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	02-20 20:30
meta above 780 on january 30 2026	2	$5	5	+5	open	—	01-16 01:33
will mistral have the third best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	01-08 09:58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in May?	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-02 17:42
will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	01-07 03:20
Will Solana reach $130 in May?	2	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-03 06:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 03:37:43	will wti reach 110 in july 2026 829	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xd5daf1…
06-29 20:20:44	will spy dip to 700 in june 2026	No	BUY	27	100¢	$26	0x1796e8…
06-29 12:28:05	will openais valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xf2ee1e…
06-29 12:10:34	will wti reach 95 in june 2026 from june 10	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x537ccf…
06-28 21:04:41	Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,800 on the final trading day of June 2026?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xdba1cf…
06-28 06:30:11	will googl reach 390 in june 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x60fa6e…
06-26 07:45:23	Will Egypt advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	145	100¢	$144	0xca2d0d…
06-26 02:50:34	will openais valuation hit low 750b by june 30	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xff3560…
05-30 11:38:50	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x2060ac…
05-19 03:26:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	64	96¢	$62	0xe78c26…
05-15 04:33:06	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	64	97¢	$62	0x133735…
05-14 20:56:12	Will Bulgaria advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	62	98¢	$61	0x569435…
05-11 19:16:26	Will Greece advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	61	99¢	$61	0x1d9476…
05-11 12:05:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x05b5cb…
05-11 11:57:11	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x54ee07…
05-11 10:42:41	Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in May?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xc273c1…
05-11 00:47:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5168d2…
05-08 17:18:55	Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x6fb4c1…
05-08 10:16:27	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc0d5b4…
05-06 13:18:20	Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x98a7fa…
05-05 11:38:08	Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xbf9bf7…
05-04 14:54:34	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in May?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x3275a7…
05-04 14:40:08	Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0xd7031c…
05-04 02:06:54	Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in May?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1bd3b6…
05-04 01:53:36	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7cd9e8…
05-03 18:23:42	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x4790cc…
05-03 14:56:58	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xbc3154…
05-03 06:08:10	Will Solana reach $130 in May?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x908e85…
05-03 06:02:56	Will Solana reach $130 in May?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x696e6e…
05-02 17:42:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe75997…
05-01 00:00:22	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0xafc74e…
04-30 18:04:50	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0x4f1540…
04-29 17:07:48	Will Solana reach $100 in April?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x4e2333…
04-29 11:23:32	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in April?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xef00d5…
04-28 08:26:58	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of April?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x0f885e…
04-25 07:26:22	Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4571cc…
04-24 16:09:24	Will XRP reach $2.40 in April?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3bf64d…
04-19 12:41:44	Will BNB dip to $300 in April?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x86fff1…
04-19 08:34:34	Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the April meeting?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x236bbc…
04-18 21:29:46	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0x88f1b9…
04-18 07:15:16	Will Meta (META) close above $460 end of April?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x50432a…
04-18 06:38:26	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x5e244c…
04-18 06:29:44	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xdaeed5…
04-16 12:43:36	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $150 end of April?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0xddf171…
04-16 03:38:56	Will BNB dip to $300 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xce27b9…
04-14 22:52:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$3	0xa8dfd5…
04-14 13:47:37	Genius FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xac2a31…
04-14 00:43:55	Genius FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0xc77e0f…
04-12 00:25:01	Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x900d38…
04-11 10:39:49	Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xb4f386…
04-10 14:16:15	Will Solana dip to $10 in April?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x013983…
04-10 05:57:05	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xff11e6…
04-08 23:04:31	Will Ethereum dip to $600 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xa4a593…
04-07 10:20:55	will the bank of new zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the april decision	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x235392…
04-07 07:20:37	Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7fe798…
04-07 04:55:59	Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x67c7a8…
04-07 00:53:03	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xe6b385…
04-06 23:56:07	will the bank of new zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the april decision	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x385df7…
04-06 21:46:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x68cb3d…
04-06 12:14:11	will the bank of russia increase the key rate after the april meeting	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x7c37bd…
03-27 02:31:51	will alphabet be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6fa3fe…
03-26 07:28:25	will dogecoin reach 0pt15 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0169b3…
03-26 01:38:23	will ethereum dip to 400 in march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x4bb307…
03-25 23:21:09	nvda above 130 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcecf69…
03-25 21:49:49	will dogecoin dip to 0pt05 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc684ed…
03-25 07:34:57	will solana reach 160 in march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xbdfd50…
03-25 06:03:33	will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x790883…
03-25 00:30:59	nvda above 240 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xcde72c…
03-24 10:33:33	googl above 370 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x62f79c…
03-23 16:30:39	will xrp reach 3pt2 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4ec4dd…
03-23 15:45:55	will bnb reach 1000 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x10f187…
03-23 02:41:37	will zai have the third best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe93012…
03-22 20:39:19	will xrp dip to 0pt6 in march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xea0962…
03-21 05:32:57	amzn above 150 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc08fb7…
03-21 05:13:49	will ethena reach 0pt28 in march	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xbb5e41…
03-10 16:55:37	nflx above 140 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x85c713…
03-10 12:04:25	aapl above 320 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf41792…
03-09 13:22:27	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x284649…
03-09 06:53:49	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x038406…
03-08 15:01:05	will zai have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x96c96e…
03-08 14:56:05	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbcdfad…
03-08 03:52:05	aapl above 300 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2282d4…
03-07 21:13:29	nflx above 180 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfb98a4…
03-07 14:29:57	will oracle be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3833a7…
03-07 12:02:25	will hyperliquid dip to 12 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfb378d…
03-07 09:58:57	amzn above 270 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x84f77f…
03-07 03:26:17	will the ecb announce a 25 bps decrease at the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2cb202…
03-06 15:35:07	will the bank of brazil increase the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6c4a19…
03-06 06:12:47	amzn above 270 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x85d438…
03-06 03:56:55	will solana reach 160 in march 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xd71e3c…
03-05 11:50:55	will bitcoin dip to 30k in march 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbc47bc…
03-05 11:31:01	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x45bb05…
03-05 10:04:25	aapl above 330 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x60e6e0…
03-04 13:34:13	will ethereum dip to 600 in march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xbd607e…
03-03 20:06:27	will ethereum reach 3600 in march 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0xc19107…
03-03 08:24:25	will solana dip to 30 in march 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x98e1b2…
02-24 23:04:06	nflx above 40 on february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0xc98355…
02-24 13:39:20	pltr above 162 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x2189da…
02-24 07:13:26	will nvidia be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xdfd3a2…
02-24 01:25:42	aapl above 230 on february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x74b61e…